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Tuesday, 08 January 19
GLOBAL TRADE GROWTH EXPECTED TO REMAIN AT HEALTHY IN 2019 - ALLIED
 2019 is here and we find ourselves with new challenges for the shipping industry and the global economy as whole, with market prospects being neither optimistic nor pessimistic according to most analysts, Yiannis Vamvakas Allied shipping’s Research Analyst said in his latest weekly report.
Economic shocks and unexpected events cannot be fully predicted, but let’s recap some key points being seen. With regards to economic growth expectations, figures remain positive for 2019, but according to most, growth will drift to lower levels than it did in 2018.
UBS forecasts a figure close to 3.6% for the global economic growth this year, 0.2% lower than the last year, due to tighter monetary policies and political challenges among the world’s major economies. He also further noted, the same trend is projected for the US from Goldman Sachs, reducing the US economy growth forecast for the first half of 2019 to 2% from 2.4% estimated earlier. Most analysts predict that a US recession risk is low for this year. Meanwhile, it is worth mentioning that elections are expected for several countries this year, including India, South Africa, Canada, Argentina and Greece, leaving the prospect of political shocks firm on the table.
Additionally, Brexit is planned to occur on March 29, with many aspects of the withdrawal agreement still remaining unclear. Meanwhile, trade tensions emerged this past year between China and the US, with several commodities being impacted. New chapters in this play are expected to be seen this year, with more tariffs being likely in several products after the March dead-line, though with discussions underway there is still hope that a deal can be struck. With regards to global trade agreements, an altered Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) was agreed between 11 countries (Australia, Brunei, Canada, Chile, Japan, Malaysia, Mexico, New Zealand, Peru, Singapore, Vietnam), despite the withdrawal of the US. The agreement will cut tariffs in several imports between the above-mentioned members. WE are also set to see a rise in the trade of agricultural imports from Canada and Australia to Japan, with the two hoping that they may gain market share from the US, said Yiannis Vamvakas.
Additionally, a new EU-Japan economic partnership agreement will commence from February, which will facilitate exports of Japan to the EU and vice versa.
In China, Yiannis Vamvakas said, there are several developments taking shape in terms of industrial production. Several industrial producers have already decided to increase their production levels within China in order to circumvent the tariffs introduced by the Chinese government on imports. On the other hand, Chinese producers may need to reshape their productions’ plans and add bigger volumes in other locations, avoiding tariffs on Chinese imports by the US. Vietnam and Indonesia may be the bigger winners of this shift.
Furthermore, 2018 was a turbulent year for oil. With oversupply concerns and possible geopolitical tensions still in play, volatility is expected to spill over into this year, but prices are predicted to follow an overall bullish trajectory. In mid-2019, waivers provided from the US to several countries with regards to importing oil from Iran are expected to expire, leaving a gap in the global oil trade. Moreover, it is interesting to see if the recent agreement among OPEC and non-OPEC producers to cut output will materialize and to what extent.
At the same time, we are waiting to see how prepared refineries are for IMO 2020, as the deadline draws ever closer. Uncertainty will continue to cloud the market and any decisions being made, but with global trade growth expected to remain at healthy levels this year, we should see further market improvement take place.
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Friday, 11 January 19
SUPRAMAX: THE ASIAN ARENA HAD A MIXED START; LIMITED ACTION IN SOUTHEAST ASIA - THE BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
Dashed hopes summed up the first full week of the New Year. A slow start followed by a busy 24 hours of improving rates and a firming ...
Thursday, 10 January 19
BUNKER DELIVERY NOTE AMENDMENTS ENTER INTO FORCE AS SULPHUR 2020 REQUIREMENT LOOMS - IMO
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
Amendments to the bunker delivery note relating to the supply of marine fuel oil to ships which have fitted alternative m ...
Thursday, 10 January 19
WORLD TRADE IN THERMAL COAL IS ESTIMATED TO HAVE GROWN BY 1.0 PER CENT IN 2018 - DEPARTMENT OF INDUSTRY, AUSTRALIA
World Trade
World trade in thermal coal is estimated to have grown by 1.0 per cent to 1.1 billion tonnes in 2018 but it is expected to decline ...
Thursday, 10 January 19
PAKISTAN'S COAL IMPORTS TO SURGE TO 30 MILLION TONS PER ANNUM BY 2020 - CEO, PIB
Pakistan’s coal imports are estimated to surge to 30 million tons/annum from existing 20 million tons/annum by the year 2020, given the plann ...
Wednesday, 09 January 19
PANAMAX: THE PACIFIC SAW RELATIVELY GOOD DEMAND PARTICULARLY FROM INDONESIA AND NOPAC - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
It was an active start to the New Year, with trading from West Australia maintaining momentum during the holiday period. Rates for Chi ...
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- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
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