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Tuesday, 08 January 19
GLOBAL TRADE GROWTH EXPECTED TO REMAIN AT HEALTHY IN 2019 - ALLIED
 2019 is here and we find ourselves with new challenges for the shipping industry and the global economy as whole, with market prospects being neither optimistic nor pessimistic according to most analysts, Yiannis Vamvakas Allied shipping’s Research Analyst said in his latest weekly report.
Economic shocks and unexpected events cannot be fully predicted, but let’s recap some key points being seen. With regards to economic growth expectations, figures remain positive for 2019, but according to most, growth will drift to lower levels than it did in 2018.
UBS forecasts a figure close to 3.6% for the global economic growth this year, 0.2% lower than the last year, due to tighter monetary policies and political challenges among the world’s major economies. He also further noted, the same trend is projected for the US from Goldman Sachs, reducing the US economy growth forecast for the first half of 2019 to 2% from 2.4% estimated earlier. Most analysts predict that a US recession risk is low for this year. Meanwhile, it is worth mentioning that elections are expected for several countries this year, including India, South Africa, Canada, Argentina and Greece, leaving the prospect of political shocks firm on the table.
Additionally, Brexit is planned to occur on March 29, with many aspects of the withdrawal agreement still remaining unclear. Meanwhile, trade tensions emerged this past year between China and the US, with several commodities being impacted. New chapters in this play are expected to be seen this year, with more tariffs being likely in several products after the March dead-line, though with discussions underway there is still hope that a deal can be struck. With regards to global trade agreements, an altered Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) was agreed between 11 countries (Australia, Brunei, Canada, Chile, Japan, Malaysia, Mexico, New Zealand, Peru, Singapore, Vietnam), despite the withdrawal of the US. The agreement will cut tariffs in several imports between the above-mentioned members. WE are also set to see a rise in the trade of agricultural imports from Canada and Australia to Japan, with the two hoping that they may gain market share from the US, said Yiannis Vamvakas.
Additionally, a new EU-Japan economic partnership agreement will commence from February, which will facilitate exports of Japan to the EU and vice versa.
In China, Yiannis Vamvakas said, there are several developments taking shape in terms of industrial production. Several industrial producers have already decided to increase their production levels within China in order to circumvent the tariffs introduced by the Chinese government on imports. On the other hand, Chinese producers may need to reshape their productions’ plans and add bigger volumes in other locations, avoiding tariffs on Chinese imports by the US. Vietnam and Indonesia may be the bigger winners of this shift.
Furthermore, 2018 was a turbulent year for oil. With oversupply concerns and possible geopolitical tensions still in play, volatility is expected to spill over into this year, but prices are predicted to follow an overall bullish trajectory. In mid-2019, waivers provided from the US to several countries with regards to importing oil from Iran are expected to expire, leaving a gap in the global oil trade. Moreover, it is interesting to see if the recent agreement among OPEC and non-OPEC producers to cut output will materialize and to what extent.
At the same time, we are waiting to see how prepared refineries are for IMO 2020, as the deadline draws ever closer. Uncertainty will continue to cloud the market and any decisions being made, but with global trade growth expected to remain at healthy levels this year, we should see further market improvement take place.
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Monday, 01 April 19
AUSTRALIAN COAL AT RISK FROM CHINA MOVE, WARNS GOVERNMENT REPORT - SYDNEY MORNING HERALD
A new government report warns China’s restrictions on coal imports is the number one risk for Australian coal this year and could lead to a s ...
Saturday, 30 March 19
KOEN INVITES BIDS FOR 450,000 TONS OF (SUB) BITUMINOUS COAL FOR H1 AND JUNE 2019
South Korea state-owned utility KOREA SOUTH-EAST POWER CO., LTD. (KOEN) issued a tender for total 450,000 MT of min. 4300, 3500 and 5600 NCV ...
Wednesday, 27 March 19
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Contrary to the December 2018 forecasts but in line with the expectations of the dry bulk market, the first quarter of the year closed negatively. ...
Saturday, 23 March 19
IT WAS A POSITIVE WEEK FOR THE HANDY SIZE MARKET - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
The big ships endured heavy losses last week extinguishing any hopes from the recent minor rally. Negative sentiment gained pace throu ...
Friday, 22 March 19
CHINA MARKET: COAL OUT IN THE COLD - BUSINESS RECORDER
Though China maintains there is no ban, China-bound Australian coal shipments are looking for a new home. For the past few months, coal cargoes are ...
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- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Australian Coal Association
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- White Energy Company Limited
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- PTC India Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
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