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Tuesday, 08 January 19
GLOBAL TRADE GROWTH EXPECTED TO REMAIN AT HEALTHY IN 2019 - ALLIED
 2019 is here and we find ourselves with new challenges for the shipping industry and the global economy as whole, with market prospects being neither optimistic nor pessimistic according to most analysts, Yiannis Vamvakas Allied shipping’s Research Analyst said in his latest weekly report.
Economic shocks and unexpected events cannot be fully predicted, but let’s recap some key points being seen. With regards to economic growth expectations, figures remain positive for 2019, but according to most, growth will drift to lower levels than it did in 2018.
UBS forecasts a figure close to 3.6% for the global economic growth this year, 0.2% lower than the last year, due to tighter monetary policies and political challenges among the world’s major economies. He also further noted, the same trend is projected for the US from Goldman Sachs, reducing the US economy growth forecast for the first half of 2019 to 2% from 2.4% estimated earlier. Most analysts predict that a US recession risk is low for this year. Meanwhile, it is worth mentioning that elections are expected for several countries this year, including India, South Africa, Canada, Argentina and Greece, leaving the prospect of political shocks firm on the table.
Additionally, Brexit is planned to occur on March 29, with many aspects of the withdrawal agreement still remaining unclear. Meanwhile, trade tensions emerged this past year between China and the US, with several commodities being impacted. New chapters in this play are expected to be seen this year, with more tariffs being likely in several products after the March dead-line, though with discussions underway there is still hope that a deal can be struck. With regards to global trade agreements, an altered Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) was agreed between 11 countries (Australia, Brunei, Canada, Chile, Japan, Malaysia, Mexico, New Zealand, Peru, Singapore, Vietnam), despite the withdrawal of the US. The agreement will cut tariffs in several imports between the above-mentioned members. WE are also set to see a rise in the trade of agricultural imports from Canada and Australia to Japan, with the two hoping that they may gain market share from the US, said Yiannis Vamvakas.
Additionally, a new EU-Japan economic partnership agreement will commence from February, which will facilitate exports of Japan to the EU and vice versa.
In China, Yiannis Vamvakas said, there are several developments taking shape in terms of industrial production. Several industrial producers have already decided to increase their production levels within China in order to circumvent the tariffs introduced by the Chinese government on imports. On the other hand, Chinese producers may need to reshape their productions’ plans and add bigger volumes in other locations, avoiding tariffs on Chinese imports by the US. Vietnam and Indonesia may be the bigger winners of this shift.
Furthermore, 2018 was a turbulent year for oil. With oversupply concerns and possible geopolitical tensions still in play, volatility is expected to spill over into this year, but prices are predicted to follow an overall bullish trajectory. In mid-2019, waivers provided from the US to several countries with regards to importing oil from Iran are expected to expire, leaving a gap in the global oil trade. Moreover, it is interesting to see if the recent agreement among OPEC and non-OPEC producers to cut output will materialize and to what extent.
At the same time, we are waiting to see how prepared refineries are for IMO 2020, as the deadline draws ever closer. Uncertainty will continue to cloud the market and any decisions being made, but with global trade growth expected to remain at healthy levels this year, we should see further market improvement take place.
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Wednesday, 06 March 19
KOREA SOUTHERN POWER CO INVITES BIDS FOR 980,000 MT OF 4600 NCV COAL FOR THREE YEARS
COALspot.com: South Korea state-owned utility Korea Southern Power Co. Ltd (KOSPO) issued a tender for 320,000 MT of min 4,600 kcal/kg NCV low calo ...
Wednesday, 06 March 19
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INERMODAL
In a downward moving market, softer SnP activity is usually a given, as the gap between Sellers’ and Buyers’ ideas widens, especially w ...
Saturday, 02 March 19
A 60,500-TONNER WAS BOOKED DELIVERY SINGAPORE, VIA INDONESIA, REDELIVERY WEST COAST INDIA, AT $11,250 - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
Vale’s ongoing absence from the Brazil spot market continued to have a negative impact on sentiment, with rates falling in all a ...
Thursday, 28 February 19
COAL'S PERFECT STORM HITS $70 BILLION AUSTRALIAN PROJECTS - BLOOMBERG
It’s been a tough few weeks for our coal industry.
First there was a court ruling blocking a new mine on climate change ground ...
Wednesday, 27 February 19
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
With the IMO 2020 approaching, it becomes challenging for the market to accurately explore the run-up to the deadline given that marine fuel-oil of ...
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- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- The University of Queensland
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- White Energy Company Limited
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Planning Commission, India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
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