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Tuesday, 08 January 19
GLOBAL TRADE GROWTH EXPECTED TO REMAIN AT HEALTHY IN 2019 - ALLIED
 2019 is here and we find ourselves with new challenges for the shipping industry and the global economy as whole, with market prospects being neither optimistic nor pessimistic according to most analysts, Yiannis Vamvakas Allied shipping’s Research Analyst said in his latest weekly report.
Economic shocks and unexpected events cannot be fully predicted, but let’s recap some key points being seen. With regards to economic growth expectations, figures remain positive for 2019, but according to most, growth will drift to lower levels than it did in 2018.
UBS forecasts a figure close to 3.6% for the global economic growth this year, 0.2% lower than the last year, due to tighter monetary policies and political challenges among the world’s major economies. He also further noted, the same trend is projected for the US from Goldman Sachs, reducing the US economy growth forecast for the first half of 2019 to 2% from 2.4% estimated earlier. Most analysts predict that a US recession risk is low for this year. Meanwhile, it is worth mentioning that elections are expected for several countries this year, including India, South Africa, Canada, Argentina and Greece, leaving the prospect of political shocks firm on the table.
Additionally, Brexit is planned to occur on March 29, with many aspects of the withdrawal agreement still remaining unclear. Meanwhile, trade tensions emerged this past year between China and the US, with several commodities being impacted. New chapters in this play are expected to be seen this year, with more tariffs being likely in several products after the March dead-line, though with discussions underway there is still hope that a deal can be struck. With regards to global trade agreements, an altered Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) was agreed between 11 countries (Australia, Brunei, Canada, Chile, Japan, Malaysia, Mexico, New Zealand, Peru, Singapore, Vietnam), despite the withdrawal of the US. The agreement will cut tariffs in several imports between the above-mentioned members. WE are also set to see a rise in the trade of agricultural imports from Canada and Australia to Japan, with the two hoping that they may gain market share from the US, said Yiannis Vamvakas.
Additionally, a new EU-Japan economic partnership agreement will commence from February, which will facilitate exports of Japan to the EU and vice versa.
In China, Yiannis Vamvakas said, there are several developments taking shape in terms of industrial production. Several industrial producers have already decided to increase their production levels within China in order to circumvent the tariffs introduced by the Chinese government on imports. On the other hand, Chinese producers may need to reshape their productions’ plans and add bigger volumes in other locations, avoiding tariffs on Chinese imports by the US. Vietnam and Indonesia may be the bigger winners of this shift.
Furthermore, 2018 was a turbulent year for oil. With oversupply concerns and possible geopolitical tensions still in play, volatility is expected to spill over into this year, but prices are predicted to follow an overall bullish trajectory. In mid-2019, waivers provided from the US to several countries with regards to importing oil from Iran are expected to expire, leaving a gap in the global oil trade. Moreover, it is interesting to see if the recent agreement among OPEC and non-OPEC producers to cut output will materialize and to what extent.
At the same time, we are waiting to see how prepared refineries are for IMO 2020, as the deadline draws ever closer. Uncertainty will continue to cloud the market and any decisions being made, but with global trade growth expected to remain at healthy levels this year, we should see further market improvement take place.
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Friday, 11 January 19
SUPRAMAX: THE ASIAN ARENA HAD A MIXED START; LIMITED ACTION IN SOUTHEAST ASIA - THE BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
Dashed hopes summed up the first full week of the New Year. A slow start followed by a busy 24 hours of improving rates and a firming ...
Thursday, 10 January 19
BUNKER DELIVERY NOTE AMENDMENTS ENTER INTO FORCE AS SULPHUR 2020 REQUIREMENT LOOMS - IMO
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
Amendments to the bunker delivery note relating to the supply of marine fuel oil to ships which have fitted alternative m ...
Thursday, 10 January 19
WORLD TRADE IN THERMAL COAL IS ESTIMATED TO HAVE GROWN BY 1.0 PER CENT IN 2018 - DEPARTMENT OF INDUSTRY, AUSTRALIA
World Trade
World trade in thermal coal is estimated to have grown by 1.0 per cent to 1.1 billion tonnes in 2018 but it is expected to decline ...
Thursday, 10 January 19
PAKISTAN'S COAL IMPORTS TO SURGE TO 30 MILLION TONS PER ANNUM BY 2020 - CEO, PIB
Pakistan’s coal imports are estimated to surge to 30 million tons/annum from existing 20 million tons/annum by the year 2020, given the plann ...
Wednesday, 09 January 19
PANAMAX: THE PACIFIC SAW RELATIVELY GOOD DEMAND PARTICULARLY FROM INDONESIA AND NOPAC - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
It was an active start to the New Year, with trading from West Australia maintaining momentum during the holiday period. Rates for Chi ...
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- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- PTC India Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Planning Commission, India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Australian Coal Association
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- The University of Queensland
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
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