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Tuesday, 08 January 19
GLOBAL TRADE GROWTH EXPECTED TO REMAIN AT HEALTHY IN 2019 - ALLIED
 2019 is here and we find ourselves with new challenges for the shipping industry and the global economy as whole, with market prospects being neither optimistic nor pessimistic according to most analysts, Yiannis Vamvakas Allied shipping’s Research Analyst said in his latest weekly report.
Economic shocks and unexpected events cannot be fully predicted, but let’s recap some key points being seen. With regards to economic growth expectations, figures remain positive for 2019, but according to most, growth will drift to lower levels than it did in 2018.
UBS forecasts a figure close to 3.6% for the global economic growth this year, 0.2% lower than the last year, due to tighter monetary policies and political challenges among the world’s major economies. He also further noted, the same trend is projected for the US from Goldman Sachs, reducing the US economy growth forecast for the first half of 2019 to 2% from 2.4% estimated earlier. Most analysts predict that a US recession risk is low for this year. Meanwhile, it is worth mentioning that elections are expected for several countries this year, including India, South Africa, Canada, Argentina and Greece, leaving the prospect of political shocks firm on the table.
Additionally, Brexit is planned to occur on March 29, with many aspects of the withdrawal agreement still remaining unclear. Meanwhile, trade tensions emerged this past year between China and the US, with several commodities being impacted. New chapters in this play are expected to be seen this year, with more tariffs being likely in several products after the March dead-line, though with discussions underway there is still hope that a deal can be struck. With regards to global trade agreements, an altered Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) was agreed between 11 countries (Australia, Brunei, Canada, Chile, Japan, Malaysia, Mexico, New Zealand, Peru, Singapore, Vietnam), despite the withdrawal of the US. The agreement will cut tariffs in several imports between the above-mentioned members. WE are also set to see a rise in the trade of agricultural imports from Canada and Australia to Japan, with the two hoping that they may gain market share from the US, said Yiannis Vamvakas.
Additionally, a new EU-Japan economic partnership agreement will commence from February, which will facilitate exports of Japan to the EU and vice versa.
In China, Yiannis Vamvakas said, there are several developments taking shape in terms of industrial production. Several industrial producers have already decided to increase their production levels within China in order to circumvent the tariffs introduced by the Chinese government on imports. On the other hand, Chinese producers may need to reshape their productions’ plans and add bigger volumes in other locations, avoiding tariffs on Chinese imports by the US. Vietnam and Indonesia may be the bigger winners of this shift.
Furthermore, 2018 was a turbulent year for oil. With oversupply concerns and possible geopolitical tensions still in play, volatility is expected to spill over into this year, but prices are predicted to follow an overall bullish trajectory. In mid-2019, waivers provided from the US to several countries with regards to importing oil from Iran are expected to expire, leaving a gap in the global oil trade. Moreover, it is interesting to see if the recent agreement among OPEC and non-OPEC producers to cut output will materialize and to what extent.
At the same time, we are waiting to see how prepared refineries are for IMO 2020, as the deadline draws ever closer. Uncertainty will continue to cloud the market and any decisions being made, but with global trade growth expected to remain at healthy levels this year, we should see further market improvement take place.
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Thursday, 03 January 19
CAPESIZE: A MORE POSITIVE START OF THE NEW YEAR THAN EXPECTED FOR THE BIG SHIPS - FEARNLEYS
Capesize
A more positive start of the new year than expected for the big ships, with average gains of US$ 500/day posted on the first tra ...
Tuesday, 01 January 19
INDONESIA: COAL PRODUCTION EXPECTED TO EXCEED THIS YEAR'S TARGET - JP
Indonesian coal production reached 456 million tons up to Thursday or 94.02 percent of this year’s total target of 485 million tons, accordin ...
Monday, 31 December 18
THE INDONESIAN COAL MARKET Q1 '19 FORECAST: LOOKS DIRECTIONLESS - TRADER
The Indonesian coal market looks directionless, an International coal trader said when we asked him to give his forecast for 1Q' 2019.
...
Monday, 31 December 18
GLOBAL COAL DEMAND GREW BY 1% IN 2017; GLOBAL COAL POWER GENERATION INCREASED BY OVER 250 TWH - IEA
After two years of decline, global coal demand grew by 1% in 2017 to 7585 Mt as stronger global economic growth increased both industrial output an ...
Sunday, 30 December 18
MAJOR LNG BUYERS' UNCONTRACTED DEMAND TO QUADRUPLE BY 2030 - WOOD MACKENZIE
Wood Mackenzie’s latest research reveals that uncontracted demand by the world’s seven largest LNG buyers could quadruple to 80 million ...
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- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Australian Coal Association
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Planning Commission, India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
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