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Tuesday, 14 January 20
SHIPPING MARKET ANALYSIS - ALLIED SHIPBROKING
 Uncertainty in the global geopolitical sphere seems to have not come to an end along with 2019, as 2020 commenced with renewed tensions between the US and Iran.These events escalated considerably and once again brought to the forefront the possibility for further geopolitical instability and disruptions to the global economic ecosystem (including along with it the shipping markets). The shockwaves of the increased tensions between the two countries pushed oil price above the US$ 70 per barrel mark, while gold, the safe haven choice for investors, rose to a seven-year high of around US$1,575/oz. The slowdown noted during the last few days though has helped alleviate recent concerns regarding global trade, but nevertheless the initial signals of 2020 are not exactly encouraging.
The risk of potential supply disruptions in the Middle East region has increased since last week, a fact that could generate significant problems for shipping routes from the Middle East Gulf to Europe and Asia. Despite the assurances made by Saudi Arabian= officials that oil production and supply will not encounter any issues, no one can predict with certainty what the next steps by Iran or the U.S. will be. Oil and LNG are the= commodities that are in the highest danger from the recent escalation in the tensions
between Washington and Teheran. It is worth mentioning that the Strait of Hormuz is the world's most important oil chokepoint with the daily trade passing through in 2018 being estimated at 21 million b/d. Iran had in the past threatened to close the passage in case of war in the region. This uncertainty is likely to lead to higher freight rates in the region (possibly with higher risk insurance premiums), but with the impact that a further escalation may have to the global trade being yet difficult to predict.
Putting the Middle East conflict aside, focus is also placed on the continuing trade tension saga between the US and China, with Phase 1 of the trade deal between the two countries expected to be signed later this week. The effect of this deal is questionable, as the 86-page agreement has not yet been made public, with several experts doubting how effective this deal is. Given that China’s growth rate is expected to decelerate even further this year (World Bank estimates a rate of 5.9% for 2020), market participants are waiting on the trade and economic data that China is expected to publish later this week in order to shape a better view as to the prospects of this Asian giant. The impact from the trade conflict were significant last year, with global trade growth being just 1.4%, the lowest since the 2008 financial crisis. This year global trade growth is expected to slightly improve but with the rate still remaining at comparatively low levels. Meanwhile, at the end of this month, we also expect Britain to leave the EU, a step that will bring the two on the next phase of the negotiation process where the future trading relationship between the two sides will be discussed. The result of these negotiations and the impact that they may have on the global economy is still fairly sketchy. Furthermore, we must not forget that we have the US presidential elections set to take place this November, the result of which will surely have a long-term impact on the US, as well the global economy.
All in all, global growth forecasts are not so optimistic for 2020, with several investment experts suggesting that the likelihood of recession this year has increased and even if we do not encounter one this year, the growth rate will remain close to the low of 2.3-2.5% that we witnessed last year as well.
Yiannis Vamvakas
Research Analyst
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Sunday, 26 January 20
SUPRAMAX: THE ASIAN BASIN SAW A 56,000DWT SHIP FIXING DELIVERY SAMARINDA TRIP TO WEST COAST INDIA AT $4,750 - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
The market endured heavy losses throughout the past week, with the Capesize 5TC dropping from $8,352 to $4,772. In the lead up to Chin ...
Sunday, 26 January 20
SHIPPING NEEDS TO PREPARE FOR CORONAVIRUS RESTRICTIONS WARNS HILL DICKINSON
The shipping industry needs to be prepared for potential restrictions in order to prevent the further spread of the ‘Wuhan’ coronavirus ...
Friday, 24 January 20
LOW-SULPHUR FUEL OIL PRICES DROP USD 99 PER MT IN SINGAPORE - BIMCO
Singapore has seen one of the largest drops in the price of Very Low Sulphur Fuel Oil (VLSFO), which peaked on 7 January 2020 at USD 740 per metric ...
Friday, 24 January 20
CHINA'S BENCHMARK POWER COAL PRICE REMAINED FLAT DURING THE PAST WEEK - XINHUA
The Bohai-Rim Steam-Coal Price Index (BSPI), a gauge of coal prices in north China’s major ports, stood at 553 yuan (about 80.1 U.S. dollars) ...
Thursday, 23 January 20
PANAMAX: ANOTHER DISAPPOINTING WEEK IN BOTH THE ATLANTIC AND THE PACIFIC BASIN - FEARNLEYS
Cape Size
From bad to worse for the biggest ships as prices for low-sulphur fuel oil remain high whilst freight rates deteriorate further. Aver ...
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- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Australian Coal Association
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
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