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Tuesday, 08 January 19
GLOBAL TRADE GROWTH EXPECTED TO REMAIN AT HEALTHY IN 2019 - ALLIED
 2019 is here and we find ourselves with new challenges for the shipping industry and the global economy as whole, with market prospects being neither optimistic nor pessimistic according to most analysts, Yiannis Vamvakas Allied shipping’s Research Analyst said in his latest weekly report.
Economic shocks and unexpected events cannot be fully predicted, but let’s recap some key points being seen. With regards to economic growth expectations, figures remain positive for 2019, but according to most, growth will drift to lower levels than it did in 2018.
UBS forecasts a figure close to 3.6% for the global economic growth this year, 0.2% lower than the last year, due to tighter monetary policies and political challenges among the world’s major economies. He also further noted, the same trend is projected for the US from Goldman Sachs, reducing the US economy growth forecast for the first half of 2019 to 2% from 2.4% estimated earlier. Most analysts predict that a US recession risk is low for this year. Meanwhile, it is worth mentioning that elections are expected for several countries this year, including India, South Africa, Canada, Argentina and Greece, leaving the prospect of political shocks firm on the table.
Additionally, Brexit is planned to occur on March 29, with many aspects of the withdrawal agreement still remaining unclear. Meanwhile, trade tensions emerged this past year between China and the US, with several commodities being impacted. New chapters in this play are expected to be seen this year, with more tariffs being likely in several products after the March dead-line, though with discussions underway there is still hope that a deal can be struck. With regards to global trade agreements, an altered Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) was agreed between 11 countries (Australia, Brunei, Canada, Chile, Japan, Malaysia, Mexico, New Zealand, Peru, Singapore, Vietnam), despite the withdrawal of the US. The agreement will cut tariffs in several imports between the above-mentioned members. WE are also set to see a rise in the trade of agricultural imports from Canada and Australia to Japan, with the two hoping that they may gain market share from the US, said Yiannis Vamvakas.
Additionally, a new EU-Japan economic partnership agreement will commence from February, which will facilitate exports of Japan to the EU and vice versa.
In China, Yiannis Vamvakas said, there are several developments taking shape in terms of industrial production. Several industrial producers have already decided to increase their production levels within China in order to circumvent the tariffs introduced by the Chinese government on imports. On the other hand, Chinese producers may need to reshape their productions’ plans and add bigger volumes in other locations, avoiding tariffs on Chinese imports by the US. Vietnam and Indonesia may be the bigger winners of this shift.
Furthermore, 2018 was a turbulent year for oil. With oversupply concerns and possible geopolitical tensions still in play, volatility is expected to spill over into this year, but prices are predicted to follow an overall bullish trajectory. In mid-2019, waivers provided from the US to several countries with regards to importing oil from Iran are expected to expire, leaving a gap in the global oil trade. Moreover, it is interesting to see if the recent agreement among OPEC and non-OPEC producers to cut output will materialize and to what extent.
At the same time, we are waiting to see how prepared refineries are for IMO 2020, as the deadline draws ever closer. Uncertainty will continue to cloud the market and any decisions being made, but with global trade growth expected to remain at healthy levels this year, we should see further market improvement take place.
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Thursday, 21 March 19
PRICE PLUNGE AS CHINESE LEAVE THERMAL COAL OUT IN THE COLD - AUSTRALIAN FINANCIAL REVIEW
Thermal coal exporter New Hope Corporation says China’s shipment squeeze on Australia is putting downward pressure on prices in all markets i ...
Wednesday, 20 March 19
COAL EXPORT FEARS RESURFACE AS RESTRICTIONS HIT MORE CHINESE PORTS AND AUSTRALIAN PRICES COP A 'BELTING' - ABC
Australian thermal coal exports to China are under increasing pressure, with indications import restrictions are spreading to other key ports.
...
Monday, 18 March 19
A 56,000DWT SHIP FIXED DELIVERY FOR A SINGAPORE TRIP VIA INDONESIA, RE-DELIVERY CHINA, AT $10,000 - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
The Baltic Capesize market shrugged off its recent negative sentiment to post daily incremental improvements over the last week. Pacif ...
Saturday, 16 March 19
AUSTRALIAN COAL STILL FACING CHINESE DELAY - AAP
Australian coal exports to China are still facing delays, with protectionism and environmental checks blamed for the slowdown.
Coal ...
Thursday, 14 March 19
SUPRAMAX: INDO COAL CARGOES GETTING FIXED AT AROUND US$ 12000 TO CHINA - FEARNLEYS
Capesize
Average daily earning still well below operating costs, and owners keep bleeding - but nevertheless finally some bright spots for the ...
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- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- White Energy Company Limited
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- The University of Queensland
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Australian Coal Association
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
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