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Tuesday, 14 January 20
SHIPPING MARKET ANALYSIS - ALLIED SHIPBROKING
 Uncertainty in the global geopolitical sphere seems to have not come to an end along with 2019, as 2020 commenced with renewed tensions between the US and Iran.These events escalated considerably and once again brought to the forefront the possibility for further geopolitical instability and disruptions to the global economic ecosystem (including along with it the shipping markets). The shockwaves of the increased tensions between the two countries pushed oil price above the US$ 70 per barrel mark, while gold, the safe haven choice for investors, rose to a seven-year high of around US$1,575/oz. The slowdown noted during the last few days though has helped alleviate recent concerns regarding global trade, but nevertheless the initial signals of 2020 are not exactly encouraging.
The risk of potential supply disruptions in the Middle East region has increased since last week, a fact that could generate significant problems for shipping routes from the Middle East Gulf to Europe and Asia. Despite the assurances made by Saudi Arabian= officials that oil production and supply will not encounter any issues, no one can predict with certainty what the next steps by Iran or the U.S. will be. Oil and LNG are the= commodities that are in the highest danger from the recent escalation in the tensions
between Washington and Teheran. It is worth mentioning that the Strait of Hormuz is the world's most important oil chokepoint with the daily trade passing through in 2018 being estimated at 21 million b/d. Iran had in the past threatened to close the passage in case of war in the region. This uncertainty is likely to lead to higher freight rates in the region (possibly with higher risk insurance premiums), but with the impact that a further escalation may have to the global trade being yet difficult to predict.
Putting the Middle East conflict aside, focus is also placed on the continuing trade tension saga between the US and China, with Phase 1 of the trade deal between the two countries expected to be signed later this week. The effect of this deal is questionable, as the 86-page agreement has not yet been made public, with several experts doubting how effective this deal is. Given that China’s growth rate is expected to decelerate even further this year (World Bank estimates a rate of 5.9% for 2020), market participants are waiting on the trade and economic data that China is expected to publish later this week in order to shape a better view as to the prospects of this Asian giant. The impact from the trade conflict were significant last year, with global trade growth being just 1.4%, the lowest since the 2008 financial crisis. This year global trade growth is expected to slightly improve but with the rate still remaining at comparatively low levels. Meanwhile, at the end of this month, we also expect Britain to leave the EU, a step that will bring the two on the next phase of the negotiation process where the future trading relationship between the two sides will be discussed. The result of these negotiations and the impact that they may have on the global economy is still fairly sketchy. Furthermore, we must not forget that we have the US presidential elections set to take place this November, the result of which will surely have a long-term impact on the US, as well the global economy.
All in all, global growth forecasts are not so optimistic for 2020, with several investment experts suggesting that the likelihood of recession this year has increased and even if we do not encounter one this year, the growth rate will remain close to the low of 2.3-2.5% that we witnessed last year as well.
Yiannis Vamvakas
Research Analyst
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Wednesday, 21 October 20
INDIA: THE COMMERCIALISATION OF COAL BLOCKS WILL BENEFIT THE ECONOMY - HINDU BUSINESS LINE
As the government of India receives 76 bids for 23 coal mines against the 38 up on auction, what does this commercialisation of coal block allocati ...
Wednesday, 21 October 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
The second wave of COVID-19 is now a reality; offices are closing again, and stricter rules and regulations are being implemented in public spaces. ...
Tuesday, 20 October 20
CHINA TAIYUAN COAL TRANSACTION PRICE INDEX UP 0.82 PCT - XINHUA
China Taiyuan coal transaction price index stood at 127.49 points Monday, up 0.82 percent week on week.
The index, released by China ...
Tuesday, 20 October 20
BIMCO 'SHIPLEASE' TERM SHEET - WATSON FARLEY & WILLIAMS
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
The ever-growing importance of sale and leaseback transactions as an alternative to financing ships by way of loan, makes ...
Friday, 16 October 20
KOMIPO ON BEHALF OF K GENCO'S INVITED BIDS FOR TOTAL 715,000 MT MIN. 5,700 NAR COAL FOR DECEMBER
COALspot.com: Korea Midland Power Co., Ltd (KOMIPO) on behalf of EWP, KOSPO, KOSEP and KOWEPO has issued an international tender for total 715,000& ...
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- The University of Queensland
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- PTC India Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
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