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Tuesday, 08 January 19
GLOBAL TRADE GROWTH EXPECTED TO REMAIN AT HEALTHY IN 2019 - ALLIED
 2019 is here and we find ourselves with new challenges for the shipping industry and the global economy as whole, with market prospects being neither optimistic nor pessimistic according to most analysts, Yiannis Vamvakas Allied shipping’s Research Analyst said in his latest weekly report.
Economic shocks and unexpected events cannot be fully predicted, but let’s recap some key points being seen. With regards to economic growth expectations, figures remain positive for 2019, but according to most, growth will drift to lower levels than it did in 2018.
UBS forecasts a figure close to 3.6% for the global economic growth this year, 0.2% lower than the last year, due to tighter monetary policies and political challenges among the world’s major economies. He also further noted, the same trend is projected for the US from Goldman Sachs, reducing the US economy growth forecast for the first half of 2019 to 2% from 2.4% estimated earlier. Most analysts predict that a US recession risk is low for this year. Meanwhile, it is worth mentioning that elections are expected for several countries this year, including India, South Africa, Canada, Argentina and Greece, leaving the prospect of political shocks firm on the table.
Additionally, Brexit is planned to occur on March 29, with many aspects of the withdrawal agreement still remaining unclear. Meanwhile, trade tensions emerged this past year between China and the US, with several commodities being impacted. New chapters in this play are expected to be seen this year, with more tariffs being likely in several products after the March dead-line, though with discussions underway there is still hope that a deal can be struck. With regards to global trade agreements, an altered Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) was agreed between 11 countries (Australia, Brunei, Canada, Chile, Japan, Malaysia, Mexico, New Zealand, Peru, Singapore, Vietnam), despite the withdrawal of the US. The agreement will cut tariffs in several imports between the above-mentioned members. WE are also set to see a rise in the trade of agricultural imports from Canada and Australia to Japan, with the two hoping that they may gain market share from the US, said Yiannis Vamvakas.
Additionally, a new EU-Japan economic partnership agreement will commence from February, which will facilitate exports of Japan to the EU and vice versa.
In China, Yiannis Vamvakas said, there are several developments taking shape in terms of industrial production. Several industrial producers have already decided to increase their production levels within China in order to circumvent the tariffs introduced by the Chinese government on imports. On the other hand, Chinese producers may need to reshape their productions’ plans and add bigger volumes in other locations, avoiding tariffs on Chinese imports by the US. Vietnam and Indonesia may be the bigger winners of this shift.
Furthermore, 2018 was a turbulent year for oil. With oversupply concerns and possible geopolitical tensions still in play, volatility is expected to spill over into this year, but prices are predicted to follow an overall bullish trajectory. In mid-2019, waivers provided from the US to several countries with regards to importing oil from Iran are expected to expire, leaving a gap in the global oil trade. Moreover, it is interesting to see if the recent agreement among OPEC and non-OPEC producers to cut output will materialize and to what extent.
At the same time, we are waiting to see how prepared refineries are for IMO 2020, as the deadline draws ever closer. Uncertainty will continue to cloud the market and any decisions being made, but with global trade growth expected to remain at healthy levels this year, we should see further market improvement take place.
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Wednesday, 09 January 19
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INERMODAL
Paraphrasing the words of a Chief economist in a latest report of the World Bank Group, the current state of the shipping market very much resemble ...
Monday, 07 January 19
THE NEWCASTLE BENCHMARK SPOT PRICE IS FORECAST TO DECLINE FROM AN ESTIMATED AVERAGE OF US$105 A TONNE IN 2018 TO US$74 A TONNE IN 2020 - DEPARTMENT OF INDUSTRY, AUSTRALIA
• The Newcastle benchmark spot price is forecast to decline from an estimated average of US$105 a tonne in 2018 to US$74 a tonne in 2020, prim ...
Monday, 07 January 19
INDONESIAN GOVERNMENT DECLARED COAL BENCHMARK PRICE FALLS FOR FIFTH STRAIGHT MONTH IN JANUARY 2019; LOWEST SINCE JUNE 2018
COALspot.com: The Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources of the Republic of Indonesia has revised down again the benchmark price of Indonesian th ...
Monday, 07 January 19
RUSSIA'S COAL PRODUCTION UP 5.9% TO 433.4 MLN TONNES IN 2018 - TASS
Coal production in Russia in 2018 increased by 5.9% year-on-year to 433.4 mln tonnes, according to the Central Dispatching Department of Fuel Energ ...
Friday, 04 January 19
FOCUS IS ON BOOSTING COAL PRODUCTION: INDIAN COAL MINISTER
The current focus of the government is on boosting production from operational coal mines, according to Minister for Coal, Piyush Goyal.
...
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- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- The University of Queensland
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Parliament of New Zealand
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
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