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Tuesday, 08 January 19
GLOBAL TRADE GROWTH EXPECTED TO REMAIN AT HEALTHY IN 2019 - ALLIED
 2019 is here and we find ourselves with new challenges for the shipping industry and the global economy as whole, with market prospects being neither optimistic nor pessimistic according to most analysts, Yiannis Vamvakas Allied shipping’s Research Analyst said in his latest weekly report.
Economic shocks and unexpected events cannot be fully predicted, but let’s recap some key points being seen. With regards to economic growth expectations, figures remain positive for 2019, but according to most, growth will drift to lower levels than it did in 2018.
UBS forecasts a figure close to 3.6% for the global economic growth this year, 0.2% lower than the last year, due to tighter monetary policies and political challenges among the world’s major economies. He also further noted, the same trend is projected for the US from Goldman Sachs, reducing the US economy growth forecast for the first half of 2019 to 2% from 2.4% estimated earlier. Most analysts predict that a US recession risk is low for this year. Meanwhile, it is worth mentioning that elections are expected for several countries this year, including India, South Africa, Canada, Argentina and Greece, leaving the prospect of political shocks firm on the table.
Additionally, Brexit is planned to occur on March 29, with many aspects of the withdrawal agreement still remaining unclear. Meanwhile, trade tensions emerged this past year between China and the US, with several commodities being impacted. New chapters in this play are expected to be seen this year, with more tariffs being likely in several products after the March dead-line, though with discussions underway there is still hope that a deal can be struck. With regards to global trade agreements, an altered Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) was agreed between 11 countries (Australia, Brunei, Canada, Chile, Japan, Malaysia, Mexico, New Zealand, Peru, Singapore, Vietnam), despite the withdrawal of the US. The agreement will cut tariffs in several imports between the above-mentioned members. WE are also set to see a rise in the trade of agricultural imports from Canada and Australia to Japan, with the two hoping that they may gain market share from the US, said Yiannis Vamvakas.
Additionally, a new EU-Japan economic partnership agreement will commence from February, which will facilitate exports of Japan to the EU and vice versa.
In China, Yiannis Vamvakas said, there are several developments taking shape in terms of industrial production. Several industrial producers have already decided to increase their production levels within China in order to circumvent the tariffs introduced by the Chinese government on imports. On the other hand, Chinese producers may need to reshape their productions’ plans and add bigger volumes in other locations, avoiding tariffs on Chinese imports by the US. Vietnam and Indonesia may be the bigger winners of this shift.
Furthermore, 2018 was a turbulent year for oil. With oversupply concerns and possible geopolitical tensions still in play, volatility is expected to spill over into this year, but prices are predicted to follow an overall bullish trajectory. In mid-2019, waivers provided from the US to several countries with regards to importing oil from Iran are expected to expire, leaving a gap in the global oil trade. Moreover, it is interesting to see if the recent agreement among OPEC and non-OPEC producers to cut output will materialize and to what extent.
At the same time, we are waiting to see how prepared refineries are for IMO 2020, as the deadline draws ever closer. Uncertainty will continue to cloud the market and any decisions being made, but with global trade growth expected to remain at healthy levels this year, we should see further market improvement take place.
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Thursday, 03 January 19
CAPESIZE: A MORE POSITIVE START OF THE NEW YEAR THAN EXPECTED FOR THE BIG SHIPS - FEARNLEYS
Capesize
A more positive start of the new year than expected for the big ships, with average gains of US$ 500/day posted on the first tra ...
Tuesday, 01 January 19
INDONESIA: COAL PRODUCTION EXPECTED TO EXCEED THIS YEAR'S TARGET - JP
Indonesian coal production reached 456 million tons up to Thursday or 94.02 percent of this year’s total target of 485 million tons, accordin ...
Monday, 31 December 18
THE INDONESIAN COAL MARKET Q1 '19 FORECAST: LOOKS DIRECTIONLESS - TRADER
The Indonesian coal market looks directionless, an International coal trader said when we asked him to give his forecast for 1Q' 2019.
...
Monday, 31 December 18
GLOBAL COAL DEMAND GREW BY 1% IN 2017; GLOBAL COAL POWER GENERATION INCREASED BY OVER 250 TWH - IEA
After two years of decline, global coal demand grew by 1% in 2017 to 7585 Mt as stronger global economic growth increased both industrial output an ...
Sunday, 30 December 18
MAJOR LNG BUYERS' UNCONTRACTED DEMAND TO QUADRUPLE BY 2030 - WOOD MACKENZIE
Wood Mackenzie’s latest research reveals that uncontracted demand by the world’s seven largest LNG buyers could quadruple to 80 million ...
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- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Planning Commission, India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- The University of Queensland
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