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Tuesday, 08 January 19
GLOBAL TRADE GROWTH EXPECTED TO REMAIN AT HEALTHY IN 2019 - ALLIED
 2019 is here and we find ourselves with new challenges for the shipping industry and the global economy as whole, with market prospects being neither optimistic nor pessimistic according to most analysts, Yiannis Vamvakas Allied shipping’s Research Analyst said in his latest weekly report.
Economic shocks and unexpected events cannot be fully predicted, but let’s recap some key points being seen. With regards to economic growth expectations, figures remain positive for 2019, but according to most, growth will drift to lower levels than it did in 2018.
UBS forecasts a figure close to 3.6% for the global economic growth this year, 0.2% lower than the last year, due to tighter monetary policies and political challenges among the world’s major economies. He also further noted, the same trend is projected for the US from Goldman Sachs, reducing the US economy growth forecast for the first half of 2019 to 2% from 2.4% estimated earlier. Most analysts predict that a US recession risk is low for this year. Meanwhile, it is worth mentioning that elections are expected for several countries this year, including India, South Africa, Canada, Argentina and Greece, leaving the prospect of political shocks firm on the table.
Additionally, Brexit is planned to occur on March 29, with many aspects of the withdrawal agreement still remaining unclear. Meanwhile, trade tensions emerged this past year between China and the US, with several commodities being impacted. New chapters in this play are expected to be seen this year, with more tariffs being likely in several products after the March dead-line, though with discussions underway there is still hope that a deal can be struck. With regards to global trade agreements, an altered Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) was agreed between 11 countries (Australia, Brunei, Canada, Chile, Japan, Malaysia, Mexico, New Zealand, Peru, Singapore, Vietnam), despite the withdrawal of the US. The agreement will cut tariffs in several imports between the above-mentioned members. WE are also set to see a rise in the trade of agricultural imports from Canada and Australia to Japan, with the two hoping that they may gain market share from the US, said Yiannis Vamvakas.
Additionally, a new EU-Japan economic partnership agreement will commence from February, which will facilitate exports of Japan to the EU and vice versa.
In China, Yiannis Vamvakas said, there are several developments taking shape in terms of industrial production. Several industrial producers have already decided to increase their production levels within China in order to circumvent the tariffs introduced by the Chinese government on imports. On the other hand, Chinese producers may need to reshape their productions’ plans and add bigger volumes in other locations, avoiding tariffs on Chinese imports by the US. Vietnam and Indonesia may be the bigger winners of this shift.
Furthermore, 2018 was a turbulent year for oil. With oversupply concerns and possible geopolitical tensions still in play, volatility is expected to spill over into this year, but prices are predicted to follow an overall bullish trajectory. In mid-2019, waivers provided from the US to several countries with regards to importing oil from Iran are expected to expire, leaving a gap in the global oil trade. Moreover, it is interesting to see if the recent agreement among OPEC and non-OPEC producers to cut output will materialize and to what extent.
At the same time, we are waiting to see how prepared refineries are for IMO 2020, as the deadline draws ever closer. Uncertainty will continue to cloud the market and any decisions being made, but with global trade growth expected to remain at healthy levels this year, we should see further market improvement take place.
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Tuesday, 29 January 19
HARD COAL BEARS THE BRUNT OF THE RECOMMENDATIONS OF THE COMMISSION GROWTH STRUCTURAL CHANGE AND EMPLOYMENT - VDKI
Press Release: Hard coal bears the brunt of the recommendations of the Commission Growth Structural change and employment.
In its fi ...
Tuesday, 29 January 19
CHINA HAS BEEN THE TOP DRIVER OF GLOBAL GROWTH FOR NEARLY TWO DECADES - ALLIED
China has been the top driver of global growth for nearly two decades now, pushing demand for seaborne trade and being the key influencer for deman ...
Saturday, 26 January 19
SUPRAMAX: NICKEL ORE RUNS SAW A 56K DWT VESSEL, DELIVERY PHILIPPINES, FIXED FOR A TRIP TO CHINA AT $6K - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
A week of dashed hopes for owners as the optimism evident the previous week evaporated. Rates slipped on all routes and underlying thr ...
Thursday, 24 January 19
ANOTHER DISAPPOINTING WEEK FOR PANAMAX OWNERS; MARKET CONTINUES DOWN IN BOTH BASINS - FEARNLEYS
Capesize
The week has been marked by low activity and dropping rates in both basins. As usual, supply additions have increased at the beginning ...
Thursday, 24 January 19
KOREA SOUTHERN POWER INVITED BIDS FOR 960K MT OF 4600 NCV COAL FOR THREE YEARS
COALspot.com: South Korea state-owned utility Korea Southern Power Co. Ltd (KOSPO) issued a tender for 320,000 MT of min 4,600 kcal/kg NCV low calo ...
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- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- PTC India Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Australian Coal Association
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- White Energy Company Limited
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Economic Council, Georgia
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