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Tuesday, 08 January 19
GLOBAL TRADE GROWTH EXPECTED TO REMAIN AT HEALTHY IN 2019 - ALLIED
 2019 is here and we find ourselves with new challenges for the shipping industry and the global economy as whole, with market prospects being neither optimistic nor pessimistic according to most analysts, Yiannis Vamvakas Allied shipping’s Research Analyst said in his latest weekly report.
Economic shocks and unexpected events cannot be fully predicted, but let’s recap some key points being seen. With regards to economic growth expectations, figures remain positive for 2019, but according to most, growth will drift to lower levels than it did in 2018.
UBS forecasts a figure close to 3.6% for the global economic growth this year, 0.2% lower than the last year, due to tighter monetary policies and political challenges among the world’s major economies. He also further noted, the same trend is projected for the US from Goldman Sachs, reducing the US economy growth forecast for the first half of 2019 to 2% from 2.4% estimated earlier. Most analysts predict that a US recession risk is low for this year. Meanwhile, it is worth mentioning that elections are expected for several countries this year, including India, South Africa, Canada, Argentina and Greece, leaving the prospect of political shocks firm on the table.
Additionally, Brexit is planned to occur on March 29, with many aspects of the withdrawal agreement still remaining unclear. Meanwhile, trade tensions emerged this past year between China and the US, with several commodities being impacted. New chapters in this play are expected to be seen this year, with more tariffs being likely in several products after the March dead-line, though with discussions underway there is still hope that a deal can be struck. With regards to global trade agreements, an altered Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) was agreed between 11 countries (Australia, Brunei, Canada, Chile, Japan, Malaysia, Mexico, New Zealand, Peru, Singapore, Vietnam), despite the withdrawal of the US. The agreement will cut tariffs in several imports between the above-mentioned members. WE are also set to see a rise in the trade of agricultural imports from Canada and Australia to Japan, with the two hoping that they may gain market share from the US, said Yiannis Vamvakas.
Additionally, a new EU-Japan economic partnership agreement will commence from February, which will facilitate exports of Japan to the EU and vice versa.
In China, Yiannis Vamvakas said, there are several developments taking shape in terms of industrial production. Several industrial producers have already decided to increase their production levels within China in order to circumvent the tariffs introduced by the Chinese government on imports. On the other hand, Chinese producers may need to reshape their productions’ plans and add bigger volumes in other locations, avoiding tariffs on Chinese imports by the US. Vietnam and Indonesia may be the bigger winners of this shift.
Furthermore, 2018 was a turbulent year for oil. With oversupply concerns and possible geopolitical tensions still in play, volatility is expected to spill over into this year, but prices are predicted to follow an overall bullish trajectory. In mid-2019, waivers provided from the US to several countries with regards to importing oil from Iran are expected to expire, leaving a gap in the global oil trade. Moreover, it is interesting to see if the recent agreement among OPEC and non-OPEC producers to cut output will materialize and to what extent.
At the same time, we are waiting to see how prepared refineries are for IMO 2020, as the deadline draws ever closer. Uncertainty will continue to cloud the market and any decisions being made, but with global trade growth expected to remain at healthy levels this year, we should see further market improvement take place.
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Wednesday, 09 January 19
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INERMODAL
Paraphrasing the words of a Chief economist in a latest report of the World Bank Group, the current state of the shipping market very much resemble ...
Monday, 07 January 19
THE NEWCASTLE BENCHMARK SPOT PRICE IS FORECAST TO DECLINE FROM AN ESTIMATED AVERAGE OF US$105 A TONNE IN 2018 TO US$74 A TONNE IN 2020 - DEPARTMENT OF INDUSTRY, AUSTRALIA
• The Newcastle benchmark spot price is forecast to decline from an estimated average of US$105 a tonne in 2018 to US$74 a tonne in 2020, prim ...
Monday, 07 January 19
INDONESIAN GOVERNMENT DECLARED COAL BENCHMARK PRICE FALLS FOR FIFTH STRAIGHT MONTH IN JANUARY 2019; LOWEST SINCE JUNE 2018
COALspot.com: The Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources of the Republic of Indonesia has revised down again the benchmark price of Indonesian th ...
Monday, 07 January 19
RUSSIA'S COAL PRODUCTION UP 5.9% TO 433.4 MLN TONNES IN 2018 - TASS
Coal production in Russia in 2018 increased by 5.9% year-on-year to 433.4 mln tonnes, according to the Central Dispatching Department of Fuel Energ ...
Friday, 04 January 19
FOCUS IS ON BOOSTING COAL PRODUCTION: INDIAN COAL MINISTER
The current focus of the government is on boosting production from operational coal mines, according to Minister for Coal, Piyush Goyal.
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- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- PTC India Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- The University of Queensland
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- VISA Power Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
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