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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 21 January 20
THERMAL COAL PRICES SET FOR RECOVERY THIS YEAR AS OVERSUPPLY TIGHTENS - REUTERS
Thermal coal prices are expected to recover this year after losing around a third of their value last year as demand from some south-east Asian cou ...
Monday, 20 January 20
INDIA TO STOP SUBSTITUTABLE COAL IMPORT; CAN GO FOR AUCTION OF 100 FULLY EXPLORED NEW BLOCKS: JOSHI - PTI
The Cabinet recently approved promulgation of Mineral Laws (Amendment) Ordinance 2020 to amend Mines and Minerals (Development and Regulation ) Act ...
Monday, 20 January 20
CHINA DECEMBER COAL OUTPUT UP 2.4 PERCENT ON YEAR - STATS BUREAU: REUTERS
China produced 331.74 million tonnes of coal in December, up 2.4 percent on the year, the National Bureau of Statistics said on Friday.
...
Monday, 20 January 20
CHINA IMPORTED 124.4 MLN TONNES OF COAL FROM INDONESIA IN 2019, UP 15.1 PERCENT YOY - BANCHERO COSTA
China's coal imports raced ahead in 2019, surprising many who had expected that in the months of 2019 to come the government would clamp down s ...
Saturday, 18 January 20
BIMCO: LOW-SULPHUR FUEL SALE JUMPS TO A 70% SHARE IN SINGAPORE, AS THE IMO 2020 SULPHUR CAP KICKS IN
The final quarter of 2019 marked a massive decline of HSFO sales, as the industry transitioned into compliance of the IMO 2020 Sulphur Cap (IMO2020 ...
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- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- White Energy Company Limited
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Australian Coal Association
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
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