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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 02 December 19
GREENER LNG IS VITAL TO ASIA'S SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT - WOOD MACKENZIE
Asia struggles with the world’s worst air pollution. Delhi hit the headlines in November 2019 as levels spiked to such hazardous levels that ...
Monday, 02 December 19
5TH EAST & SOUTHERN AFRICA GAS & LNG CONFERENCE 2020
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Maputo, Mozambique
5th East & Southern Afri ...
Monday, 02 December 19
5TH DEEPWATER EAST & SOUTHERN AFRICA CONGRESS 2020
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April 2-3
Maputo, Mozambique
5th Deepwater East & Southern ...
Sunday, 01 December 19
6TH CENTRAL & EASTERN EUROPE NUCLEAR INDUSTRY CONGRESS 2020
6th Central & Eastern Europe Nuclear Industry Congress 2020
January 20-21 | Prague, Czech Republic
Overview
6th ...
Saturday, 30 November 19
IMO2020 GLOBAL SULPHUR CUT: GERMAN SHIPPING TO USE NEW TYPE OF FUEL VDR SURVEY
IMO2020 Global sulphur cut: German shipping to use new type of fuel VDR survey: Technical issues and costs are the biggest challenges - VDR
&nb ...
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- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Australian Coal Association
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Planning Commission, India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- The University of Queensland
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
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