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Tuesday, 18 December 18
DRY BULK: IN ABSOLUTE TERMS, ALL MAIN SIZE SEGMENTS SAW THEIR ACTUAL VOLATILITY FIGURES DECREASE - ALLIED
 Since the beginning of 2016, when the dry bulk market reached its absolute bottom, freight rates have been ever since on an upward trajectory. Taking the BDI as a benchmark, we saw the index from a yearly average of 676 points in 2016, increasing to 1,149 points in 2017, and now reaching for the year so far 1,351 points.
According to Thomas Chasapis, Research Analyst of Allied shipping, taking the size segments separately, Panamax and Supramax sectors were leading the herd this year, with their TCA yearly average figures boosted by -more or less-US$ 2,000/day (a relative increase of around 21%) and climbing well above the US$ 11,000/day mark. Furthermore, in the Handysize segment, we witnessed an increase of 13.5% on y-o-y basis, while in the Capesize segment the BCI-5TC improved by 8.6%.
At this point, it is important to mention that the rather mediocre increase in the Capesize market is impart influenced and a mere reflection of the hefty downturn and amassed disarray noted at the beginning of November (while not long before this, most seemed confident that they would see returns even in excess of those of the final quarter of 2017). Notwithstanding this, another way to better understand the “actual” path that dry bulk sector has been following, we need to evaluate the risks involved relative to the corresponding earnings. An important risk metric is by measuring the prevailing volatility in the market. Using the standard deviation as statistical tool to capture current trends, we can conclude that the overall dry bulk market has been more stable this year. In absolute terms, all main size segments saw their actual volatility figures decrease, with Handy size witnessing the biggest decrease (52.7%), followed by Panamax and Supramax with 41.5% and 37.9% respectively, and finally Capesize with 15.2%. While considering that actual returns were considerably higher, the real impact of these deviations is even less than the percentages mentioned above.
Thomas Chasapis, Research Analyst of Allied shipping further noted that, given the recovery and the overall positive track noted in the market, let’s try to figure out what’s in store for the near term. As at the start of this month, the total dry bulk fleet (above 20,000dwt) stood at 10,198 vessels, with an order book of 907 vessels (an order book to fleet ratio of 8.9%). Even with a completely absent recycling market and all projected deliveries entering active service without delay and as scheduled, we are a facing a maximum fleet growth of 5.3% for 2019. Moreover, given that most forecasts predict an increase in the region of 1.5-2.0% for seaborne trade of the main dry bulk commodities (iron ore, coal, grains), the fundamentals in the market indicate a n overall balanced outlook for the supply-demand dynamic, in the short to medium-term at least, with potential for an even better outlook to emerge.
All-in-all, even with the core market fundamentals being in favor of further improvement for the next couple of years, the great uncertainties that characterize shipping industry as a whole leave little room for any excesses in sentiment. Optimism, with a pinch of conservatism, are the necessary characteristics to be able to better react and adapt to periodical trends and shifts. Coal’s overall gloomy outlook, China’s decision to retract its tariffs and commit to buy a large volume of US soybeans (even if it only represents roughly 4% of a typical year’s purchases) easing back some of the “tension” if only for the moment, along with a plethora of new regulations coming into force in the not so distant future, are just a handful of market aspects that could have a major impact, rapidly altering the state of the market. With a relatively positive year now coming to an end, let’s embrace a new one and hope for even better days to come.
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Sunday, 30 December 18
MAJOR LNG BUYERS' UNCONTRACTED DEMAND TO QUADRUPLE BY 2030 - WOOD MACKENZIE
Wood Mackenzie’s latest research reveals that uncontracted demand by the world’s seven largest LNG buyers could quadruple to 80 million ...
Saturday, 29 December 18
DELIVERY OF CARGO WITHOUT PRODUCTION OF THE ORIGINAL BILL OF LADING - TT CLUB
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
As the bill of lading is a document of title, a person presenting it to the carrier or its agent is ostensibly entitled t ...
Friday, 28 December 18
BIMCO 2020 SULPHUR CLAUSES: "A FAIR ALLOCATION OF RESPONSIBILITIES AND LIABILITIES'? - INCE & CO.
To assist owners and charterers to address the legal issues arising under any time charterparties, which will span the 1 January 2020 implementatio ...
Thursday, 27 December 18
DRY BULKERS SPOT FREIGHT MARKET W/E 21 DEC - ALLIED SHIPBROKING
Capesize
A negative week for the Capesize sector, as activity remained at low levels, especially in the Pacific, with rumors regarding agreed r ...
Thursday, 27 December 18
SHIPPING IS ENTERING A NEW ERA OF EVER CHALLENGING CONDITIONS - ALLIED
As we move closer to the end of the year and we look forward into New Year, we are still finding ourselves looking deep into a market outlook full ...
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Showing 1511 to 1515 news of total 6871 |
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- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- PTC India Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- The University of Queensland
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
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