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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 20 November 19
AUSTRALIA'S NEW HOPE POSTS 66% SURGE IN Q1 SALEABLE COAL OUTPUT - REUTERS
Australian coal producer New Hope Corp Ltd reported on Tuesday a 66% jump in saleable coal production in the first quarter, as output ramped up at ...
Wednesday, 20 November 19
THE IMO AND THE PRICE OF GAS OR THE IMPACT OF THE INTERNATIONAL MARITIME ORGANISATION'S SULPHUR 2020 LIMIT FOR MARINE FUEL OIL ON THE PRICE OF GAS - KING & SPALDING
The main bunker fuel for ships is High Sulphur Fuel Oil (HSFO, with sulphur up to 3.5% m/m (mass by mass)). This will all change on 1 January 2020 ...
Wednesday, 20 November 19
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
While the market expects the next OPEC meeting, there are still no clear signs indicating that the organization will keep supporting oil prices, wh ...
Monday, 18 November 19
CHINA RECORDS STABLE COAL PRODUCTION IN JAN-OCT: XINHUA
China’s raw coal output registered stable growth in the first 10 months, while its imports remained robust, official data showed.
...
Monday, 18 November 19
SUPRAMAX: IN THE INDONESIAN COAL BUSINESS, A 58KDWT VESSEL FIXED DELIVERY PHILIPPINES, REDELIVERY INDIA AT CLOSE TO $8,000 - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
For most of the week the rates were nudging up under a flurry of activity in the Pacific as levels for the West Australia to China C5 ...
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- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- PTC India Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- VISA Power Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
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