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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 21 October 19
COAL TO PLAY SIGNIFICANT ROLE IN SOUTH AFRICA POWER MIX - MINISTER, REUTERS REPORTED
South Africa’s plans for additional power generation over the next decade will involve a variety of energy sources, with coal still playing a ...
Monday, 21 October 19
ULTRAMAX: IN ASIA, TRIPS FROM THE SINGAPORE AREA WERE PAYING BETWEEN $14,000 AND $16,000, DEPENDING ON THE VESSEL SIZE AND DURATION - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
The market traded in a relatively stable supported manner in the Pacific this week while the Atlantic experienced weakening turbulence ...
Friday, 18 October 19
WHY CRUDE TANKER RATES JUST FELL (HALFWAY) BACK TO EARTH - FREIGHT WAVES
Panic drove crude-tanker rates up, very briefly, to mind-bogglingly high assessed levels of around $300,000 per day. Now, the fear factor has been ...
Friday, 18 October 19
SHORT TERM STRENGTH FOR OZ COMMODITIES - BALTIC BRIEFING
Volatility in the global commodity markets is not expected to unduly rattle Australia’s commodity outlook through 2020, but the 2021 picture ...
Friday, 18 October 19
SINGAPORE'S APEX TO LAUNCH LOW-SULFUR FUEL OIL CONTRACT AHEAD OF NEW SHIPPING RULES - REUTERS
Singapore-based Asia Pacific Exchange (APEX) will launch a low-sulfur fuel oil (LSFO) futures contract on Friday aimed at helping shipping and ener ...
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- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- The University of Queensland
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Planning Commission, India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- PTC India Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Australian Coal Association
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
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