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Tuesday, 08 January 19
GLOBAL TRADE GROWTH EXPECTED TO REMAIN AT HEALTHY IN 2019 - ALLIED
 2019 is here and we find ourselves with new challenges for the shipping industry and the global economy as whole, with market prospects being neither optimistic nor pessimistic according to most analysts, Yiannis Vamvakas Allied shipping’s Research Analyst said in his latest weekly report.
Economic shocks and unexpected events cannot be fully predicted, but let’s recap some key points being seen. With regards to economic growth expectations, figures remain positive for 2019, but according to most, growth will drift to lower levels than it did in 2018.
UBS forecasts a figure close to 3.6% for the global economic growth this year, 0.2% lower than the last year, due to tighter monetary policies and political challenges among the world’s major economies. He also further noted, the same trend is projected for the US from Goldman Sachs, reducing the US economy growth forecast for the first half of 2019 to 2% from 2.4% estimated earlier. Most analysts predict that a US recession risk is low for this year. Meanwhile, it is worth mentioning that elections are expected for several countries this year, including India, South Africa, Canada, Argentina and Greece, leaving the prospect of political shocks firm on the table.
Additionally, Brexit is planned to occur on March 29, with many aspects of the withdrawal agreement still remaining unclear. Meanwhile, trade tensions emerged this past year between China and the US, with several commodities being impacted. New chapters in this play are expected to be seen this year, with more tariffs being likely in several products after the March dead-line, though with discussions underway there is still hope that a deal can be struck. With regards to global trade agreements, an altered Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) was agreed between 11 countries (Australia, Brunei, Canada, Chile, Japan, Malaysia, Mexico, New Zealand, Peru, Singapore, Vietnam), despite the withdrawal of the US. The agreement will cut tariffs in several imports between the above-mentioned members. WE are also set to see a rise in the trade of agricultural imports from Canada and Australia to Japan, with the two hoping that they may gain market share from the US, said Yiannis Vamvakas.
Additionally, a new EU-Japan economic partnership agreement will commence from February, which will facilitate exports of Japan to the EU and vice versa.
In China, Yiannis Vamvakas said, there are several developments taking shape in terms of industrial production. Several industrial producers have already decided to increase their production levels within China in order to circumvent the tariffs introduced by the Chinese government on imports. On the other hand, Chinese producers may need to reshape their productions’ plans and add bigger volumes in other locations, avoiding tariffs on Chinese imports by the US. Vietnam and Indonesia may be the bigger winners of this shift.
Furthermore, 2018 was a turbulent year for oil. With oversupply concerns and possible geopolitical tensions still in play, volatility is expected to spill over into this year, but prices are predicted to follow an overall bullish trajectory. In mid-2019, waivers provided from the US to several countries with regards to importing oil from Iran are expected to expire, leaving a gap in the global oil trade. Moreover, it is interesting to see if the recent agreement among OPEC and non-OPEC producers to cut output will materialize and to what extent.
At the same time, we are waiting to see how prepared refineries are for IMO 2020, as the deadline draws ever closer. Uncertainty will continue to cloud the market and any decisions being made, but with global trade growth expected to remain at healthy levels this year, we should see further market improvement take place.
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Thursday, 03 January 19
CAPESIZE: A MORE POSITIVE START OF THE NEW YEAR THAN EXPECTED FOR THE BIG SHIPS - FEARNLEYS
Capesize
A more positive start of the new year than expected for the big ships, with average gains of US$ 500/day posted on the first tra ...
Tuesday, 01 January 19
INDONESIA: COAL PRODUCTION EXPECTED TO EXCEED THIS YEAR'S TARGET - JP
Indonesian coal production reached 456 million tons up to Thursday or 94.02 percent of this year’s total target of 485 million tons, accordin ...
Monday, 31 December 18
THE INDONESIAN COAL MARKET Q1 '19 FORECAST: LOOKS DIRECTIONLESS - TRADER
The Indonesian coal market looks directionless, an International coal trader said when we asked him to give his forecast for 1Q' 2019.
...
Monday, 31 December 18
GLOBAL COAL DEMAND GREW BY 1% IN 2017; GLOBAL COAL POWER GENERATION INCREASED BY OVER 250 TWH - IEA
After two years of decline, global coal demand grew by 1% in 2017 to 7585 Mt as stronger global economic growth increased both industrial output an ...
Sunday, 30 December 18
MAJOR LNG BUYERS' UNCONTRACTED DEMAND TO QUADRUPLE BY 2030 - WOOD MACKENZIE
Wood Mackenzie’s latest research reveals that uncontracted demand by the world’s seven largest LNG buyers could quadruple to 80 million ...
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- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Australian Coal Association
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Planning Commission, India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
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