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Wednesday, 29 August 18
MID-YEAR FY19 POWER OUTLOOK: IMPORTED COAL REQUIREMENT TO INCREASE DURING REMAINING FY19: IND-RA
 India Ratings and Research (Ind-Ra) has maintained a stable-to-negative outlook on the Indian power sector for the remaining FY19, despite a rise in electricity demand and an increase in short-term prices.
According to a post published on Ind-Ra's website, the stable-to-negative outlook continues to reflect Ind-Ra’s expectation of a continued low plant load factor of 60.0%-62.0% of coal-based thermal power plants over the rest of FY19, because of large capacity additions in the past five years and domestic coal availability challenges. Ind-Ra expects India’s dependence on thermal power generation to remain high in the absence of any substantial improvement in power generation from other sources.
The agency has maintained a Stable Outlook on most of its rated power sector entities for the rest of FY19, as the agency expects the entities to continue to manage fuel and counterparty risks on account of a favourable tariff mechanism, a comfortable liquidity position and support from central and state governments.
Ind-Ra expects the dependence on coal-based power generation to continue despite a likely increase in capacity addition in the renewable segment, as capacity addition is low on an equivalent thermal basis owing to the low plant load factor in the renewable segment.
Given Ind-Ra’s expectation of healthy power demand growth in the rest of FY19 and thermal power capacity contributing to the required growth, coal availability becomes a key determinant for required power demand growth. Considering the historical growth rate of domestic non-coking coal production and offtake, Ind-Ra estimates imported coal requirement to increase to 62.0 million tonnes in FY19 from 56.0 million tonnes in FY18 to meet incremental power generation. Hence, there could be higher imported coal usage in FY19 than that in FY16-FY18, when imported coal usage declined. According to Ind-Ra, in a scenario of lower-than-required growth in domestic coal output, short-term power prices would remain firm and are likely to be determined by the marginal cost of energy production undertaken using imported coal.
Ind-Ra estimates project internal rate of returns to decline to a single-digit level in view of the recent aggressive bidding for wind power projects. Ind-Ra believes a high un-hedged forex exposure from the depreciating Indian rupee further lowers projects’ internal rate of returns. Moreover, access to the banking system may tighten, in case bidding continues to remain aggressive.
Solicitation Disclosures
Ratings are not a recommendation or suggestion, directly or indirectly, to you or any other person, to buy, sell, make or hold any investment, loan or security or to undertake any investment strategy with respect to any investment, loan or security or any issuer. Please also refer Ind-Ra’s Disclaimer
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Thursday, 21 June 18
CHINESE REDUCED COAL IMPORT RESTRICTIONS - CAIXIN GLOBAL
Caixin Global reported that the Chinese government has reduced restrictions on coal imports at the nation’s major ports in response to concer ...
Thursday, 21 June 18
INDIAN GOVERNMENT ADMITS COAL SHORTAGE, ASKS DISCOMS TO IMPORT - TIMES OF INDIA
Times of India reported that the power ministry has advised all state governments and private power distribution companies to import coal as Coal I ...
Tuesday, 19 June 18
WCA RESPONDS TO BP STATISTICAL REVIEW OF WORLD ENERGY 2018
Responding to BP’s Statistical Review of World Energy 2018, Benjamin Sporton, Chief Executive of the World Coal Association (WCA) said, &ldqu ...
Wednesday, 13 June 18
U.S. COAL PRODUCTION TO DECLINE BY 2% TO 756 MILLION SHORT TONS MMST IN 2018 - EIA
EIA forecasts U.S. coal production to decline by 2% to 756 million short tons (MMst) in 2018.
According to EIA's Short-Term Ener ...
Wednesday, 13 June 18
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - SOPHIE COTZIAS
2018 marks quite a few milestones for Greek Shipping. No need to detail again the greatness of Greek Shipping or the singular position that Greek s ...
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- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Parliament of New Zealand
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Australian Coal Association
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
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