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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 22 November 19
UNCERTAINTY IN THERMAL COAL MARKET PERSISTED IN 3Q19 - ADARO
Uncertainty in thermal coal market persisted in 3Q19, mainly due to the actions, or inactions, of China in setting policies for global coal market. ...
Friday, 22 November 19
CIL TO DEVELOP 55 NEW COAL MINES IN NEXT 5 YEARS: COAL MINISTER
State-owned CIL will develop 55 new coal mines and expand 193 existing ones in the next five years, Parliament was informed. The company is also un ...
Thursday, 21 November 19
4TH DEEP OFFSHORE WEST AFRICA CONGRESS 2020
4th Deep Offshore West Africa Congress 2020
17 Janaury 2020
Accra, Ghana
Press Release: Following the great succ ...
Thursday, 21 November 19
INDONESIA PLANS TO KEEP $70/T COAL PRICE CAP FOR PLN, DMO - REUTERS
Indonesia’s energy minister Arifin Tasrif said his ministry plans to maintain a price cap on coal being sold to state electricity utility, PT ...
Wednesday, 20 November 19
FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENTS IN COMMERCIAL COAL MINING IN INDIA? - DIPESH DIPU
In August 2019, Government of India announced its approval for Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) for coal mining, processing and sale. Not that FDI i ...
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- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- The University of Queensland
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- VISA Power Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- PTC India Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
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