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Tuesday, 08 January 19
GLOBAL TRADE GROWTH EXPECTED TO REMAIN AT HEALTHY IN 2019 - ALLIED
 2019 is here and we find ourselves with new challenges for the shipping industry and the global economy as whole, with market prospects being neither optimistic nor pessimistic according to most analysts, Yiannis Vamvakas Allied shipping’s Research Analyst said in his latest weekly report.
Economic shocks and unexpected events cannot be fully predicted, but let’s recap some key points being seen. With regards to economic growth expectations, figures remain positive for 2019, but according to most, growth will drift to lower levels than it did in 2018.
UBS forecasts a figure close to 3.6% for the global economic growth this year, 0.2% lower than the last year, due to tighter monetary policies and political challenges among the world’s major economies. He also further noted, the same trend is projected for the US from Goldman Sachs, reducing the US economy growth forecast for the first half of 2019 to 2% from 2.4% estimated earlier. Most analysts predict that a US recession risk is low for this year. Meanwhile, it is worth mentioning that elections are expected for several countries this year, including India, South Africa, Canada, Argentina and Greece, leaving the prospect of political shocks firm on the table.
Additionally, Brexit is planned to occur on March 29, with many aspects of the withdrawal agreement still remaining unclear. Meanwhile, trade tensions emerged this past year between China and the US, with several commodities being impacted. New chapters in this play are expected to be seen this year, with more tariffs being likely in several products after the March dead-line, though with discussions underway there is still hope that a deal can be struck. With regards to global trade agreements, an altered Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) was agreed between 11 countries (Australia, Brunei, Canada, Chile, Japan, Malaysia, Mexico, New Zealand, Peru, Singapore, Vietnam), despite the withdrawal of the US. The agreement will cut tariffs in several imports between the above-mentioned members. WE are also set to see a rise in the trade of agricultural imports from Canada and Australia to Japan, with the two hoping that they may gain market share from the US, said Yiannis Vamvakas.
Additionally, a new EU-Japan economic partnership agreement will commence from February, which will facilitate exports of Japan to the EU and vice versa.
In China, Yiannis Vamvakas said, there are several developments taking shape in terms of industrial production. Several industrial producers have already decided to increase their production levels within China in order to circumvent the tariffs introduced by the Chinese government on imports. On the other hand, Chinese producers may need to reshape their productions’ plans and add bigger volumes in other locations, avoiding tariffs on Chinese imports by the US. Vietnam and Indonesia may be the bigger winners of this shift.
Furthermore, 2018 was a turbulent year for oil. With oversupply concerns and possible geopolitical tensions still in play, volatility is expected to spill over into this year, but prices are predicted to follow an overall bullish trajectory. In mid-2019, waivers provided from the US to several countries with regards to importing oil from Iran are expected to expire, leaving a gap in the global oil trade. Moreover, it is interesting to see if the recent agreement among OPEC and non-OPEC producers to cut output will materialize and to what extent.
At the same time, we are waiting to see how prepared refineries are for IMO 2020, as the deadline draws ever closer. Uncertainty will continue to cloud the market and any decisions being made, but with global trade growth expected to remain at healthy levels this year, we should see further market improvement take place.
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Wednesday, 13 February 19
MALAYSIA WAS THE REGION'S LARGEST COAL IMPORTER WITH 34 MT IN 2018, UP 25% Y-O-Y
Although coal market in 2018 started with strong prices, starting in the beginning of the second half of 2018, the international spot prices for co ...
Wednesday, 13 February 19
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
If there is one word that can describe the current shipping environment then that this word is most probably “volatility.” The sentimen ...
Saturday, 09 February 19
SUPRAMAX: A 63,000-TONNER WAS REPORTED FIXED DELIVERY FOR AN EAST KALIMANTAN TRIP, REDELIVERY WEST COAST INDIA, AT $9,250 - THE BALTIC BRIEFING
Cape
The Vale disaster weighed heavily on the market for big ships, with uncertainty about shipments/future exports leading to a sharp drop in ...
Friday, 08 February 19
LOWER-QUALITY INDONESIA EXPORTS ROSE 39 MT IN 2018 YOY PRIMARILY IN RESPONSE TO INCREASED DEMAND FROM CHINA AND INDIA - PEABODY
"Underlying seaborne met and thermal coal conditions remain quite positive and the pace of U.S. coal-fueled power plant retirements is expecte ...
Thursday, 07 February 19
QATAR CAN GAIN FROM DECLINING COAL - THE PENINSULA
With North America and Europe closing down their old coal and nuclear plants, major gas exporters like Qatar can and should gain market share. With ...
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- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
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