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Tuesday, 08 January 19
GLOBAL TRADE GROWTH EXPECTED TO REMAIN AT HEALTHY IN 2019 - ALLIED
 2019 is here and we find ourselves with new challenges for the shipping industry and the global economy as whole, with market prospects being neither optimistic nor pessimistic according to most analysts, Yiannis Vamvakas Allied shipping’s Research Analyst said in his latest weekly report.
Economic shocks and unexpected events cannot be fully predicted, but let’s recap some key points being seen. With regards to economic growth expectations, figures remain positive for 2019, but according to most, growth will drift to lower levels than it did in 2018.
UBS forecasts a figure close to 3.6% for the global economic growth this year, 0.2% lower than the last year, due to tighter monetary policies and political challenges among the world’s major economies. He also further noted, the same trend is projected for the US from Goldman Sachs, reducing the US economy growth forecast for the first half of 2019 to 2% from 2.4% estimated earlier. Most analysts predict that a US recession risk is low for this year. Meanwhile, it is worth mentioning that elections are expected for several countries this year, including India, South Africa, Canada, Argentina and Greece, leaving the prospect of political shocks firm on the table.
Additionally, Brexit is planned to occur on March 29, with many aspects of the withdrawal agreement still remaining unclear. Meanwhile, trade tensions emerged this past year between China and the US, with several commodities being impacted. New chapters in this play are expected to be seen this year, with more tariffs being likely in several products after the March dead-line, though with discussions underway there is still hope that a deal can be struck. With regards to global trade agreements, an altered Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) was agreed between 11 countries (Australia, Brunei, Canada, Chile, Japan, Malaysia, Mexico, New Zealand, Peru, Singapore, Vietnam), despite the withdrawal of the US. The agreement will cut tariffs in several imports between the above-mentioned members. WE are also set to see a rise in the trade of agricultural imports from Canada and Australia to Japan, with the two hoping that they may gain market share from the US, said Yiannis Vamvakas.
Additionally, a new EU-Japan economic partnership agreement will commence from February, which will facilitate exports of Japan to the EU and vice versa.
In China, Yiannis Vamvakas said, there are several developments taking shape in terms of industrial production. Several industrial producers have already decided to increase their production levels within China in order to circumvent the tariffs introduced by the Chinese government on imports. On the other hand, Chinese producers may need to reshape their productions’ plans and add bigger volumes in other locations, avoiding tariffs on Chinese imports by the US. Vietnam and Indonesia may be the bigger winners of this shift.
Furthermore, 2018 was a turbulent year for oil. With oversupply concerns and possible geopolitical tensions still in play, volatility is expected to spill over into this year, but prices are predicted to follow an overall bullish trajectory. In mid-2019, waivers provided from the US to several countries with regards to importing oil from Iran are expected to expire, leaving a gap in the global oil trade. Moreover, it is interesting to see if the recent agreement among OPEC and non-OPEC producers to cut output will materialize and to what extent.
At the same time, we are waiting to see how prepared refineries are for IMO 2020, as the deadline draws ever closer. Uncertainty will continue to cloud the market and any decisions being made, but with global trade growth expected to remain at healthy levels this year, we should see further market improvement take place.
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Monday, 11 March 19
SUPRAMAX: A 61,000 DWT VESSEL WAS BOOKED SINGAPORE FOR A TRIP VIA INDONESIA TO CHINA AT $10,500 - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
A faint glimmer of hope with the suggestion the market may have finally bottomed out, with owners attempting to resist further cuts in ...
Friday, 08 March 19
KOMIPO INVITES BIDS FOR 2.6 MILLION TONS OF AUSTRALIAN 5700 NAR COAL FOR FIVE YEARS
South Korea state-owned utility Korea Midland Power (KOMIPO) issued a tender for 520,000 MT of min. 5700 NAR coal of Australian origin to be burnt ...
Friday, 08 March 19
CHINA'S COAL DEMAND FORECAST TO DROP SLOWLY - YONHAP
China’s coal demand is expected to fall at a snail’s pace over the next 20 years due to the country’s preference for the cheap fo ...
Thursday, 07 March 19
INDONESIAN COAL PRICE REFERENCE PLUNGE TO LOWEST IN SEVEN MONTHS
COALspot.com: The Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources of the Republic of Indonesia has revised down the benchmark price of Indonesian thermal ...
Wednesday, 06 March 19
KOSPO INVITES BIDS FOR 80,000 MT OF 3800 NCV COAL FOR 21 - 30 MARCH, 2019 LOADING
COALspot.com: South Korea state-owned utility Korea Southern Power Co. Ltd (KOSPO) issued a tender for 80,000 MT of min 3,800 kcal/kg NCV low calor ...
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- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- PTC India Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Minerals Council of Australia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- The University of Queensland
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
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