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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Saturday, 01 February 20
COAL IS NOT GOING ANYWHERE - MINING REVIEW
The coal sector is living under the constant threat of being blamed by environmentalists as being responsible for a world disaster called global wa ...
Saturday, 01 February 20
CIL PRODUCTION TO NOT EXCEED 640 MILLION TON IN FY20: OFFICIAL - PTI
Hit by disruptions due to a prolonged monsoon, mining major Coal India Ltd’s production in the current fiscal will not exceed 640 million ton ...
Saturday, 01 February 20
WHO PAYS FOR IMO 2020? - FREIGHT WAVES
The United Nations’ International Maritime Organization (IMO) implemented its low-sulfur fuel mandate on January 1, 2020. Full enforcement be ...
Friday, 31 January 20
EIA EXPECTS U.S. ELECTRICITY GENERATION FROM RENEWABLES TO SOON SURPASS NUCLEAR AND COAL
In the latest long-term projections, the U.S Energy Information Administration (EIA) projects electricity generation from renewable sources such as ...
Thursday, 30 January 20
PRIVATE SECTOR COMPANIES SEEK 'LEVEL PLAYING FIELD' FOR COAL BLOCK AUCTION - PTI
Private sector companies scouting opportunities for commercial coal mining in the country are seeking a “level playing field” to encour ...
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- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Economic Council, Georgia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- PTC India Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Australian Coal Association
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- The University of Queensland
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
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