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Tuesday, 14 January 20
SHIPPING MARKET ANALYSIS - ALLIED SHIPBROKING
 Uncertainty in the global geopolitical sphere seems to have not come to an end along with 2019, as 2020 commenced with renewed tensions between the US and Iran.These events escalated considerably and once again brought to the forefront the possibility for further geopolitical instability and disruptions to the global economic ecosystem (including along with it the shipping markets). The shockwaves of the increased tensions between the two countries pushed oil price above the US$ 70 per barrel mark, while gold, the safe haven choice for investors, rose to a seven-year high of around US$1,575/oz. The slowdown noted during the last few days though has helped alleviate recent concerns regarding global trade, but nevertheless the initial signals of 2020 are not exactly encouraging.
The risk of potential supply disruptions in the Middle East region has increased since last week, a fact that could generate significant problems for shipping routes from the Middle East Gulf to Europe and Asia. Despite the assurances made by Saudi Arabian= officials that oil production and supply will not encounter any issues, no one can predict with certainty what the next steps by Iran or the U.S. will be. Oil and LNG are the= commodities that are in the highest danger from the recent escalation in the tensions
between Washington and Teheran. It is worth mentioning that the Strait of Hormuz is the world's most important oil chokepoint with the daily trade passing through in 2018 being estimated at 21 million b/d. Iran had in the past threatened to close the passage in case of war in the region. This uncertainty is likely to lead to higher freight rates in the region (possibly with higher risk insurance premiums), but with the impact that a further escalation may have to the global trade being yet difficult to predict.
Putting the Middle East conflict aside, focus is also placed on the continuing trade tension saga between the US and China, with Phase 1 of the trade deal between the two countries expected to be signed later this week. The effect of this deal is questionable, as the 86-page agreement has not yet been made public, with several experts doubting how effective this deal is. Given that China’s growth rate is expected to decelerate even further this year (World Bank estimates a rate of 5.9% for 2020), market participants are waiting on the trade and economic data that China is expected to publish later this week in order to shape a better view as to the prospects of this Asian giant. The impact from the trade conflict were significant last year, with global trade growth being just 1.4%, the lowest since the 2008 financial crisis. This year global trade growth is expected to slightly improve but with the rate still remaining at comparatively low levels. Meanwhile, at the end of this month, we also expect Britain to leave the EU, a step that will bring the two on the next phase of the negotiation process where the future trading relationship between the two sides will be discussed. The result of these negotiations and the impact that they may have on the global economy is still fairly sketchy. Furthermore, we must not forget that we have the US presidential elections set to take place this November, the result of which will surely have a long-term impact on the US, as well the global economy.
All in all, global growth forecasts are not so optimistic for 2020, with several investment experts suggesting that the likelihood of recession this year has increased and even if we do not encounter one this year, the growth rate will remain close to the low of 2.3-2.5% that we witnessed last year as well.
Yiannis Vamvakas
Research Analyst
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Wednesday, 13 November 19
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
The improvements seen in the dry bulk market during the unexpectedly strong Q3 brought enthusiasm and optimism for a last quarter rally. Indeed as ...
Tuesday, 12 November 19
COAL IMPORTS AT MAJOR PORTS SLIP 18 PC TO 51 MT IN APRIL-OCTOBER - ECONOMIC TIMES
The Indian Ports Association (IPA), which maintains cargo data handled by these 12 ports, in its recent report, said "percentage variation fro ...
Monday, 11 November 19
EMINENT MARITIME ORGANIZATIONS AND INDIVIDUALS WERE HONORED
SHIPTEK 2019 Anchors in Greece for its 12th edition.
Eminent Maritime Organizations and Individuals were honored
Greec ...
Wednesday, 06 November 19
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
With less than two months before the end of the year, the shipping and refining industries have already taken measures and invested to accommodate ...
Monday, 04 November 19
COAL INDIA'S OCTOBER PRODUCTION MAY FALL 20% - PTI
Coal India’s production in October is likely to be 19-20 per cent lower at about 40 million tonne, as compared to 49.77 million tonne produce ...
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- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Planning Commission, India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Australian Coal Association
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- PTC India Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
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