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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 04 December 19
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Dry bulk freight rates rebounded last week, a development that came as a relief following the recent negative sentiment that prevailed in the marke ...
Wednesday, 04 December 19
INDONESIA REVIEWING RULES MANDATING COAL SALES TO LOCAL BUYERS: OFFICIAL - REUTERS
Indonesia is reviewing rules that require coal miners to sell a portion of their coal to local buyers, a government official said on Monday, as sup ...
Tuesday, 03 December 19
STABILITY AND COMPATIBILITY OF VERY LOW SULPHUR FUEL OILS - GARD
In order to meet increasing restrictions on the sulphur content in marine fuel as defined by MARPOL Annex VI Regulation 14.1.3, the characteristics ...
Monday, 02 December 19
COAL PRODUCTION IN INDIA UP BY 164.58 MT IN 5 YEARS - BUSINESS LINE
Raw coal production in the country has increased from 567.77 million tons (MT) in 2013-14 to 730.35 MT in 2018-19, Union Coal and Parliamentary Aff ...
Monday, 02 December 19
OPEC PREPS FOR OIL'S 2020 BALANCING ACT - WOOD MACKENZIE
What steps should OPEC and its non-OPEC partners take to keep the market in balance in 2020? Ahead of OPEC’s meeting in Vienna on 5 and 6 Dec ...
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- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- The University of Queensland
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Australian Coal Association
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- White Energy Company Limited
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
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