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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 17 December 19
BACK TO FUTURE FOR BUSH AS AUSTRALIA CONSIDERS MOVING AWAY FROM COAL NEWCASTLE - HERALD
Looking backwards could show the way forward for regional communities planning for a future beyond mining.
One of Australia’s ...
Tuesday, 17 December 19
CHINA TAIYUAN COAL TRANSACTION PRICE INDEX DOWN 0.01 PCT - XINHUA
China Taiyuan coal transaction price index stood at 133.16 points, down 0.01 percent week on week.
The index, released by China Taiy ...
Tuesday, 17 December 19
YEAR 2019: IT IS LOOKING SET THAT THIS YEAR WILL BE ONE OF THE SLOWEST IN TERMS OF DRY BULK NEWBUILDING ACTIVITY - ALLIED
With just two weeks remaining before 2019 comes to an end, it is now looking set that this year will be one of the slowest in terms of dry bulk new ...
Monday, 16 December 19
ULTRAMAX: A 63,000DWT SHIP FIXING DELIVERY FOR A SINGAPORE TRIP VIA INDONESIA, FOR RE-DELIVERY TO CHINA AT $11,000 - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
It was one-way traffic for the Capesize market this past week, with all routes giving up value. While downward momentum may have slowe ...
Monday, 16 December 19
THE OUTLOOK FOR U.S. THERMAL COAL IS INCREASINGLY STRESSED - MOODY'S
- Slowing global economic growth, trade tensions will continue to exert influence
- Coal's secular decline will persist in 2020
...
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- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- PTC India Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
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