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Wednesday, 27 November 19
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL

As the end of the fourth quarter is approaching, one could say that the wet market has maintained the strong pace observed during the third quarter and will probably prove right those market specialists that predicted that tanker rates would be soaring coming into 2020 with the “IMO effect” ready to kick in.
The million dollar question is if this firm market recovery (both in asset prices as well as freight rates) is the beginning of a new cycle. What definitely helped boost earnings was the recent sanctions imposed by the USA to the Chinese Cosco tanker fleet that abruptly removed a significant amount of ships from the market and inevitably pushed the market to the recent highs. COSCO Dalian and its subsidiaries own 43 oil tankers, including 26 very large crude carriers (VLCCs) which consist over 3% of the VLCC fleet.
Despite the sanctions, the fundamental drive in this increase is still the coming IMO regulations that as many analysts predicted triggered an incremental move of cargoes from the desulphurization units towards major bunkering areas. Opportunities for profit were also created for traders finding market imbalances deriving from the shock of new regulations and the need to create a “new” mainstream fuel. It therefore seems that what we have been witnessing is not just a short lived spike but the start of the “IMO story”, which will be in full effect the first half of 2020.
On the Dry market, the BDI has been extremely volatile throughout the year, shifting sentiment several times as a result. The year kicked in with a steep decline amidst fears of the US-China trade talks, the Vale dam disaster and seasonal Chinese New Year celebrations declines.
Most feared 2019 could be a repeat of the lows observed back in 2016, while during Q1 we observed an SNP drought with only 103 bulk carriers changing hands. However, during the second quarter the market stabilized and increased steadily along with the feeling that the worst part of the year was already over and hopes for a rebound came along, with SNP transactions increasing to 137. The third quarter was overwhelming; freight rates increased rapidly and helped most companies return to the black, while more ships changed hands and transactions totaled 166. So when the last quarter begun, sentiment was firm and freights were high, while the majority of the industry was prepared for a very strong finish to the year.
To the surprise of most, the positive sentiment that prevailed during the past summer is currently questioned by the performance of the BDI and uncertainty over the new regulations has become a growing concern for dry bulk owners. Consequently, one would expect transactions to decline. However, SNP activity remained strong, with more than 85 transactions already confirmed half way into this quarter, while the majority of them was concluded to Greek owners, which itself constitutes a vote of confidence on an imminent rebound of the market sooner rather than later.
By Ilias M. Lalaounis
SnP Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Saturday, 30 November 19
IMO2020 GLOBAL SULPHUR CUT: GERMAN SHIPPING TO USE NEW TYPE OF FUEL VDR SURVEY
IMO2020 Global sulphur cut: German shipping to use new type of fuel VDR survey: Technical issues and costs are the biggest challenges - VDR
&nb ...
Saturday, 30 November 19
PANAMAX: LEVELS IMPROVED IN THE PACIFIC MARKET TOO WITH $11,000 BEING CONCLUDED ON AN 81,000DWT SHIP FOR AN INDONESIA TO CHINA COAL TRIP - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
The market has been well supported over the past week, led primarily by the Atlantic Basin. After bottoming last week, sentiment was s ...
Friday, 29 November 19
FITCHRATINGS MAINTAINS NEGATIVE 2020 OUTLOOK ON SHIPPING, AS TIGHTER SUPPLY HELPS, BUT SOFTER DEMAND DRAGS
Fitch’s Sector Outlook: Negative
We maintain a negative sector outlook for global shipping because of the forecast slowdown of ...
Friday, 29 November 19
INDONESIA PRODUCES 390 MLN TONNES OF COAL IN JAN-SEPT: MINISTER - REUTERS
Indonesia’s production of coal for the January-September period was 390 million tonnes, Energy and Mineral Resources Minister Arifin Tasrif s ...
Tuesday, 26 November 19
PREPARATIONS INTENSIFY AS 1 JANUARY 2020 GLOBAL CUT IN SULPHUR IN SHIP'S FUEL OIL LOOMS: IMO
“IMO 2020” requirements for ships to cut sulphur oxide emissions enter into effect in just over one month’s time. This will signi ...
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- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Minerals Council of Australia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- White Energy Company Limited
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- The University of Queensland
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Australian Coal Association
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Planning Commission, India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
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