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Tuesday, 08 January 19
GLOBAL TRADE GROWTH EXPECTED TO REMAIN AT HEALTHY IN 2019 - ALLIED
 2019 is here and we find ourselves with new challenges for the shipping industry and the global economy as whole, with market prospects being neither optimistic nor pessimistic according to most analysts, Yiannis Vamvakas Allied shipping’s Research Analyst said in his latest weekly report.
Economic shocks and unexpected events cannot be fully predicted, but let’s recap some key points being seen. With regards to economic growth expectations, figures remain positive for 2019, but according to most, growth will drift to lower levels than it did in 2018.
UBS forecasts a figure close to 3.6% for the global economic growth this year, 0.2% lower than the last year, due to tighter monetary policies and political challenges among the world’s major economies. He also further noted, the same trend is projected for the US from Goldman Sachs, reducing the US economy growth forecast for the first half of 2019 to 2% from 2.4% estimated earlier. Most analysts predict that a US recession risk is low for this year. Meanwhile, it is worth mentioning that elections are expected for several countries this year, including India, South Africa, Canada, Argentina and Greece, leaving the prospect of political shocks firm on the table.
Additionally, Brexit is planned to occur on March 29, with many aspects of the withdrawal agreement still remaining unclear. Meanwhile, trade tensions emerged this past year between China and the US, with several commodities being impacted. New chapters in this play are expected to be seen this year, with more tariffs being likely in several products after the March dead-line, though with discussions underway there is still hope that a deal can be struck. With regards to global trade agreements, an altered Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) was agreed between 11 countries (Australia, Brunei, Canada, Chile, Japan, Malaysia, Mexico, New Zealand, Peru, Singapore, Vietnam), despite the withdrawal of the US. The agreement will cut tariffs in several imports between the above-mentioned members. WE are also set to see a rise in the trade of agricultural imports from Canada and Australia to Japan, with the two hoping that they may gain market share from the US, said Yiannis Vamvakas.
Additionally, a new EU-Japan economic partnership agreement will commence from February, which will facilitate exports of Japan to the EU and vice versa.
In China, Yiannis Vamvakas said, there are several developments taking shape in terms of industrial production. Several industrial producers have already decided to increase their production levels within China in order to circumvent the tariffs introduced by the Chinese government on imports. On the other hand, Chinese producers may need to reshape their productions’ plans and add bigger volumes in other locations, avoiding tariffs on Chinese imports by the US. Vietnam and Indonesia may be the bigger winners of this shift.
Furthermore, 2018 was a turbulent year for oil. With oversupply concerns and possible geopolitical tensions still in play, volatility is expected to spill over into this year, but prices are predicted to follow an overall bullish trajectory. In mid-2019, waivers provided from the US to several countries with regards to importing oil from Iran are expected to expire, leaving a gap in the global oil trade. Moreover, it is interesting to see if the recent agreement among OPEC and non-OPEC producers to cut output will materialize and to what extent.
At the same time, we are waiting to see how prepared refineries are for IMO 2020, as the deadline draws ever closer. Uncertainty will continue to cloud the market and any decisions being made, but with global trade growth expected to remain at healthy levels this year, we should see further market improvement take place.
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Tuesday, 29 January 19
HARD COAL BEARS THE BRUNT OF THE RECOMMENDATIONS OF THE COMMISSION GROWTH STRUCTURAL CHANGE AND EMPLOYMENT - VDKI
Press Release: Hard coal bears the brunt of the recommendations of the Commission Growth Structural change and employment.
In its fi ...
Tuesday, 29 January 19
CHINA HAS BEEN THE TOP DRIVER OF GLOBAL GROWTH FOR NEARLY TWO DECADES - ALLIED
China has been the top driver of global growth for nearly two decades now, pushing demand for seaborne trade and being the key influencer for deman ...
Saturday, 26 January 19
SUPRAMAX: NICKEL ORE RUNS SAW A 56K DWT VESSEL, DELIVERY PHILIPPINES, FIXED FOR A TRIP TO CHINA AT $6K - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
A week of dashed hopes for owners as the optimism evident the previous week evaporated. Rates slipped on all routes and underlying thr ...
Thursday, 24 January 19
ANOTHER DISAPPOINTING WEEK FOR PANAMAX OWNERS; MARKET CONTINUES DOWN IN BOTH BASINS - FEARNLEYS
Capesize
The week has been marked by low activity and dropping rates in both basins. As usual, supply additions have increased at the beginning ...
Thursday, 24 January 19
KOREA SOUTHERN POWER INVITED BIDS FOR 960K MT OF 4600 NCV COAL FOR THREE YEARS
COALspot.com: South Korea state-owned utility Korea Southern Power Co. Ltd (KOSPO) issued a tender for 320,000 MT of min 4,600 kcal/kg NCV low calo ...
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- Planning Commission, India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- PTC India Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
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