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Tuesday, 08 January 19
GLOBAL TRADE GROWTH EXPECTED TO REMAIN AT HEALTHY IN 2019 - ALLIED
 2019 is here and we find ourselves with new challenges for the shipping industry and the global economy as whole, with market prospects being neither optimistic nor pessimistic according to most analysts, Yiannis Vamvakas Allied shipping’s Research Analyst said in his latest weekly report.
Economic shocks and unexpected events cannot be fully predicted, but let’s recap some key points being seen. With regards to economic growth expectations, figures remain positive for 2019, but according to most, growth will drift to lower levels than it did in 2018.
UBS forecasts a figure close to 3.6% for the global economic growth this year, 0.2% lower than the last year, due to tighter monetary policies and political challenges among the world’s major economies. He also further noted, the same trend is projected for the US from Goldman Sachs, reducing the US economy growth forecast for the first half of 2019 to 2% from 2.4% estimated earlier. Most analysts predict that a US recession risk is low for this year. Meanwhile, it is worth mentioning that elections are expected for several countries this year, including India, South Africa, Canada, Argentina and Greece, leaving the prospect of political shocks firm on the table.
Additionally, Brexit is planned to occur on March 29, with many aspects of the withdrawal agreement still remaining unclear. Meanwhile, trade tensions emerged this past year between China and the US, with several commodities being impacted. New chapters in this play are expected to be seen this year, with more tariffs being likely in several products after the March dead-line, though with discussions underway there is still hope that a deal can be struck. With regards to global trade agreements, an altered Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) was agreed between 11 countries (Australia, Brunei, Canada, Chile, Japan, Malaysia, Mexico, New Zealand, Peru, Singapore, Vietnam), despite the withdrawal of the US. The agreement will cut tariffs in several imports between the above-mentioned members. WE are also set to see a rise in the trade of agricultural imports from Canada and Australia to Japan, with the two hoping that they may gain market share from the US, said Yiannis Vamvakas.
Additionally, a new EU-Japan economic partnership agreement will commence from February, which will facilitate exports of Japan to the EU and vice versa.
In China, Yiannis Vamvakas said, there are several developments taking shape in terms of industrial production. Several industrial producers have already decided to increase their production levels within China in order to circumvent the tariffs introduced by the Chinese government on imports. On the other hand, Chinese producers may need to reshape their productions’ plans and add bigger volumes in other locations, avoiding tariffs on Chinese imports by the US. Vietnam and Indonesia may be the bigger winners of this shift.
Furthermore, 2018 was a turbulent year for oil. With oversupply concerns and possible geopolitical tensions still in play, volatility is expected to spill over into this year, but prices are predicted to follow an overall bullish trajectory. In mid-2019, waivers provided from the US to several countries with regards to importing oil from Iran are expected to expire, leaving a gap in the global oil trade. Moreover, it is interesting to see if the recent agreement among OPEC and non-OPEC producers to cut output will materialize and to what extent.
At the same time, we are waiting to see how prepared refineries are for IMO 2020, as the deadline draws ever closer. Uncertainty will continue to cloud the market and any decisions being made, but with global trade growth expected to remain at healthy levels this year, we should see further market improvement take place.
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Monday, 24 December 18
DRY BULK MARKET: CAPESIZE MARKET ON BACKFOOT AS 2018'S END DRAWS NEAR - THE BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
Panic set in in the East as the holiday season approaches, with owners chasing rates lower. Rates on the key West Australia/China route ...
Friday, 21 December 18
4.2 MILLION DWT OF DRY BULK SHIPS SCRAPPED UNTIL 17 DEC, DOWN 71.6% Y/Y - BIMCO
2018 has been a slow year for dry bulk demolitions, with only 4.2 million DWT scrapped (as of 17 December), down 71.6% compared to last year. An al ...
Thursday, 20 December 18
INDONESIAN COAL PRICES DIVERGE FROM KEY BENCHMARK - FITCH RATINGS
The Newcastle 6,000kcal coal price benchmark that is widely used to determine most coal price estimates for Indonesian coal miners has increasingly ...
Wednesday, 19 December 18
CHINA'S IMPORT RESTRICTIONS ON COAL SPOILS THE PARTY FOR PANAMAXES - DREWRY
The Chinese government’s objective of suppressing coal and lignite imports in November and December 2018 is adversely impacting demand for Pa ...
Wednesday, 19 December 18
GLOBAL COAL DEMAND SET TO REMAIN STABLE THROUGH 2023, DESPITE HEADWINDS - IEA
While global coal demand looks set to rise for the second year in a row in 2018, it is forecast to remain stable over the next five years, as decli ...
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- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- MS Steel International - UAE
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- White Energy Company Limited
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- PTC India Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Planning Commission, India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
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