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Tuesday, 08 January 19
GLOBAL TRADE GROWTH EXPECTED TO REMAIN AT HEALTHY IN 2019 - ALLIED
 2019 is here and we find ourselves with new challenges for the shipping industry and the global economy as whole, with market prospects being neither optimistic nor pessimistic according to most analysts, Yiannis Vamvakas Allied shipping’s Research Analyst said in his latest weekly report.
Economic shocks and unexpected events cannot be fully predicted, but let’s recap some key points being seen. With regards to economic growth expectations, figures remain positive for 2019, but according to most, growth will drift to lower levels than it did in 2018.
UBS forecasts a figure close to 3.6% for the global economic growth this year, 0.2% lower than the last year, due to tighter monetary policies and political challenges among the world’s major economies. He also further noted, the same trend is projected for the US from Goldman Sachs, reducing the US economy growth forecast for the first half of 2019 to 2% from 2.4% estimated earlier. Most analysts predict that a US recession risk is low for this year. Meanwhile, it is worth mentioning that elections are expected for several countries this year, including India, South Africa, Canada, Argentina and Greece, leaving the prospect of political shocks firm on the table.
Additionally, Brexit is planned to occur on March 29, with many aspects of the withdrawal agreement still remaining unclear. Meanwhile, trade tensions emerged this past year between China and the US, with several commodities being impacted. New chapters in this play are expected to be seen this year, with more tariffs being likely in several products after the March dead-line, though with discussions underway there is still hope that a deal can be struck. With regards to global trade agreements, an altered Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) was agreed between 11 countries (Australia, Brunei, Canada, Chile, Japan, Malaysia, Mexico, New Zealand, Peru, Singapore, Vietnam), despite the withdrawal of the US. The agreement will cut tariffs in several imports between the above-mentioned members. WE are also set to see a rise in the trade of agricultural imports from Canada and Australia to Japan, with the two hoping that they may gain market share from the US, said Yiannis Vamvakas.
Additionally, a new EU-Japan economic partnership agreement will commence from February, which will facilitate exports of Japan to the EU and vice versa.
In China, Yiannis Vamvakas said, there are several developments taking shape in terms of industrial production. Several industrial producers have already decided to increase their production levels within China in order to circumvent the tariffs introduced by the Chinese government on imports. On the other hand, Chinese producers may need to reshape their productions’ plans and add bigger volumes in other locations, avoiding tariffs on Chinese imports by the US. Vietnam and Indonesia may be the bigger winners of this shift.
Furthermore, 2018 was a turbulent year for oil. With oversupply concerns and possible geopolitical tensions still in play, volatility is expected to spill over into this year, but prices are predicted to follow an overall bullish trajectory. In mid-2019, waivers provided from the US to several countries with regards to importing oil from Iran are expected to expire, leaving a gap in the global oil trade. Moreover, it is interesting to see if the recent agreement among OPEC and non-OPEC producers to cut output will materialize and to what extent.
At the same time, we are waiting to see how prepared refineries are for IMO 2020, as the deadline draws ever closer. Uncertainty will continue to cloud the market and any decisions being made, but with global trade growth expected to remain at healthy levels this year, we should see further market improvement take place.
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Monday, 24 December 18
DRY BULK MARKET: CAPESIZE MARKET ON BACKFOOT AS 2018'S END DRAWS NEAR - THE BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
Panic set in in the East as the holiday season approaches, with owners chasing rates lower. Rates on the key West Australia/China route ...
Friday, 21 December 18
4.2 MILLION DWT OF DRY BULK SHIPS SCRAPPED UNTIL 17 DEC, DOWN 71.6% Y/Y - BIMCO
2018 has been a slow year for dry bulk demolitions, with only 4.2 million DWT scrapped (as of 17 December), down 71.6% compared to last year. An al ...
Thursday, 20 December 18
INDONESIAN COAL PRICES DIVERGE FROM KEY BENCHMARK - FITCH RATINGS
The Newcastle 6,000kcal coal price benchmark that is widely used to determine most coal price estimates for Indonesian coal miners has increasingly ...
Wednesday, 19 December 18
CHINA'S IMPORT RESTRICTIONS ON COAL SPOILS THE PARTY FOR PANAMAXES - DREWRY
The Chinese government’s objective of suppressing coal and lignite imports in November and December 2018 is adversely impacting demand for Pa ...
Wednesday, 19 December 18
GLOBAL COAL DEMAND SET TO REMAIN STABLE THROUGH 2023, DESPITE HEADWINDS - IEA
While global coal demand looks set to rise for the second year in a row in 2018, it is forecast to remain stable over the next five years, as decli ...
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- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- VISA Power Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Planning Commission, India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- White Energy Company Limited
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Minerals Council of Australia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- PTC India Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
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