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Wednesday, 29 August 18
MID-YEAR FY19 POWER OUTLOOK: IMPORTED COAL REQUIREMENT TO INCREASE DURING REMAINING FY19: IND-RA
 India Ratings and Research (Ind-Ra) has maintained a stable-to-negative outlook on the Indian power sector for the remaining FY19, despite a rise in electricity demand and an increase in short-term prices.
According to a post published on Ind-Ra's website, the stable-to-negative outlook continues to reflect Ind-Ra’s expectation of a continued low plant load factor of 60.0%-62.0% of coal-based thermal power plants over the rest of FY19, because of large capacity additions in the past five years and domestic coal availability challenges. Ind-Ra expects India’s dependence on thermal power generation to remain high in the absence of any substantial improvement in power generation from other sources.
The agency has maintained a Stable Outlook on most of its rated power sector entities for the rest of FY19, as the agency expects the entities to continue to manage fuel and counterparty risks on account of a favourable tariff mechanism, a comfortable liquidity position and support from central and state governments.
Ind-Ra expects the dependence on coal-based power generation to continue despite a likely increase in capacity addition in the renewable segment, as capacity addition is low on an equivalent thermal basis owing to the low plant load factor in the renewable segment.
Given Ind-Ra’s expectation of healthy power demand growth in the rest of FY19 and thermal power capacity contributing to the required growth, coal availability becomes a key determinant for required power demand growth. Considering the historical growth rate of domestic non-coking coal production and offtake, Ind-Ra estimates imported coal requirement to increase to 62.0 million tonnes in FY19 from 56.0 million tonnes in FY18 to meet incremental power generation. Hence, there could be higher imported coal usage in FY19 than that in FY16-FY18, when imported coal usage declined. According to Ind-Ra, in a scenario of lower-than-required growth in domestic coal output, short-term power prices would remain firm and are likely to be determined by the marginal cost of energy production undertaken using imported coal.
Ind-Ra estimates project internal rate of returns to decline to a single-digit level in view of the recent aggressive bidding for wind power projects. Ind-Ra believes a high un-hedged forex exposure from the depreciating Indian rupee further lowers projects’ internal rate of returns. Moreover, access to the banking system may tighten, in case bidding continues to remain aggressive.
Solicitation Disclosures
Ratings are not a recommendation or suggestion, directly or indirectly, to you or any other person, to buy, sell, make or hold any investment, loan or security or to undertake any investment strategy with respect to any investment, loan or security or any issuer. Please also refer Ind-Ra’s Disclaimer
If you believe an article violates your rights or the rights of others, please contact us.
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Tuesday, 05 June 18
THINGS STILL LOOK TO BE PROMISING FOR THE DRY BULK MARKET OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF MONTHS - GEORGE LAZARIDIS
Just as we thought the world was calming back down to reason, worries and frictions regarding global trade resurfaced this past week after a series ...
Tuesday, 05 June 18
INDONESIAN COAL PRICE REFERENCE IS GOING UP AGAIN
COALspot.com: According to latest ministerial decree No. 1857 K/30/MEM/2018 dated 4 June 2018, the Indonesian Coal Price Reference (HBA) up 7.91 pe ...
Saturday, 02 June 18
HOW CARBON UTILISATION WILL BE A KEY STEP IN INDIA'S CLIMATE STRATEGY - BENJAMIN SPORTON
For India, energy remains the key driver of growth, not only from an economic perspective but more importantly for accelerating social development. ...
Thursday, 31 May 18
SUPRAMAX: INDO/CHINA COAL RV IS GETTING FIXED AROUND $13K DELIVERY SINGAPORE - FEARNLEYS
Capesize
The Cape market has been on a downward trend for the past week.
According to Fearnleys, Oslo based broker, Brazil market ...
Wednesday, 30 May 18
HIGH PRICE, DMO ENCOURAGE COAL MINERS TO BOOST PRODUCTION - THE JAKARTA POST
A number of coal miners are planning to increase production by 10 percent in the second half of this year after a worldwide price increase.
Th ...
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- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- MS Steel International - UAE
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- White Energy Company Limited
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Planning Commission, India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- The University of Queensland
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
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