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Tuesday, 14 January 20
SHIPPING MARKET ANALYSIS - ALLIED SHIPBROKING
 Uncertainty in the global geopolitical sphere seems to have not come to an end along with 2019, as 2020 commenced with renewed tensions between the US and Iran.These events escalated considerably and once again brought to the forefront the possibility for further geopolitical instability and disruptions to the global economic ecosystem (including along with it the shipping markets). The shockwaves of the increased tensions between the two countries pushed oil price above the US$ 70 per barrel mark, while gold, the safe haven choice for investors, rose to a seven-year high of around US$1,575/oz. The slowdown noted during the last few days though has helped alleviate recent concerns regarding global trade, but nevertheless the initial signals of 2020 are not exactly encouraging.
The risk of potential supply disruptions in the Middle East region has increased since last week, a fact that could generate significant problems for shipping routes from the Middle East Gulf to Europe and Asia. Despite the assurances made by Saudi Arabian= officials that oil production and supply will not encounter any issues, no one can predict with certainty what the next steps by Iran or the U.S. will be. Oil and LNG are the= commodities that are in the highest danger from the recent escalation in the tensions
between Washington and Teheran. It is worth mentioning that the Strait of Hormuz is the world's most important oil chokepoint with the daily trade passing through in 2018 being estimated at 21 million b/d. Iran had in the past threatened to close the passage in case of war in the region. This uncertainty is likely to lead to higher freight rates in the region (possibly with higher risk insurance premiums), but with the impact that a further escalation may have to the global trade being yet difficult to predict.
Putting the Middle East conflict aside, focus is also placed on the continuing trade tension saga between the US and China, with Phase 1 of the trade deal between the two countries expected to be signed later this week. The effect of this deal is questionable, as the 86-page agreement has not yet been made public, with several experts doubting how effective this deal is. Given that China’s growth rate is expected to decelerate even further this year (World Bank estimates a rate of 5.9% for 2020), market participants are waiting on the trade and economic data that China is expected to publish later this week in order to shape a better view as to the prospects of this Asian giant. The impact from the trade conflict were significant last year, with global trade growth being just 1.4%, the lowest since the 2008 financial crisis. This year global trade growth is expected to slightly improve but with the rate still remaining at comparatively low levels. Meanwhile, at the end of this month, we also expect Britain to leave the EU, a step that will bring the two on the next phase of the negotiation process where the future trading relationship between the two sides will be discussed. The result of these negotiations and the impact that they may have on the global economy is still fairly sketchy. Furthermore, we must not forget that we have the US presidential elections set to take place this November, the result of which will surely have a long-term impact on the US, as well the global economy.
All in all, global growth forecasts are not so optimistic for 2020, with several investment experts suggesting that the likelihood of recession this year has increased and even if we do not encounter one this year, the growth rate will remain close to the low of 2.3-2.5% that we witnessed last year as well.
Yiannis Vamvakas
Research Analyst
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Friday, 24 July 20
IPA: THERMAL COAL IMPORTS AT MAJOR PORTS DECLINE 35 PC TO 17.71 MT IN APR TO JUNE - ECONOMIC TIMES
These ports had handled 27.13 MT of thermal coal and 14.95 MT of coking coal in the April-June period of the previous financial year
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Thursday, 23 July 20
KOREAN GENCOS INVITED BIDS FOR TOTAL 1.36 MILLION TONS OF BITUMINOUS COAL FOR OCTOBER 2020 LOADING
COALspot.com: Korea Midland Power Co., Ltd (KOMIPO) on behalf of EWP, KOSPO, KOSEP and KOWEPO has issued an international tender for total 1,360,00 ...
Wednesday, 22 July 20
CIL'S COAL SUPPLY TO POWER SECTOR DROPS OVER 21% TO 93.5 MT IN APR-JUN QUARTER - PTI
The supply of coal by state-owned Coal India Ltd to the power sector fell 21.7 percent to 93.5 million tonnes (MT) in the first quarter of the ongo ...
Monday, 20 July 20
KOREA MIDLAND POWER INVITED BIDS FOR TOTAL 2.520 MILLION MT OF BITUMINOUS COAL FOR THREE YEARS
COALspot.com: Korea Midland Power Co., Ltd (KOMIPO), has issued an international tender for total 840,000 of Bituminous Coal to be used at Bo ...
Monday, 20 July 20
CHINA'S JUNE COAL OUTPUT FALLS 1.2% YEAR-ON-YEAR OVER ILLEGAL MINING CHECKS - REUTERS
China’s coal output dropped 1.2% in June on the year to 330 million tonnes, official data showed, as major coal mining areas cracked down on ...
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- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- PTC India Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
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