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Tuesday, 08 January 19
GLOBAL TRADE GROWTH EXPECTED TO REMAIN AT HEALTHY IN 2019 - ALLIED
 2019 is here and we find ourselves with new challenges for the shipping industry and the global economy as whole, with market prospects being neither optimistic nor pessimistic according to most analysts, Yiannis Vamvakas Allied shipping’s Research Analyst said in his latest weekly report.
Economic shocks and unexpected events cannot be fully predicted, but let’s recap some key points being seen. With regards to economic growth expectations, figures remain positive for 2019, but according to most, growth will drift to lower levels than it did in 2018.
UBS forecasts a figure close to 3.6% for the global economic growth this year, 0.2% lower than the last year, due to tighter monetary policies and political challenges among the world’s major economies. He also further noted, the same trend is projected for the US from Goldman Sachs, reducing the US economy growth forecast for the first half of 2019 to 2% from 2.4% estimated earlier. Most analysts predict that a US recession risk is low for this year. Meanwhile, it is worth mentioning that elections are expected for several countries this year, including India, South Africa, Canada, Argentina and Greece, leaving the prospect of political shocks firm on the table.
Additionally, Brexit is planned to occur on March 29, with many aspects of the withdrawal agreement still remaining unclear. Meanwhile, trade tensions emerged this past year between China and the US, with several commodities being impacted. New chapters in this play are expected to be seen this year, with more tariffs being likely in several products after the March dead-line, though with discussions underway there is still hope that a deal can be struck. With regards to global trade agreements, an altered Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) was agreed between 11 countries (Australia, Brunei, Canada, Chile, Japan, Malaysia, Mexico, New Zealand, Peru, Singapore, Vietnam), despite the withdrawal of the US. The agreement will cut tariffs in several imports between the above-mentioned members. WE are also set to see a rise in the trade of agricultural imports from Canada and Australia to Japan, with the two hoping that they may gain market share from the US, said Yiannis Vamvakas.
Additionally, a new EU-Japan economic partnership agreement will commence from February, which will facilitate exports of Japan to the EU and vice versa.
In China, Yiannis Vamvakas said, there are several developments taking shape in terms of industrial production. Several industrial producers have already decided to increase their production levels within China in order to circumvent the tariffs introduced by the Chinese government on imports. On the other hand, Chinese producers may need to reshape their productions’ plans and add bigger volumes in other locations, avoiding tariffs on Chinese imports by the US. Vietnam and Indonesia may be the bigger winners of this shift.
Furthermore, 2018 was a turbulent year for oil. With oversupply concerns and possible geopolitical tensions still in play, volatility is expected to spill over into this year, but prices are predicted to follow an overall bullish trajectory. In mid-2019, waivers provided from the US to several countries with regards to importing oil from Iran are expected to expire, leaving a gap in the global oil trade. Moreover, it is interesting to see if the recent agreement among OPEC and non-OPEC producers to cut output will materialize and to what extent.
At the same time, we are waiting to see how prepared refineries are for IMO 2020, as the deadline draws ever closer. Uncertainty will continue to cloud the market and any decisions being made, but with global trade growth expected to remain at healthy levels this year, we should see further market improvement take place.
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Friday, 11 January 19
SUPRAMAX: THE ASIAN ARENA HAD A MIXED START; LIMITED ACTION IN SOUTHEAST ASIA - THE BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
Dashed hopes summed up the first full week of the New Year. A slow start followed by a busy 24 hours of improving rates and a firming ...
Thursday, 10 January 19
BUNKER DELIVERY NOTE AMENDMENTS ENTER INTO FORCE AS SULPHUR 2020 REQUIREMENT LOOMS - IMO
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
Amendments to the bunker delivery note relating to the supply of marine fuel oil to ships which have fitted alternative m ...
Thursday, 10 January 19
WORLD TRADE IN THERMAL COAL IS ESTIMATED TO HAVE GROWN BY 1.0 PER CENT IN 2018 - DEPARTMENT OF INDUSTRY, AUSTRALIA
World Trade
World trade in thermal coal is estimated to have grown by 1.0 per cent to 1.1 billion tonnes in 2018 but it is expected to decline ...
Thursday, 10 January 19
PAKISTAN'S COAL IMPORTS TO SURGE TO 30 MILLION TONS PER ANNUM BY 2020 - CEO, PIB
Pakistan’s coal imports are estimated to surge to 30 million tons/annum from existing 20 million tons/annum by the year 2020, given the plann ...
Wednesday, 09 January 19
PANAMAX: THE PACIFIC SAW RELATIVELY GOOD DEMAND PARTICULARLY FROM INDONESIA AND NOPAC - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
It was an active start to the New Year, with trading from West Australia maintaining momentum during the holiday period. Rates for Chi ...
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- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Planning Commission, India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- VISA Power Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- The University of Queensland
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
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