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Tuesday, 08 January 19
GLOBAL TRADE GROWTH EXPECTED TO REMAIN AT HEALTHY IN 2019 - ALLIED
 2019 is here and we find ourselves with new challenges for the shipping industry and the global economy as whole, with market prospects being neither optimistic nor pessimistic according to most analysts, Yiannis Vamvakas Allied shipping’s Research Analyst said in his latest weekly report.
Economic shocks and unexpected events cannot be fully predicted, but let’s recap some key points being seen. With regards to economic growth expectations, figures remain positive for 2019, but according to most, growth will drift to lower levels than it did in 2018.
UBS forecasts a figure close to 3.6% for the global economic growth this year, 0.2% lower than the last year, due to tighter monetary policies and political challenges among the world’s major economies. He also further noted, the same trend is projected for the US from Goldman Sachs, reducing the US economy growth forecast for the first half of 2019 to 2% from 2.4% estimated earlier. Most analysts predict that a US recession risk is low for this year. Meanwhile, it is worth mentioning that elections are expected for several countries this year, including India, South Africa, Canada, Argentina and Greece, leaving the prospect of political shocks firm on the table.
Additionally, Brexit is planned to occur on March 29, with many aspects of the withdrawal agreement still remaining unclear. Meanwhile, trade tensions emerged this past year between China and the US, with several commodities being impacted. New chapters in this play are expected to be seen this year, with more tariffs being likely in several products after the March dead-line, though with discussions underway there is still hope that a deal can be struck. With regards to global trade agreements, an altered Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) was agreed between 11 countries (Australia, Brunei, Canada, Chile, Japan, Malaysia, Mexico, New Zealand, Peru, Singapore, Vietnam), despite the withdrawal of the US. The agreement will cut tariffs in several imports between the above-mentioned members. WE are also set to see a rise in the trade of agricultural imports from Canada and Australia to Japan, with the two hoping that they may gain market share from the US, said Yiannis Vamvakas.
Additionally, a new EU-Japan economic partnership agreement will commence from February, which will facilitate exports of Japan to the EU and vice versa.
In China, Yiannis Vamvakas said, there are several developments taking shape in terms of industrial production. Several industrial producers have already decided to increase their production levels within China in order to circumvent the tariffs introduced by the Chinese government on imports. On the other hand, Chinese producers may need to reshape their productions’ plans and add bigger volumes in other locations, avoiding tariffs on Chinese imports by the US. Vietnam and Indonesia may be the bigger winners of this shift.
Furthermore, 2018 was a turbulent year for oil. With oversupply concerns and possible geopolitical tensions still in play, volatility is expected to spill over into this year, but prices are predicted to follow an overall bullish trajectory. In mid-2019, waivers provided from the US to several countries with regards to importing oil from Iran are expected to expire, leaving a gap in the global oil trade. Moreover, it is interesting to see if the recent agreement among OPEC and non-OPEC producers to cut output will materialize and to what extent.
At the same time, we are waiting to see how prepared refineries are for IMO 2020, as the deadline draws ever closer. Uncertainty will continue to cloud the market and any decisions being made, but with global trade growth expected to remain at healthy levels this year, we should see further market improvement take place.
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Wednesday, 19 December 18
GLOBAL SHIPPING SCOUTS FOR FUTURE GROWTH - PETER SAND, BIMCO
Where do we go to find economic growth that spurs shipping demand in the next five years? According to the International Monetary Fund (IMF), we sh ...
Wednesday, 19 December 18
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
As another year is coming to an end, it is interesting to look at the main shipping markets and how these performed compared to 2017.
&nb ...
Tuesday, 18 December 18
COAL DEMAND WILL REMAIN STEADY THROUGH 2023, INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY SAYS - TOM DICHRISTOPHER, CNBC
Coal consumption is on the rise but will remain roughly stable over the next five years, the International Energy Agency forecasts.
...
Tuesday, 18 December 18
DRY BULK: IN ABSOLUTE TERMS, ALL MAIN SIZE SEGMENTS SAW THEIR ACTUAL VOLATILITY FIGURES DECREASE - ALLIED
Since the beginning of 2016, when the dry bulk market reached its absolute bottom, freight rates have been ever since on an upward trajectory. Taki ...
Tuesday, 18 December 18
COAL OUTLOOK BULLISH DESPITE WEAK CHINESE IMPORT DATA - HEREN, ICIS
Coal prices may appreciate over the remainder of 2018 even despite recent data showing falling imports from the world’s largest producer and ...
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- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- The University of Queensland
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
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