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Tuesday, 08 January 19
GLOBAL TRADE GROWTH EXPECTED TO REMAIN AT HEALTHY IN 2019 - ALLIED
 2019 is here and we find ourselves with new challenges for the shipping industry and the global economy as whole, with market prospects being neither optimistic nor pessimistic according to most analysts, Yiannis Vamvakas Allied shipping’s Research Analyst said in his latest weekly report.
Economic shocks and unexpected events cannot be fully predicted, but let’s recap some key points being seen. With regards to economic growth expectations, figures remain positive for 2019, but according to most, growth will drift to lower levels than it did in 2018.
UBS forecasts a figure close to 3.6% for the global economic growth this year, 0.2% lower than the last year, due to tighter monetary policies and political challenges among the world’s major economies. He also further noted, the same trend is projected for the US from Goldman Sachs, reducing the US economy growth forecast for the first half of 2019 to 2% from 2.4% estimated earlier. Most analysts predict that a US recession risk is low for this year. Meanwhile, it is worth mentioning that elections are expected for several countries this year, including India, South Africa, Canada, Argentina and Greece, leaving the prospect of political shocks firm on the table.
Additionally, Brexit is planned to occur on March 29, with many aspects of the withdrawal agreement still remaining unclear. Meanwhile, trade tensions emerged this past year between China and the US, with several commodities being impacted. New chapters in this play are expected to be seen this year, with more tariffs being likely in several products after the March dead-line, though with discussions underway there is still hope that a deal can be struck. With regards to global trade agreements, an altered Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) was agreed between 11 countries (Australia, Brunei, Canada, Chile, Japan, Malaysia, Mexico, New Zealand, Peru, Singapore, Vietnam), despite the withdrawal of the US. The agreement will cut tariffs in several imports between the above-mentioned members. WE are also set to see a rise in the trade of agricultural imports from Canada and Australia to Japan, with the two hoping that they may gain market share from the US, said Yiannis Vamvakas.
Additionally, a new EU-Japan economic partnership agreement will commence from February, which will facilitate exports of Japan to the EU and vice versa.
In China, Yiannis Vamvakas said, there are several developments taking shape in terms of industrial production. Several industrial producers have already decided to increase their production levels within China in order to circumvent the tariffs introduced by the Chinese government on imports. On the other hand, Chinese producers may need to reshape their productions’ plans and add bigger volumes in other locations, avoiding tariffs on Chinese imports by the US. Vietnam and Indonesia may be the bigger winners of this shift.
Furthermore, 2018 was a turbulent year for oil. With oversupply concerns and possible geopolitical tensions still in play, volatility is expected to spill over into this year, but prices are predicted to follow an overall bullish trajectory. In mid-2019, waivers provided from the US to several countries with regards to importing oil from Iran are expected to expire, leaving a gap in the global oil trade. Moreover, it is interesting to see if the recent agreement among OPEC and non-OPEC producers to cut output will materialize and to what extent.
At the same time, we are waiting to see how prepared refineries are for IMO 2020, as the deadline draws ever closer. Uncertainty will continue to cloud the market and any decisions being made, but with global trade growth expected to remain at healthy levels this year, we should see further market improvement take place.
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Wednesday, 06 February 19
FEBRUARY 2019 INDONESIA'S COAL REFERENCE PRICE FELL 8.83 PERCENT YOY
COALspot.com: The Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources of the Republic of Indonesia has revised down again the benchmark price of Indonesian th ...
Wednesday, 06 February 19
THE BDI HAS EASED BACK TO 645 BP, ITS LOWEST LEVEL SINCE AUGUST 2016 - ALLIED
The dry bulk sector is in the doldrums, with most market participants seemingly left utterly perplexed, and simultaneously, in pursuit of any posit ...
Monday, 04 February 19
COAL STILL IN HIGH DEMAND GLOBALLY
Although the world is switching to renewable energy there is still a big demand for coal around the globe.
This is according to Cany ...
Friday, 01 February 19
ULTRAMAX WAS FIXED DELIVERY KALIMANTAN, FOR TRIP TO WEST COAST INDIA AT $7,000 - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
The Vale dam tragedy sparked a sharp fall in rates across all regions even where tonnage remained tight. The potential loss of product ...
Friday, 01 February 19
SEMBCORP SELECTS NORDEN FOR LONG-TERM INDIAN CONTRACT
NORDEN A/S has signed a 10-year Panamax Contract of Affreightment (COA) with Indian utility firm Sembcorp Energy India Ltd.
From 1 A ...
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- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- PTC India Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- The University of Queensland
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
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