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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Saturday, 18 January 20
GERMAN STEAM COAL IMPORTS IN 2019 PLUMMETED BY 17 % - COAL IMPORTERS ASSOCIATION
Press Release: According to preliminary calculations by the German Coal Importers Association (Verein der Kohlenimporteure e. V.), world trade in h ...
Saturday, 18 January 20
A 61,400 DWT FIXED FROM SOUTH EAST ASIA DELIVERY EAST KALIMANTAN REDELIVERY WEST COAST INDIA IN THE LOW $7,000S - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
The market was relatively stable over this past week putting an end to the past months of more extreme declines. While the Capesize 5T ...
Friday, 17 January 20
EIA ESTIMATES THAT U.S. COAL PRODUCTION DECLINED BY 65 MMST (9%) TO 690 MMST IN 2019. IN 2020, COAL PRODUCTION WILL DECLINE BY A FURTHER 14% TO 597 MMST
U.S. Coal Supply.
EIA estimates that U.S. coal production declined by 65 million short tons (MMst) (9%) to 690 MMst in 2019. In 2020, EIA ...
Friday, 17 January 20
CHINA'S BENCHMARK POWER COAL PRICE EDGES UP - XINHUA
China’s benchmark power coal price rose slightly during the past week.
The Bohai-Rim Steam-Coal Price Index, a gauge of coal p ...
Thursday, 16 January 20
SUPRAMAX: INDO/CHINA ROUND VOYAGE FIXING AROUND LOW/MID USD 6,000 BSS APS INDO - FEARNLEYS
Capesize
Still very rough seas for the big ships, with the majority of the fleet trading Far East or fronthaul and consequently earning far les ...
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- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- MS Steel International - UAE
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- White Energy Company Limited
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
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