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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Sunday, 22 December 19
TRADING PLACES FOR 2020 - BALTIC EXCHANGE
In the sea of 2020 predictions, Saxo Bank’s Outrageous Predictions sail their own very unique course. For nearly 20 years the Danish investme ...
Saturday, 21 December 19
SUPRAMAX: A 63,000 DWT VESSEL, OPEN CIGADING, FIXED A TRIP VIA INDONESIA, REDELIVERY WEST COAST INDIA, AT $8,500 - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
The Capesize market this past week has been attempting to recalibrate itself in consideration of weakening freight levels and increasi ...
Saturday, 21 December 19
SHIPPING'S SUPPLY AND DEMAND TRENDING OFF BALANCE - BIMCO
One of the most worrying trends that has developed recently – which will affect shipping demand in the years to come – is the falling t ...
Friday, 20 December 19
CHINA'S BENCHMARK POWER COAL PRICE REMAINS FLAT - XINHUA
China’s benchmark power coal price remained flat during the past week.
The Bohai-Rim Steam-Coal Price Index (BSPI), a gauge of ...
Thursday, 19 December 19
COAL POWER GENERATION CONTINUES TO DECLINE IN GERMANY: DESTATIS, XINHUA REPORTED
The volume of electricity generated in coal-fired power plants in Germany decreased “markedly” by 37 percent to 34 billion kilowatt-hou ...
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- Planning Commission, India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- White Energy Company Limited
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
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