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Tuesday, 08 January 19
GLOBAL TRADE GROWTH EXPECTED TO REMAIN AT HEALTHY IN 2019 - ALLIED
 2019 is here and we find ourselves with new challenges for the shipping industry and the global economy as whole, with market prospects being neither optimistic nor pessimistic according to most analysts, Yiannis Vamvakas Allied shipping’s Research Analyst said in his latest weekly report.
Economic shocks and unexpected events cannot be fully predicted, but let’s recap some key points being seen. With regards to economic growth expectations, figures remain positive for 2019, but according to most, growth will drift to lower levels than it did in 2018.
UBS forecasts a figure close to 3.6% for the global economic growth this year, 0.2% lower than the last year, due to tighter monetary policies and political challenges among the world’s major economies. He also further noted, the same trend is projected for the US from Goldman Sachs, reducing the US economy growth forecast for the first half of 2019 to 2% from 2.4% estimated earlier. Most analysts predict that a US recession risk is low for this year. Meanwhile, it is worth mentioning that elections are expected for several countries this year, including India, South Africa, Canada, Argentina and Greece, leaving the prospect of political shocks firm on the table.
Additionally, Brexit is planned to occur on March 29, with many aspects of the withdrawal agreement still remaining unclear. Meanwhile, trade tensions emerged this past year between China and the US, with several commodities being impacted. New chapters in this play are expected to be seen this year, with more tariffs being likely in several products after the March dead-line, though with discussions underway there is still hope that a deal can be struck. With regards to global trade agreements, an altered Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) was agreed between 11 countries (Australia, Brunei, Canada, Chile, Japan, Malaysia, Mexico, New Zealand, Peru, Singapore, Vietnam), despite the withdrawal of the US. The agreement will cut tariffs in several imports between the above-mentioned members. WE are also set to see a rise in the trade of agricultural imports from Canada and Australia to Japan, with the two hoping that they may gain market share from the US, said Yiannis Vamvakas.
Additionally, a new EU-Japan economic partnership agreement will commence from February, which will facilitate exports of Japan to the EU and vice versa.
In China, Yiannis Vamvakas said, there are several developments taking shape in terms of industrial production. Several industrial producers have already decided to increase their production levels within China in order to circumvent the tariffs introduced by the Chinese government on imports. On the other hand, Chinese producers may need to reshape their productions’ plans and add bigger volumes in other locations, avoiding tariffs on Chinese imports by the US. Vietnam and Indonesia may be the bigger winners of this shift.
Furthermore, 2018 was a turbulent year for oil. With oversupply concerns and possible geopolitical tensions still in play, volatility is expected to spill over into this year, but prices are predicted to follow an overall bullish trajectory. In mid-2019, waivers provided from the US to several countries with regards to importing oil from Iran are expected to expire, leaving a gap in the global oil trade. Moreover, it is interesting to see if the recent agreement among OPEC and non-OPEC producers to cut output will materialize and to what extent.
At the same time, we are waiting to see how prepared refineries are for IMO 2020, as the deadline draws ever closer. Uncertainty will continue to cloud the market and any decisions being made, but with global trade growth expected to remain at healthy levels this year, we should see further market improvement take place.
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Sunday, 20 January 19
OIL MARKET REPORT: A MARATHON, NOT A SPRINT - IEA
Last month, we asked if there was a floor under prices following the signing of a new Vienna Agreement that aims to re-balance the oil market. Foll ...
Thursday, 17 January 19
EIA ESTIMATES THAT U.S. COAL EXPORTS WERE 116 MMST IN 2018, 20% HIGHER THAN THE AMOUNT EXPORTED IN 2017
Coal Supply
EIA estimates that coal production declined by 20 million short tons (MMst) (3%) in 2018, despite a 19 MMst increase in U.S. coal e ...
Thursday, 17 January 19
U.S COAL OUTPUT IS EXPECTED TO FALL BY 3 PER CENT IN 2019 - EIA
EIA forecasts that U.S. coal production will total 729 million short tons (MMst) in 2019, down by 25 MMst (3%) from 2018.
Acco ...
Wednesday, 16 January 19
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
As we go through the first days of the year and just a few weeks before the Chinese New Year, the ship repair sector is witnessing a big difference ...
Monday, 14 January 19
KOREA SOUTHERN POWER INVITES BIDS FOR 320,000 MT OF MIN 3,800 NCV COAL
COALspot.com: South Korea state-owned utility Korea Southern Power Co. Ltd (KOSPO) issued a tender for 320,000 MT of min 3,800 kcal/kg NCV coal for ...
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- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- The University of Queensland
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- PTC India Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- White Energy Company Limited
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
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