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Tuesday, 14 January 20
SHIPPING MARKET ANALYSIS - ALLIED SHIPBROKING
 Uncertainty in the global geopolitical sphere seems to have not come to an end along with 2019, as 2020 commenced with renewed tensions between the US and Iran.These events escalated considerably and once again brought to the forefront the possibility for further geopolitical instability and disruptions to the global economic ecosystem (including along with it the shipping markets). The shockwaves of the increased tensions between the two countries pushed oil price above the US$ 70 per barrel mark, while gold, the safe haven choice for investors, rose to a seven-year high of around US$1,575/oz. The slowdown noted during the last few days though has helped alleviate recent concerns regarding global trade, but nevertheless the initial signals of 2020 are not exactly encouraging.
The risk of potential supply disruptions in the Middle East region has increased since last week, a fact that could generate significant problems for shipping routes from the Middle East Gulf to Europe and Asia. Despite the assurances made by Saudi Arabian= officials that oil production and supply will not encounter any issues, no one can predict with certainty what the next steps by Iran or the U.S. will be. Oil and LNG are the= commodities that are in the highest danger from the recent escalation in the tensions
between Washington and Teheran. It is worth mentioning that the Strait of Hormuz is the world's most important oil chokepoint with the daily trade passing through in 2018 being estimated at 21 million b/d. Iran had in the past threatened to close the passage in case of war in the region. This uncertainty is likely to lead to higher freight rates in the region (possibly with higher risk insurance premiums), but with the impact that a further escalation may have to the global trade being yet difficult to predict.
Putting the Middle East conflict aside, focus is also placed on the continuing trade tension saga between the US and China, with Phase 1 of the trade deal between the two countries expected to be signed later this week. The effect of this deal is questionable, as the 86-page agreement has not yet been made public, with several experts doubting how effective this deal is. Given that China’s growth rate is expected to decelerate even further this year (World Bank estimates a rate of 5.9% for 2020), market participants are waiting on the trade and economic data that China is expected to publish later this week in order to shape a better view as to the prospects of this Asian giant. The impact from the trade conflict were significant last year, with global trade growth being just 1.4%, the lowest since the 2008 financial crisis. This year global trade growth is expected to slightly improve but with the rate still remaining at comparatively low levels. Meanwhile, at the end of this month, we also expect Britain to leave the EU, a step that will bring the two on the next phase of the negotiation process where the future trading relationship between the two sides will be discussed. The result of these negotiations and the impact that they may have on the global economy is still fairly sketchy. Furthermore, we must not forget that we have the US presidential elections set to take place this November, the result of which will surely have a long-term impact on the US, as well the global economy.
All in all, global growth forecasts are not so optimistic for 2020, with several investment experts suggesting that the likelihood of recession this year has increased and even if we do not encounter one this year, the growth rate will remain close to the low of 2.3-2.5% that we witnessed last year as well.
Yiannis Vamvakas
Research Analyst
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Friday, 02 November 18
CHINA: COAL CONSUMPTION POSTS STRONG GROWTH ON BACK OF POWER GENERATION DEMAND - CHINA DAILY
China’s energy consumption experienced continuous rebound during the first three quarters in 2018, National Energy Administration announced o ...
Thursday, 01 November 18
IMO 2020 - EXPLORING THE OPTION OF SOX SCRUBBERS - SIDDHARTH MAHAJAN, GARD
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
There are four possible methods of compliance:
1.use VLSFO (very low Sulphur oil) or blends;
2,use dis ...
Wednesday, 31 October 18
INDIA: COAL IMPORTS SURGE ON DOMESTIC SHORT SUPPLY - HINDU
Shortage of thermal coal supply in India has pushed imports up to 85 million tonnes (mt) in the first half of the current fiscal compared to 75 mt ...
Wednesday, 31 October 18
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - APOSTOLOS ROMPOPOULOS
Since the IMO’s 2020 global cap on sulphur in marine fuels is coming into force, ship-owners have to decide whether they will operate using e ...
Monday, 29 October 18
IMPLEMENTATION OF SULPHUR 2020 LIMIT - CARRIAGE BAN ADOPTED - IMO
An amendment to support consistent implementation of the forthcoming 0.50% limit on sulphur in ships fuel oil was adopted by the International Mari ...
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- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- The University of Queensland
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- PTC India Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
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