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Tuesday, 08 January 19
GLOBAL TRADE GROWTH EXPECTED TO REMAIN AT HEALTHY IN 2019 - ALLIED
 2019 is here and we find ourselves with new challenges for the shipping industry and the global economy as whole, with market prospects being neither optimistic nor pessimistic according to most analysts, Yiannis Vamvakas Allied shipping’s Research Analyst said in his latest weekly report.
Economic shocks and unexpected events cannot be fully predicted, but let’s recap some key points being seen. With regards to economic growth expectations, figures remain positive for 2019, but according to most, growth will drift to lower levels than it did in 2018.
UBS forecasts a figure close to 3.6% for the global economic growth this year, 0.2% lower than the last year, due to tighter monetary policies and political challenges among the world’s major economies. He also further noted, the same trend is projected for the US from Goldman Sachs, reducing the US economy growth forecast for the first half of 2019 to 2% from 2.4% estimated earlier. Most analysts predict that a US recession risk is low for this year. Meanwhile, it is worth mentioning that elections are expected for several countries this year, including India, South Africa, Canada, Argentina and Greece, leaving the prospect of political shocks firm on the table.
Additionally, Brexit is planned to occur on March 29, with many aspects of the withdrawal agreement still remaining unclear. Meanwhile, trade tensions emerged this past year between China and the US, with several commodities being impacted. New chapters in this play are expected to be seen this year, with more tariffs being likely in several products after the March dead-line, though with discussions underway there is still hope that a deal can be struck. With regards to global trade agreements, an altered Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) was agreed between 11 countries (Australia, Brunei, Canada, Chile, Japan, Malaysia, Mexico, New Zealand, Peru, Singapore, Vietnam), despite the withdrawal of the US. The agreement will cut tariffs in several imports between the above-mentioned members. WE are also set to see a rise in the trade of agricultural imports from Canada and Australia to Japan, with the two hoping that they may gain market share from the US, said Yiannis Vamvakas.
Additionally, a new EU-Japan economic partnership agreement will commence from February, which will facilitate exports of Japan to the EU and vice versa.
In China, Yiannis Vamvakas said, there are several developments taking shape in terms of industrial production. Several industrial producers have already decided to increase their production levels within China in order to circumvent the tariffs introduced by the Chinese government on imports. On the other hand, Chinese producers may need to reshape their productions’ plans and add bigger volumes in other locations, avoiding tariffs on Chinese imports by the US. Vietnam and Indonesia may be the bigger winners of this shift.
Furthermore, 2018 was a turbulent year for oil. With oversupply concerns and possible geopolitical tensions still in play, volatility is expected to spill over into this year, but prices are predicted to follow an overall bullish trajectory. In mid-2019, waivers provided from the US to several countries with regards to importing oil from Iran are expected to expire, leaving a gap in the global oil trade. Moreover, it is interesting to see if the recent agreement among OPEC and non-OPEC producers to cut output will materialize and to what extent.
At the same time, we are waiting to see how prepared refineries are for IMO 2020, as the deadline draws ever closer. Uncertainty will continue to cloud the market and any decisions being made, but with global trade growth expected to remain at healthy levels this year, we should see further market improvement take place.
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Sunday, 20 January 19
OIL MARKET REPORT: A MARATHON, NOT A SPRINT - IEA
Last month, we asked if there was a floor under prices following the signing of a new Vienna Agreement that aims to re-balance the oil market. Foll ...
Thursday, 17 January 19
EIA ESTIMATES THAT U.S. COAL EXPORTS WERE 116 MMST IN 2018, 20% HIGHER THAN THE AMOUNT EXPORTED IN 2017
Coal Supply
EIA estimates that coal production declined by 20 million short tons (MMst) (3%) in 2018, despite a 19 MMst increase in U.S. coal e ...
Thursday, 17 January 19
U.S COAL OUTPUT IS EXPECTED TO FALL BY 3 PER CENT IN 2019 - EIA
EIA forecasts that U.S. coal production will total 729 million short tons (MMst) in 2019, down by 25 MMst (3%) from 2018.
Acco ...
Wednesday, 16 January 19
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
As we go through the first days of the year and just a few weeks before the Chinese New Year, the ship repair sector is witnessing a big difference ...
Monday, 14 January 19
KOREA SOUTHERN POWER INVITES BIDS FOR 320,000 MT OF MIN 3,800 NCV COAL
COALspot.com: South Korea state-owned utility Korea Southern Power Co. Ltd (KOSPO) issued a tender for 320,000 MT of min 3,800 kcal/kg NCV coal for ...
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- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Planning Commission, India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Economic Council, Georgia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- The University of Queensland
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- White Energy Company Limited
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
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