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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Saturday, 01 February 20
COAL IS NOT GOING ANYWHERE - MINING REVIEW
The coal sector is living under the constant threat of being blamed by environmentalists as being responsible for a world disaster called global wa ...
Saturday, 01 February 20
CIL PRODUCTION TO NOT EXCEED 640 MILLION TON IN FY20: OFFICIAL - PTI
Hit by disruptions due to a prolonged monsoon, mining major Coal India Ltd’s production in the current fiscal will not exceed 640 million ton ...
Saturday, 01 February 20
WHO PAYS FOR IMO 2020? - FREIGHT WAVES
The United Nations’ International Maritime Organization (IMO) implemented its low-sulfur fuel mandate on January 1, 2020. Full enforcement be ...
Friday, 31 January 20
EIA EXPECTS U.S. ELECTRICITY GENERATION FROM RENEWABLES TO SOON SURPASS NUCLEAR AND COAL
In the latest long-term projections, the U.S Energy Information Administration (EIA) projects electricity generation from renewable sources such as ...
Thursday, 30 January 20
PRIVATE SECTOR COMPANIES SEEK 'LEVEL PLAYING FIELD' FOR COAL BLOCK AUCTION - PTI
Private sector companies scouting opportunities for commercial coal mining in the country are seeking a “level playing field” to encour ...
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- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- PTC India Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- White Energy Company Limited
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Australian Coal Association
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
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