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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
The Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Saturday, 07 December 19
SOUTH AFRICAN COAL PRICE SURGE, WHILE OTHERS LANGUISH, IS TROUBLING - REUTERS
Coal prices around the world are gently sliding as demand from top importers such as China, India and even Europe remains subdued amid a so far mil ...
Saturday, 07 December 19
SUPRAMAX: OVERALL, THE BALTIC SUPRAMAX INDEX REMAINED IN POSITIVE MODE, DESPITE SOME AREAS LACKING FRESH ACTIVITY - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
This week the Capesize market maintained healthy earnings, as an end of year surge took the Capesize 5TC back up to $25,202 by mid-wee ...
Friday, 06 December 19
INDONESIA COAL BENCHMARK PRICE FOR DECEMBER INCREASES BY US 3 CENTS MOM
COALspot.com: The Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources of the Republic of Indonesia has revised up the benchmark price of Indonesian thermal co ...
Thursday, 05 December 19
IMO 2020 IS ABOUT TO GET REAL - GAVIN THOMPSON
As I write this edition of the APAC Energy Buzz from my desk in Singapore I can see ships. Lots of ships. No surprise given that Singapore is among ...
Wednesday, 04 December 19
FITCH RATINGS: CASH FLOW GENERATION TO SLOW DOWN FOR INDONESIAN COAL MINERS
Fitch Ratings' negative outlook on the Indonesian coal-mining sector reflects our view of weaker cash flow generation on account of declining c ...
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- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Australian Coal Association
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- PTC India Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- The University of Queensland
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
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