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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Thursday, 30 January 20
CAPE: WITH CHINESE NEW YEAR TAKING PLACE, THE RATES ARE REACHING FURTHER DISAPPOINTING LEVELS - FEARNLEYS
Cape
With Chinese New Year taking place, the rates are reaching further disappointing levels. Present TC average is below USD 4,500, off 24% fr ...
Wednesday, 29 January 20
INDONESIA REMAINS AT THE TOP SPOT IN 2019 AS THE LARGEST SUPPLIER OF COAL TO INDIA WITH 91.3 MLN TONNES - BANCHERO COSTA
Despite repeated promises from India’s government to reduce the country’s coal imports and increase domestic self-reliance, volumes jus ...
Wednesday, 29 January 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Last week Libya’s oil production operations were disrupted as it was reported that local Libyan tribes interrupted output at the the El Feel ...
Tuesday, 28 January 20
INDONESIA - UNCERTAINTY OVER AVAILABILITY OF LSFO - THE STANDARD CLUB
The club has received reports that low sulphur fuel is not currently readily available in all Indonesian ports and that there are local shortages.
...
Sunday, 26 January 20
SUPRAMAX: THE ASIAN BASIN SAW A 56,000DWT SHIP FIXING DELIVERY SAMARINDA TRIP TO WEST COAST INDIA AT $4,750 - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
The market endured heavy losses throughout the past week, with the Capesize 5TC dropping from $8,352 to $4,772. In the lead up to Chin ...
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- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- PTC India Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Minerals Council of Australia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- The University of Queensland
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- White Energy Company Limited
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Australian Coal Association
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Planning Commission, India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- ASAPP Information Group - India
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