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Tuesday, 14 January 20
SHIPPING MARKET ANALYSIS - ALLIED SHIPBROKING
 Uncertainty in the global geopolitical sphere seems to have not come to an end along with 2019, as 2020 commenced with renewed tensions between the US and Iran.These events escalated considerably and once again brought to the forefront the possibility for further geopolitical instability and disruptions to the global economic ecosystem (including along with it the shipping markets). The shockwaves of the increased tensions between the two countries pushed oil price above the US$ 70 per barrel mark, while gold, the safe haven choice for investors, rose to a seven-year high of around US$1,575/oz. The slowdown noted during the last few days though has helped alleviate recent concerns regarding global trade, but nevertheless the initial signals of 2020 are not exactly encouraging.
The risk of potential supply disruptions in the Middle East region has increased since last week, a fact that could generate significant problems for shipping routes from the Middle East Gulf to Europe and Asia. Despite the assurances made by Saudi Arabian= officials that oil production and supply will not encounter any issues, no one can predict with certainty what the next steps by Iran or the U.S. will be. Oil and LNG are the= commodities that are in the highest danger from the recent escalation in the tensions
between Washington and Teheran. It is worth mentioning that the Strait of Hormuz is the world's most important oil chokepoint with the daily trade passing through in 2018 being estimated at 21 million b/d. Iran had in the past threatened to close the passage in case of war in the region. This uncertainty is likely to lead to higher freight rates in the region (possibly with higher risk insurance premiums), but with the impact that a further escalation may have to the global trade being yet difficult to predict.
Putting the Middle East conflict aside, focus is also placed on the continuing trade tension saga between the US and China, with Phase 1 of the trade deal between the two countries expected to be signed later this week. The effect of this deal is questionable, as the 86-page agreement has not yet been made public, with several experts doubting how effective this deal is. Given that China’s growth rate is expected to decelerate even further this year (World Bank estimates a rate of 5.9% for 2020), market participants are waiting on the trade and economic data that China is expected to publish later this week in order to shape a better view as to the prospects of this Asian giant. The impact from the trade conflict were significant last year, with global trade growth being just 1.4%, the lowest since the 2008 financial crisis. This year global trade growth is expected to slightly improve but with the rate still remaining at comparatively low levels. Meanwhile, at the end of this month, we also expect Britain to leave the EU, a step that will bring the two on the next phase of the negotiation process where the future trading relationship between the two sides will be discussed. The result of these negotiations and the impact that they may have on the global economy is still fairly sketchy. Furthermore, we must not forget that we have the US presidential elections set to take place this November, the result of which will surely have a long-term impact on the US, as well the global economy.
All in all, global growth forecasts are not so optimistic for 2020, with several investment experts suggesting that the likelihood of recession this year has increased and even if we do not encounter one this year, the growth rate will remain close to the low of 2.3-2.5% that we witnessed last year as well.
Yiannis Vamvakas
Research Analyst
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Thursday, 23 January 20
AFRICAN POWER PLATFORM PUBLISHES REPORTS ON POWER SECTOR FRAMEWORK FOR SELECTED AFRICAN COUNTRIES
Press Release: African Power Platform publishes Reports on Power Sector Framework for selected African Countries
With the repo ...
Thursday, 23 January 20
COAL-BASED ELECTRICITY GENERATION SURGES 95% IN 2019 - PROFIT PAKISTAN TODAY
Coal-based power generation jumped 94.5 percent to 2,030 Gigawatt hours (GWh) in the year to November 2019, taking its share in the country’s ...
Wednesday, 22 January 20
INDIA: COAL PRODUCTION FROM CAPTIVE MINES RAISES 24% OUTPUT IN APRIL TO DECEMBER - FINANCIAL EXPRESS
Coal production from captive mines in the first nine months of the ongoing financial year was up 24% year-on-year (y-o-y) at 40.93 million tonne (M ...
Wednesday, 22 January 20
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
It seems that we are finally seeing whitish smoke as far as the trade feud between the US and China is concerned, while following this much anticip ...
Tuesday, 21 January 20
IRON ORE - 5 THINGS TO WATCH IN 2020 - WOOD MACKENZIE
Wood Mackenzie identifies five trends that will impact the iron ore industry.
Slower demand growth (especially in China) and a decen ...
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- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- PTC India Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Australian Coal Association
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- VISA Power Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- The University of Queensland
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- White Energy Company Limited
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
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