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Tuesday, 14 January 20
SHIPPING MARKET ANALYSIS - ALLIED SHIPBROKING
 Uncertainty in the global geopolitical sphere seems to have not come to an end along with 2019, as 2020 commenced with renewed tensions between the US and Iran.These events escalated considerably and once again brought to the forefront the possibility for further geopolitical instability and disruptions to the global economic ecosystem (including along with it the shipping markets). The shockwaves of the increased tensions between the two countries pushed oil price above the US$ 70 per barrel mark, while gold, the safe haven choice for investors, rose to a seven-year high of around US$1,575/oz. The slowdown noted during the last few days though has helped alleviate recent concerns regarding global trade, but nevertheless the initial signals of 2020 are not exactly encouraging.
The risk of potential supply disruptions in the Middle East region has increased since last week, a fact that could generate significant problems for shipping routes from the Middle East Gulf to Europe and Asia. Despite the assurances made by Saudi Arabian= officials that oil production and supply will not encounter any issues, no one can predict with certainty what the next steps by Iran or the U.S. will be. Oil and LNG are the= commodities that are in the highest danger from the recent escalation in the tensions
between Washington and Teheran. It is worth mentioning that the Strait of Hormuz is the world's most important oil chokepoint with the daily trade passing through in 2018 being estimated at 21 million b/d. Iran had in the past threatened to close the passage in case of war in the region. This uncertainty is likely to lead to higher freight rates in the region (possibly with higher risk insurance premiums), but with the impact that a further escalation may have to the global trade being yet difficult to predict.
Putting the Middle East conflict aside, focus is also placed on the continuing trade tension saga between the US and China, with Phase 1 of the trade deal between the two countries expected to be signed later this week. The effect of this deal is questionable, as the 86-page agreement has not yet been made public, with several experts doubting how effective this deal is. Given that China’s growth rate is expected to decelerate even further this year (World Bank estimates a rate of 5.9% for 2020), market participants are waiting on the trade and economic data that China is expected to publish later this week in order to shape a better view as to the prospects of this Asian giant. The impact from the trade conflict were significant last year, with global trade growth being just 1.4%, the lowest since the 2008 financial crisis. This year global trade growth is expected to slightly improve but with the rate still remaining at comparatively low levels. Meanwhile, at the end of this month, we also expect Britain to leave the EU, a step that will bring the two on the next phase of the negotiation process where the future trading relationship between the two sides will be discussed. The result of these negotiations and the impact that they may have on the global economy is still fairly sketchy. Furthermore, we must not forget that we have the US presidential elections set to take place this November, the result of which will surely have a long-term impact on the US, as well the global economy.
All in all, global growth forecasts are not so optimistic for 2020, with several investment experts suggesting that the likelihood of recession this year has increased and even if we do not encounter one this year, the growth rate will remain close to the low of 2.3-2.5% that we witnessed last year as well.
Yiannis Vamvakas
Research Analyst
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Monday, 02 December 19
GREENER LNG IS VITAL TO ASIA'S SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT - WOOD MACKENZIE
Asia struggles with the world’s worst air pollution. Delhi hit the headlines in November 2019 as levels spiked to such hazardous levels that ...
Monday, 02 December 19
5TH EAST & SOUTHERN AFRICA GAS & LNG CONFERENCE 2020
5th East & Southern Africa Gas & LNG Conference 2020
April 2-3
Maputo, Mozambique
5th East & Southern Afri ...
Monday, 02 December 19
5TH DEEPWATER EAST & SOUTHERN AFRICA CONGRESS 2020
5th Deepwater East & Southern Africa Congress 2020
April 2-3
Maputo, Mozambique
5th Deepwater East & Southern ...
Sunday, 01 December 19
6TH CENTRAL & EASTERN EUROPE NUCLEAR INDUSTRY CONGRESS 2020
6th Central & Eastern Europe Nuclear Industry Congress 2020
January 20-21 | Prague, Czech Republic
Overview
6th ...
Saturday, 30 November 19
IMO2020 GLOBAL SULPHUR CUT: GERMAN SHIPPING TO USE NEW TYPE OF FUEL VDR SURVEY
IMO2020 Global sulphur cut: German shipping to use new type of fuel VDR survey: Technical issues and costs are the biggest challenges - VDR
&nb ...
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- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- PTC India Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Australian Coal Association
- Minerals Council of Australia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
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