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Tuesday, 08 January 19
GLOBAL TRADE GROWTH EXPECTED TO REMAIN AT HEALTHY IN 2019 - ALLIED
 2019 is here and we find ourselves with new challenges for the shipping industry and the global economy as whole, with market prospects being neither optimistic nor pessimistic according to most analysts, Yiannis Vamvakas Allied shipping’s Research Analyst said in his latest weekly report.
Economic shocks and unexpected events cannot be fully predicted, but let’s recap some key points being seen. With regards to economic growth expectations, figures remain positive for 2019, but according to most, growth will drift to lower levels than it did in 2018.
UBS forecasts a figure close to 3.6% for the global economic growth this year, 0.2% lower than the last year, due to tighter monetary policies and political challenges among the world’s major economies. He also further noted, the same trend is projected for the US from Goldman Sachs, reducing the US economy growth forecast for the first half of 2019 to 2% from 2.4% estimated earlier. Most analysts predict that a US recession risk is low for this year. Meanwhile, it is worth mentioning that elections are expected for several countries this year, including India, South Africa, Canada, Argentina and Greece, leaving the prospect of political shocks firm on the table.
Additionally, Brexit is planned to occur on March 29, with many aspects of the withdrawal agreement still remaining unclear. Meanwhile, trade tensions emerged this past year between China and the US, with several commodities being impacted. New chapters in this play are expected to be seen this year, with more tariffs being likely in several products after the March dead-line, though with discussions underway there is still hope that a deal can be struck. With regards to global trade agreements, an altered Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) was agreed between 11 countries (Australia, Brunei, Canada, Chile, Japan, Malaysia, Mexico, New Zealand, Peru, Singapore, Vietnam), despite the withdrawal of the US. The agreement will cut tariffs in several imports between the above-mentioned members. WE are also set to see a rise in the trade of agricultural imports from Canada and Australia to Japan, with the two hoping that they may gain market share from the US, said Yiannis Vamvakas.
Additionally, a new EU-Japan economic partnership agreement will commence from February, which will facilitate exports of Japan to the EU and vice versa.
In China, Yiannis Vamvakas said, there are several developments taking shape in terms of industrial production. Several industrial producers have already decided to increase their production levels within China in order to circumvent the tariffs introduced by the Chinese government on imports. On the other hand, Chinese producers may need to reshape their productions’ plans and add bigger volumes in other locations, avoiding tariffs on Chinese imports by the US. Vietnam and Indonesia may be the bigger winners of this shift.
Furthermore, 2018 was a turbulent year for oil. With oversupply concerns and possible geopolitical tensions still in play, volatility is expected to spill over into this year, but prices are predicted to follow an overall bullish trajectory. In mid-2019, waivers provided from the US to several countries with regards to importing oil from Iran are expected to expire, leaving a gap in the global oil trade. Moreover, it is interesting to see if the recent agreement among OPEC and non-OPEC producers to cut output will materialize and to what extent.
At the same time, we are waiting to see how prepared refineries are for IMO 2020, as the deadline draws ever closer. Uncertainty will continue to cloud the market and any decisions being made, but with global trade growth expected to remain at healthy levels this year, we should see further market improvement take place.
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Wednesday, 13 February 19
MALAYSIA WAS THE REGION'S LARGEST COAL IMPORTER WITH 34 MT IN 2018, UP 25% Y-O-Y
Although coal market in 2018 started with strong prices, starting in the beginning of the second half of 2018, the international spot prices for co ...
Wednesday, 13 February 19
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
If there is one word that can describe the current shipping environment then that this word is most probably “volatility.” The sentimen ...
Saturday, 09 February 19
SUPRAMAX: A 63,000-TONNER WAS REPORTED FIXED DELIVERY FOR AN EAST KALIMANTAN TRIP, REDELIVERY WEST COAST INDIA, AT $9,250 - THE BALTIC BRIEFING
Cape
The Vale disaster weighed heavily on the market for big ships, with uncertainty about shipments/future exports leading to a sharp drop in ...
Friday, 08 February 19
LOWER-QUALITY INDONESIA EXPORTS ROSE 39 MT IN 2018 YOY PRIMARILY IN RESPONSE TO INCREASED DEMAND FROM CHINA AND INDIA - PEABODY
"Underlying seaborne met and thermal coal conditions remain quite positive and the pace of U.S. coal-fueled power plant retirements is expecte ...
Thursday, 07 February 19
QATAR CAN GAIN FROM DECLINING COAL - THE PENINSULA
With North America and Europe closing down their old coal and nuclear plants, major gas exporters like Qatar can and should gain market share. With ...
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- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- PTC India Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Australian Coal Association
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- White Energy Company Limited
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
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