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Wednesday, 15 May 19
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - THEODORE NTALAKOS
Modern warfare - Trade wars & sanctions
As of May 1st, the U.S. has ended waivers to the sanctions that had allowed the top buyers of Iranian oil to continue their imports. China is the world's No1 oil importer and a major buyer of Iranian Oil. The May 1 deadline coincided with the US trade representatives traveling to Beijing and while in April Trump was tweeting that whilst there are still differences, the two sides are closer to a trade deal; the move of eliminating the waivers could be linked to the trade talks and most probably even served as an irritant between Beijing and Washington. Making China's energy imports challenging and subject to U.S. Jurisdiction is not something that can be easily digested and its timing is rather unusual, in one of the supposed final rounds of trade negotiations.
So, right when everybody thought that the trade war might be winding down, the trade frictions have suddenly worsened last week when Trump vented about China renegotiating agreed positions, and announced a 25% tariff on $200b worth of Chinese products. Additionally the US administration said it will impose 25% tariff on all remaining imports from China, $300b, or so.
China has retaliated by announcing that they will increase the tariffs on about $60b in U.S. exports, including hundreds of agricultural, mining, and manufactured products, threatening jobs and profits at companies in and around the United States. The Chinese tariffs of 25% will fall mostly on products that China has a surplus or self-reliance, such as steel, chemicals or textiles while goods that they don't produce will be taxed with 5%.
China depends on the U.S. mostly for high-end products, such as electronics, machinery, precision equipment, aircraft and parts, vehicles and parts, and oil and gas and the Chinese government looks like they have handpicked the goods where the tax will be increased to 25%. One U.S. industry that will be heavily affected is the LNG exports which will face a 25% tariff. LNG shipping firms have also seen their share prices dip. While China, who is already the second largest importer of LNG, will increase their LNG imports by 50% by 2025, the price will be the most decisive factors for the amount and origin of imports. This will only become more important with the startup of the gas pipeline between China and Russia. President Trump knows that and has pushed China to sign deals to import LNG.
The next few weeks will be critical. The worst case - no deal – scenario, or even if coming to an agreement gets anywhere close to 2020, will be a game changer. Tariffs on all trades between US and China plus other administrative actions will lead to a slowdown in investment, rising costs and business uncertainty that will probably lead in a recession in the US and given the weakness in the European economy, Europe would suffer as well with the negative effects spreading across other economies eventually.
On the other hand, negotiations have come a long way. President Trump and Chinese president Xi Jinping will attend the G20 meetings in Osaka at the end of June, so there is hope that the two sides will make amends by then. The challenges to a trade deal would probably grow if the two administrations can’t reach an agreement, so most probably things will get worse before they get better.
By Theodore Ntalakos
SnP Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Thursday, 18 October 18
SUPRAMAX: INDO/WC INDIA SUPRAS ARE FIXING AROUND MID $14000S P/D BASIS SPORE DELIVERY
Capesize
The volatile Cape market continues this week, especially in the Pacific says Fearnleys in its latest weekly report.
...
Thursday, 18 October 18
COAL SHORTAGE HITS POWER SECTOR AGAIN; HOW INDIA CAN GET ITS PRODUCTION RIGHT - ANIL SWARUP
By convincing states of the value proposition of increased production, the record production of Fy15 & Fy16 can be emulated.
The ...
Thursday, 18 October 18
CHINA POWER REFORM NEUTRAL ON GRIDS, PRESSURES IPP MARGINS - FITCH RATINGS
China's power sector reform has a broadly neutral impact on transmission grids although it will pressure the power producers' margins, says ...
Wednesday, 17 October 18
ESCROW SERVICE FOR BALTIC MEMBERS NOW LIVE
The Baltic Exchange’s Escrow Service for its members to hold deposits for ship sale transactions goes live today (15 October). The service is ...
Wednesday, 17 October 18
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - TIMOS PAPADIMITRIOU
In the last three months approximately 72 tankers changed hands involving ships larger than 33kdwt up to VLCC. 43 of those vessels had to do ...
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Showing 1586 to 1590 news of total 6871 |
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- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Planning Commission, India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- The University of Queensland
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
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