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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Sunday, 26 January 20
SHIPPING NEEDS TO PREPARE FOR CORONAVIRUS RESTRICTIONS WARNS HILL DICKINSON
The shipping industry needs to be prepared for potential restrictions in order to prevent the further spread of the ‘Wuhan’ coronavirus ...
Friday, 24 January 20
LOW-SULPHUR FUEL OIL PRICES DROP USD 99 PER MT IN SINGAPORE - BIMCO
Singapore has seen one of the largest drops in the price of Very Low Sulphur Fuel Oil (VLSFO), which peaked on 7 January 2020 at USD 740 per metric ...
Friday, 24 January 20
CHINA'S BENCHMARK POWER COAL PRICE REMAINED FLAT DURING THE PAST WEEK - XINHUA
The Bohai-Rim Steam-Coal Price Index (BSPI), a gauge of coal prices in north China’s major ports, stood at 553 yuan (about 80.1 U.S. dollars) ...
Thursday, 23 January 20
PANAMAX: ANOTHER DISAPPOINTING WEEK IN BOTH THE ATLANTIC AND THE PACIFIC BASIN - FEARNLEYS
Cape Size
From bad to worse for the biggest ships as prices for low-sulphur fuel oil remain high whilst freight rates deteriorate further. Aver ...
Thursday, 23 January 20
AFRICAN POWER PLATFORM PUBLISHES REPORTS ON POWER SECTOR FRAMEWORK FOR SELECTED AFRICAN COUNTRIES
Press Release: African Power Platform publishes Reports on Power Sector Framework for selected African Countries
With the repo ...
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- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Australian Coal Association
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- PTC India Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Planning Commission, India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- VISA Power Limited - India
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