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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 21 January 20
THERMAL COAL PRICES SET FOR RECOVERY THIS YEAR AS OVERSUPPLY TIGHTENS - REUTERS
Thermal coal prices are expected to recover this year after losing around a third of their value last year as demand from some south-east Asian cou ...
Monday, 20 January 20
INDIA TO STOP SUBSTITUTABLE COAL IMPORT; CAN GO FOR AUCTION OF 100 FULLY EXPLORED NEW BLOCKS: JOSHI - PTI
The Cabinet recently approved promulgation of Mineral Laws (Amendment) Ordinance 2020 to amend Mines and Minerals (Development and Regulation ) Act ...
Monday, 20 January 20
CHINA DECEMBER COAL OUTPUT UP 2.4 PERCENT ON YEAR - STATS BUREAU: REUTERS
China produced 331.74 million tonnes of coal in December, up 2.4 percent on the year, the National Bureau of Statistics said on Friday.
...
Monday, 20 January 20
CHINA IMPORTED 124.4 MLN TONNES OF COAL FROM INDONESIA IN 2019, UP 15.1 PERCENT YOY - BANCHERO COSTA
China's coal imports raced ahead in 2019, surprising many who had expected that in the months of 2019 to come the government would clamp down s ...
Saturday, 18 January 20
BIMCO: LOW-SULPHUR FUEL SALE JUMPS TO A 70% SHARE IN SINGAPORE, AS THE IMO 2020 SULPHUR CAP KICKS IN
The final quarter of 2019 marked a massive decline of HSFO sales, as the industry transitioned into compliance of the IMO 2020 Sulphur Cap (IMO2020 ...
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- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Australian Coal Association
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- PTC India Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- White Energy Company Limited
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
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