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Tuesday, 14 January 20
SHIPPING MARKET ANALYSIS - ALLIED SHIPBROKING
 Uncertainty in the global geopolitical sphere seems to have not come to an end along with 2019, as 2020 commenced with renewed tensions between the US and Iran.These events escalated considerably and once again brought to the forefront the possibility for further geopolitical instability and disruptions to the global economic ecosystem (including along with it the shipping markets). The shockwaves of the increased tensions between the two countries pushed oil price above the US$ 70 per barrel mark, while gold, the safe haven choice for investors, rose to a seven-year high of around US$1,575/oz. The slowdown noted during the last few days though has helped alleviate recent concerns regarding global trade, but nevertheless the initial signals of 2020 are not exactly encouraging.
The risk of potential supply disruptions in the Middle East region has increased since last week, a fact that could generate significant problems for shipping routes from the Middle East Gulf to Europe and Asia. Despite the assurances made by Saudi Arabian= officials that oil production and supply will not encounter any issues, no one can predict with certainty what the next steps by Iran or the U.S. will be. Oil and LNG are the= commodities that are in the highest danger from the recent escalation in the tensions
between Washington and Teheran. It is worth mentioning that the Strait of Hormuz is the world's most important oil chokepoint with the daily trade passing through in 2018 being estimated at 21 million b/d. Iran had in the past threatened to close the passage in case of war in the region. This uncertainty is likely to lead to higher freight rates in the region (possibly with higher risk insurance premiums), but with the impact that a further escalation may have to the global trade being yet difficult to predict.
Putting the Middle East conflict aside, focus is also placed on the continuing trade tension saga between the US and China, with Phase 1 of the trade deal between the two countries expected to be signed later this week. The effect of this deal is questionable, as the 86-page agreement has not yet been made public, with several experts doubting how effective this deal is. Given that China’s growth rate is expected to decelerate even further this year (World Bank estimates a rate of 5.9% for 2020), market participants are waiting on the trade and economic data that China is expected to publish later this week in order to shape a better view as to the prospects of this Asian giant. The impact from the trade conflict were significant last year, with global trade growth being just 1.4%, the lowest since the 2008 financial crisis. This year global trade growth is expected to slightly improve but with the rate still remaining at comparatively low levels. Meanwhile, at the end of this month, we also expect Britain to leave the EU, a step that will bring the two on the next phase of the negotiation process where the future trading relationship between the two sides will be discussed. The result of these negotiations and the impact that they may have on the global economy is still fairly sketchy. Furthermore, we must not forget that we have the US presidential elections set to take place this November, the result of which will surely have a long-term impact on the US, as well the global economy.
All in all, global growth forecasts are not so optimistic for 2020, with several investment experts suggesting that the likelihood of recession this year has increased and even if we do not encounter one this year, the growth rate will remain close to the low of 2.3-2.5% that we witnessed last year as well.
Yiannis Vamvakas
Research Analyst
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Tuesday, 24 March 20
THE TRIPLE SHOCK OF CORONAVIRUS IN SHIPPING: WILL IT LAST? - DREWRY
Transport capacity shortages, disruptions to supply chains and inability to plan since late January have been a dangerous combination. But will all ...
Tuesday, 24 March 20
CHINA TAIYUAN COAL TRANSACTION PRICE INDEX DOWN 0.28 PCT - XINHUA
China Taiyuan coal transaction price index stood at 132.74 points Monday, down 0.28 percent week on week.
The index, released by Chi ...
Monday, 23 March 20
CHARTERPARTY REQUIREMENTS TO NOTIFY CLAIMS - TAKE CARE! - WFW
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
Voyage charterparties frequently require the owner to notify any claim with supporting documents within a relatively shor ...
Monday, 23 March 20
COAL INDIA LIMITED'S ONE-DAY OUTPUT PEAKS AT 3.17 MT - THE HINDU
Coal India Limited (CIL) output peaked at a new high of 3.17 million tonnes (MT) on March 20, overtaking the 3.14 MT production recorded on March 2 ...
Monday, 23 March 20
KOMIPO INVITED BIDS FOR 1.45 MILLION TONS OF COAL FOR JUNE & JULY 2020 LOADING
COALspot.com: Korea Midland Power Co.,Ltd (KOMIPO), on behalf of five Korean Gencos, has issued an international tender for total 1,450,000 MT (&pl ...
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- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- White Energy Company Limited
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- The University of Queensland
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
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