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Tuesday, 08 January 19
GLOBAL TRADE GROWTH EXPECTED TO REMAIN AT HEALTHY IN 2019 - ALLIED
 2019 is here and we find ourselves with new challenges for the shipping industry and the global economy as whole, with market prospects being neither optimistic nor pessimistic according to most analysts, Yiannis Vamvakas Allied shipping’s Research Analyst said in his latest weekly report.
Economic shocks and unexpected events cannot be fully predicted, but let’s recap some key points being seen. With regards to economic growth expectations, figures remain positive for 2019, but according to most, growth will drift to lower levels than it did in 2018.
UBS forecasts a figure close to 3.6% for the global economic growth this year, 0.2% lower than the last year, due to tighter monetary policies and political challenges among the world’s major economies. He also further noted, the same trend is projected for the US from Goldman Sachs, reducing the US economy growth forecast for the first half of 2019 to 2% from 2.4% estimated earlier. Most analysts predict that a US recession risk is low for this year. Meanwhile, it is worth mentioning that elections are expected for several countries this year, including India, South Africa, Canada, Argentina and Greece, leaving the prospect of political shocks firm on the table.
Additionally, Brexit is planned to occur on March 29, with many aspects of the withdrawal agreement still remaining unclear. Meanwhile, trade tensions emerged this past year between China and the US, with several commodities being impacted. New chapters in this play are expected to be seen this year, with more tariffs being likely in several products after the March dead-line, though with discussions underway there is still hope that a deal can be struck. With regards to global trade agreements, an altered Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) was agreed between 11 countries (Australia, Brunei, Canada, Chile, Japan, Malaysia, Mexico, New Zealand, Peru, Singapore, Vietnam), despite the withdrawal of the US. The agreement will cut tariffs in several imports between the above-mentioned members. WE are also set to see a rise in the trade of agricultural imports from Canada and Australia to Japan, with the two hoping that they may gain market share from the US, said Yiannis Vamvakas.
Additionally, a new EU-Japan economic partnership agreement will commence from February, which will facilitate exports of Japan to the EU and vice versa.
In China, Yiannis Vamvakas said, there are several developments taking shape in terms of industrial production. Several industrial producers have already decided to increase their production levels within China in order to circumvent the tariffs introduced by the Chinese government on imports. On the other hand, Chinese producers may need to reshape their productions’ plans and add bigger volumes in other locations, avoiding tariffs on Chinese imports by the US. Vietnam and Indonesia may be the bigger winners of this shift.
Furthermore, 2018 was a turbulent year for oil. With oversupply concerns and possible geopolitical tensions still in play, volatility is expected to spill over into this year, but prices are predicted to follow an overall bullish trajectory. In mid-2019, waivers provided from the US to several countries with regards to importing oil from Iran are expected to expire, leaving a gap in the global oil trade. Moreover, it is interesting to see if the recent agreement among OPEC and non-OPEC producers to cut output will materialize and to what extent.
At the same time, we are waiting to see how prepared refineries are for IMO 2020, as the deadline draws ever closer. Uncertainty will continue to cloud the market and any decisions being made, but with global trade growth expected to remain at healthy levels this year, we should see further market improvement take place.
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Wednesday, 09 January 19
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INERMODAL
Paraphrasing the words of a Chief economist in a latest report of the World Bank Group, the current state of the shipping market very much resemble ...
Monday, 07 January 19
THE NEWCASTLE BENCHMARK SPOT PRICE IS FORECAST TO DECLINE FROM AN ESTIMATED AVERAGE OF US$105 A TONNE IN 2018 TO US$74 A TONNE IN 2020 - DEPARTMENT OF INDUSTRY, AUSTRALIA
• The Newcastle benchmark spot price is forecast to decline from an estimated average of US$105 a tonne in 2018 to US$74 a tonne in 2020, prim ...
Monday, 07 January 19
INDONESIAN GOVERNMENT DECLARED COAL BENCHMARK PRICE FALLS FOR FIFTH STRAIGHT MONTH IN JANUARY 2019; LOWEST SINCE JUNE 2018
COALspot.com: The Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources of the Republic of Indonesia has revised down again the benchmark price of Indonesian th ...
Monday, 07 January 19
RUSSIA'S COAL PRODUCTION UP 5.9% TO 433.4 MLN TONNES IN 2018 - TASS
Coal production in Russia in 2018 increased by 5.9% year-on-year to 433.4 mln tonnes, according to the Central Dispatching Department of Fuel Energ ...
Friday, 04 January 19
FOCUS IS ON BOOSTING COAL PRODUCTION: INDIAN COAL MINISTER
The current focus of the government is on boosting production from operational coal mines, according to Minister for Coal, Piyush Goyal.
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- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- MS Steel International - UAE
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- White Energy Company Limited
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
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