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Tuesday, 08 January 19
GLOBAL TRADE GROWTH EXPECTED TO REMAIN AT HEALTHY IN 2019 - ALLIED
 2019 is here and we find ourselves with new challenges for the shipping industry and the global economy as whole, with market prospects being neither optimistic nor pessimistic according to most analysts, Yiannis Vamvakas Allied shipping’s Research Analyst said in his latest weekly report.
Economic shocks and unexpected events cannot be fully predicted, but let’s recap some key points being seen. With regards to economic growth expectations, figures remain positive for 2019, but according to most, growth will drift to lower levels than it did in 2018.
UBS forecasts a figure close to 3.6% for the global economic growth this year, 0.2% lower than the last year, due to tighter monetary policies and political challenges among the world’s major economies. He also further noted, the same trend is projected for the US from Goldman Sachs, reducing the US economy growth forecast for the first half of 2019 to 2% from 2.4% estimated earlier. Most analysts predict that a US recession risk is low for this year. Meanwhile, it is worth mentioning that elections are expected for several countries this year, including India, South Africa, Canada, Argentina and Greece, leaving the prospect of political shocks firm on the table.
Additionally, Brexit is planned to occur on March 29, with many aspects of the withdrawal agreement still remaining unclear. Meanwhile, trade tensions emerged this past year between China and the US, with several commodities being impacted. New chapters in this play are expected to be seen this year, with more tariffs being likely in several products after the March dead-line, though with discussions underway there is still hope that a deal can be struck. With regards to global trade agreements, an altered Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) was agreed between 11 countries (Australia, Brunei, Canada, Chile, Japan, Malaysia, Mexico, New Zealand, Peru, Singapore, Vietnam), despite the withdrawal of the US. The agreement will cut tariffs in several imports between the above-mentioned members. WE are also set to see a rise in the trade of agricultural imports from Canada and Australia to Japan, with the two hoping that they may gain market share from the US, said Yiannis Vamvakas.
Additionally, a new EU-Japan economic partnership agreement will commence from February, which will facilitate exports of Japan to the EU and vice versa.
In China, Yiannis Vamvakas said, there are several developments taking shape in terms of industrial production. Several industrial producers have already decided to increase their production levels within China in order to circumvent the tariffs introduced by the Chinese government on imports. On the other hand, Chinese producers may need to reshape their productions’ plans and add bigger volumes in other locations, avoiding tariffs on Chinese imports by the US. Vietnam and Indonesia may be the bigger winners of this shift.
Furthermore, 2018 was a turbulent year for oil. With oversupply concerns and possible geopolitical tensions still in play, volatility is expected to spill over into this year, but prices are predicted to follow an overall bullish trajectory. In mid-2019, waivers provided from the US to several countries with regards to importing oil from Iran are expected to expire, leaving a gap in the global oil trade. Moreover, it is interesting to see if the recent agreement among OPEC and non-OPEC producers to cut output will materialize and to what extent.
At the same time, we are waiting to see how prepared refineries are for IMO 2020, as the deadline draws ever closer. Uncertainty will continue to cloud the market and any decisions being made, but with global trade growth expected to remain at healthy levels this year, we should see further market improvement take place.
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Wednesday, 09 January 19
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INERMODAL
Paraphrasing the words of a Chief economist in a latest report of the World Bank Group, the current state of the shipping market very much resemble ...
Monday, 07 January 19
THE NEWCASTLE BENCHMARK SPOT PRICE IS FORECAST TO DECLINE FROM AN ESTIMATED AVERAGE OF US$105 A TONNE IN 2018 TO US$74 A TONNE IN 2020 - DEPARTMENT OF INDUSTRY, AUSTRALIA
• The Newcastle benchmark spot price is forecast to decline from an estimated average of US$105 a tonne in 2018 to US$74 a tonne in 2020, prim ...
Monday, 07 January 19
INDONESIAN GOVERNMENT DECLARED COAL BENCHMARK PRICE FALLS FOR FIFTH STRAIGHT MONTH IN JANUARY 2019; LOWEST SINCE JUNE 2018
COALspot.com: The Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources of the Republic of Indonesia has revised down again the benchmark price of Indonesian th ...
Monday, 07 January 19
RUSSIA'S COAL PRODUCTION UP 5.9% TO 433.4 MLN TONNES IN 2018 - TASS
Coal production in Russia in 2018 increased by 5.9% year-on-year to 433.4 mln tonnes, according to the Central Dispatching Department of Fuel Energ ...
Friday, 04 January 19
FOCUS IS ON BOOSTING COAL PRODUCTION: INDIAN COAL MINISTER
The current focus of the government is on boosting production from operational coal mines, according to Minister for Coal, Piyush Goyal.
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- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- The University of Queensland
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- White Energy Company Limited
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- PTC India Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
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