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Tuesday, 07 May 19
UNDOUBTEDLY A VERY TROUBLED YEAR FOR THE DRY BULK MARKET, SAYS ALLIED SHIPPING
 Undoubtedly a very troubled year for the dry bulk market says Allied Shipping in its latest weekly report.
Thomas Chasapis, Research Analyst of Allied Shipping says, at the end of 2018, we were noting strong levels of optimism and bullish sentiment for the year that lay ahead, especially when given the overall recovery that had been noted in 2018 and 2017, whilst most core index figures finished at relatively good levels. Given these positive trends, for most, 2019 was set to also be a year of general upward momentum, inline somehow with the perceived perception that fundamentals were still improving and there would be more balanced and sustainable dynamics witnessed in the market. Even for those that held a more conservative view as to how things would transpire, few would have called the steepness of the downward correction noted, the increased volatility or the continuous shifts in sentiment that characterize the current market.
After more than 3 months of being stuck in the doldrums, Thomas Chasapis says, with volatility rising for the first quarter of this year by 178% compared to the same time frame back in 2018 (using standard deviation), we finally saw the BDI pass above the 1,000 basis point mark once more (a point last held at the end of January). Even if you consider this recovery to be momentary and driven mainly by the recovery noted in the Capesize segment, it still represents a huge “breather” for the overall dry sector.
Taking this last point, it is interesting to see the BCI trends of late in more detail. The BCI time charter average closed on Friday at US$ 11,182/day, while just a month prior, it had reached its lowest level (since 2016) of 3,460 US$/day, as such placing the recovery gain in the region of 223% in almost 1 month. If this doesn’t sound so impressive, the BCI index made an even more impressive jump, going from a low point of 92 basis points at the very start of April, up to 1,290 points (14 times higher!).
Furthermore, Research Analyst of Allied Shipping noted that, adding a taste of forward sentiment coming through the paper market, a considerable boost was noted not only for FFA contracts for this year, but also for the calendar years of 2020 and 2021. Notwithstanding this, there is still a fair bit of road ahead before we start witnessing any sort of rebalancing in this segment. The turmoil derived from the Vale incident a few months back continues to shake the market, while now, given that most parties involved are now in the process of adapting to the new market realities, we can expect huge levels of volatility and asymmetries for the rest of the year (at least). Moreover, even if we assume an increase in demand for iron ore in the near term and that it will be absorbed completely by the other main exporters (such as Australia), we will still be left with a tremendous gap in tonne-miles which will continue to add an excessive amount of negative pressure on freight rates.
All-in-all, while leaving aside the rather mediocre state being portrayed right now in the dry bulk sector in terms of earnings, the point that troubles most is the overall feeling of uncertainty surrounding the market. Moreover, given a potential 25% levy to be imposed in US imports from China by this Friday as mentioned by President Trump’s tweets on Sunday, it is obvious that we will continue to face random and unpredictable shocks, with tremendous consequences to the overall state of the freight market. With all being said, even under good and strong fundamentals (i.e. balanced supply-demand dynamics), it is very difficult at this point to make any confident assumptions as to what direction the market will take next, even on a short-term basis.
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Monday, 09 September 19
ULTRAMAX: ASIA A 58,000-TONNER FIXED DELIVERY FUZHOU, VIA INDONESIA, REDELIVERY CHINA, AT $12,800
Capesize
0px The market reached new heights this week as the 5TC topped $38,014, a level not seen in the sector since 2013. Fridays 5TC closed ...
Wednesday, 04 September 19
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
For yet another time, the market seems to have its own drivers. After a very disappointing first half, the recent recovery in the shipping market i ...
Tuesday, 20 August 19
NORDEN HAS BEEN AWARDED A 3-YEAR CONTRACT FOR THE TRANSPORTATION OF COAL FROM INDONESIA TO HONG KONG
NORDEN has been awarded a 3-year contract with a power company in Hong Kong for the transportation of coal from Indonesia to Hong Kong.
...
Tuesday, 20 August 19
THE AUGUST 2019 INDONESIAN COAL PRICE REFERENCE POSTS THE FIRST MONTHLY GAIN SINCE AUGUST 2018
COALspot.com: The Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources of the Republic of Indonesia has revised up the benchmark price of Indonesian thermal co ...
Monday, 19 August 19
INDONESIAN COAL RUNS, A 82,000DWT SHIP WAS FIXED DELIVERY CHINA VIA INDONESIA, REDELIVERY JAPAN, IN THE MID $16,000S - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
The Capesize market was buoyant in both basins this week, posting gains across the board. After bottoming out the previous week, rates ...
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Showing 1346 to 1350 news of total 6871 |
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- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- PTC India Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Planning Commission, India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- The University of Queensland
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
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