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Tuesday, 08 January 19
GLOBAL TRADE GROWTH EXPECTED TO REMAIN AT HEALTHY IN 2019 - ALLIED
 2019 is here and we find ourselves with new challenges for the shipping industry and the global economy as whole, with market prospects being neither optimistic nor pessimistic according to most analysts, Yiannis Vamvakas Allied shipping’s Research Analyst said in his latest weekly report.
Economic shocks and unexpected events cannot be fully predicted, but let’s recap some key points being seen. With regards to economic growth expectations, figures remain positive for 2019, but according to most, growth will drift to lower levels than it did in 2018.
UBS forecasts a figure close to 3.6% for the global economic growth this year, 0.2% lower than the last year, due to tighter monetary policies and political challenges among the world’s major economies. He also further noted, the same trend is projected for the US from Goldman Sachs, reducing the US economy growth forecast for the first half of 2019 to 2% from 2.4% estimated earlier. Most analysts predict that a US recession risk is low for this year. Meanwhile, it is worth mentioning that elections are expected for several countries this year, including India, South Africa, Canada, Argentina and Greece, leaving the prospect of political shocks firm on the table.
Additionally, Brexit is planned to occur on March 29, with many aspects of the withdrawal agreement still remaining unclear. Meanwhile, trade tensions emerged this past year between China and the US, with several commodities being impacted. New chapters in this play are expected to be seen this year, with more tariffs being likely in several products after the March dead-line, though with discussions underway there is still hope that a deal can be struck. With regards to global trade agreements, an altered Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) was agreed between 11 countries (Australia, Brunei, Canada, Chile, Japan, Malaysia, Mexico, New Zealand, Peru, Singapore, Vietnam), despite the withdrawal of the US. The agreement will cut tariffs in several imports between the above-mentioned members. WE are also set to see a rise in the trade of agricultural imports from Canada and Australia to Japan, with the two hoping that they may gain market share from the US, said Yiannis Vamvakas.
Additionally, a new EU-Japan economic partnership agreement will commence from February, which will facilitate exports of Japan to the EU and vice versa.
In China, Yiannis Vamvakas said, there are several developments taking shape in terms of industrial production. Several industrial producers have already decided to increase their production levels within China in order to circumvent the tariffs introduced by the Chinese government on imports. On the other hand, Chinese producers may need to reshape their productions’ plans and add bigger volumes in other locations, avoiding tariffs on Chinese imports by the US. Vietnam and Indonesia may be the bigger winners of this shift.
Furthermore, 2018 was a turbulent year for oil. With oversupply concerns and possible geopolitical tensions still in play, volatility is expected to spill over into this year, but prices are predicted to follow an overall bullish trajectory. In mid-2019, waivers provided from the US to several countries with regards to importing oil from Iran are expected to expire, leaving a gap in the global oil trade. Moreover, it is interesting to see if the recent agreement among OPEC and non-OPEC producers to cut output will materialize and to what extent.
At the same time, we are waiting to see how prepared refineries are for IMO 2020, as the deadline draws ever closer. Uncertainty will continue to cloud the market and any decisions being made, but with global trade growth expected to remain at healthy levels this year, we should see further market improvement take place.
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Tuesday, 29 January 19
HARD COAL BEARS THE BRUNT OF THE RECOMMENDATIONS OF THE COMMISSION GROWTH STRUCTURAL CHANGE AND EMPLOYMENT - VDKI
Press Release: Hard coal bears the brunt of the recommendations of the Commission Growth Structural change and employment.
In its fi ...
Tuesday, 29 January 19
CHINA HAS BEEN THE TOP DRIVER OF GLOBAL GROWTH FOR NEARLY TWO DECADES - ALLIED
China has been the top driver of global growth for nearly two decades now, pushing demand for seaborne trade and being the key influencer for deman ...
Saturday, 26 January 19
SUPRAMAX: NICKEL ORE RUNS SAW A 56K DWT VESSEL, DELIVERY PHILIPPINES, FIXED FOR A TRIP TO CHINA AT $6K - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
A week of dashed hopes for owners as the optimism evident the previous week evaporated. Rates slipped on all routes and underlying thr ...
Thursday, 24 January 19
ANOTHER DISAPPOINTING WEEK FOR PANAMAX OWNERS; MARKET CONTINUES DOWN IN BOTH BASINS - FEARNLEYS
Capesize
The week has been marked by low activity and dropping rates in both basins. As usual, supply additions have increased at the beginning ...
Thursday, 24 January 19
KOREA SOUTHERN POWER INVITED BIDS FOR 960K MT OF 4600 NCV COAL FOR THREE YEARS
COALspot.com: South Korea state-owned utility Korea Southern Power Co. Ltd (KOSPO) issued a tender for 320,000 MT of min 4,600 kcal/kg NCV low calo ...
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- Australian Coal Association
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
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