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Wednesday, 29 August 18
MID-YEAR FY19 POWER OUTLOOK: IMPORTED COAL REQUIREMENT TO INCREASE DURING REMAINING FY19: IND-RA
 India Ratings and Research (Ind-Ra) has maintained a stable-to-negative outlook on the Indian power sector for the remaining FY19, despite a rise in electricity demand and an increase in short-term prices.
According to a post published on Ind-Ra's website, the stable-to-negative outlook continues to reflect Ind-Ra’s expectation of a continued low plant load factor of 60.0%-62.0% of coal-based thermal power plants over the rest of FY19, because of large capacity additions in the past five years and domestic coal availability challenges. Ind-Ra expects India’s dependence on thermal power generation to remain high in the absence of any substantial improvement in power generation from other sources.
The agency has maintained a Stable Outlook on most of its rated power sector entities for the rest of FY19, as the agency expects the entities to continue to manage fuel and counterparty risks on account of a favourable tariff mechanism, a comfortable liquidity position and support from central and state governments.
Ind-Ra expects the dependence on coal-based power generation to continue despite a likely increase in capacity addition in the renewable segment, as capacity addition is low on an equivalent thermal basis owing to the low plant load factor in the renewable segment.
Given Ind-Ra’s expectation of healthy power demand growth in the rest of FY19 and thermal power capacity contributing to the required growth, coal availability becomes a key determinant for required power demand growth. Considering the historical growth rate of domestic non-coking coal production and offtake, Ind-Ra estimates imported coal requirement to increase to 62.0 million tonnes in FY19 from 56.0 million tonnes in FY18 to meet incremental power generation. Hence, there could be higher imported coal usage in FY19 than that in FY16-FY18, when imported coal usage declined. According to Ind-Ra, in a scenario of lower-than-required growth in domestic coal output, short-term power prices would remain firm and are likely to be determined by the marginal cost of energy production undertaken using imported coal.
Ind-Ra estimates project internal rate of returns to decline to a single-digit level in view of the recent aggressive bidding for wind power projects. Ind-Ra believes a high un-hedged forex exposure from the depreciating Indian rupee further lowers projects’ internal rate of returns. Moreover, access to the banking system may tighten, in case bidding continues to remain aggressive.
Solicitation Disclosures
Ratings are not a recommendation or suggestion, directly or indirectly, to you or any other person, to buy, sell, make or hold any investment, loan or security or to undertake any investment strategy with respect to any investment, loan or security or any issuer. Please also refer Ind-Ra’s Disclaimer
If you believe an article violates your rights or the rights of others, please contact us.
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Tuesday, 05 June 18
THINGS STILL LOOK TO BE PROMISING FOR THE DRY BULK MARKET OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF MONTHS - GEORGE LAZARIDIS
Just as we thought the world was calming back down to reason, worries and frictions regarding global trade resurfaced this past week after a series ...
Tuesday, 05 June 18
INDONESIAN COAL PRICE REFERENCE IS GOING UP AGAIN
COALspot.com: According to latest ministerial decree No. 1857 K/30/MEM/2018 dated 4 June 2018, the Indonesian Coal Price Reference (HBA) up 7.91 pe ...
Saturday, 02 June 18
HOW CARBON UTILISATION WILL BE A KEY STEP IN INDIA'S CLIMATE STRATEGY - BENJAMIN SPORTON
For India, energy remains the key driver of growth, not only from an economic perspective but more importantly for accelerating social development. ...
Thursday, 31 May 18
SUPRAMAX: INDO/CHINA COAL RV IS GETTING FIXED AROUND $13K DELIVERY SINGAPORE - FEARNLEYS
Capesize
The Cape market has been on a downward trend for the past week.
According to Fearnleys, Oslo based broker, Brazil market ...
Wednesday, 30 May 18
HIGH PRICE, DMO ENCOURAGE COAL MINERS TO BOOST PRODUCTION - THE JAKARTA POST
A number of coal miners are planning to increase production by 10 percent in the second half of this year after a worldwide price increase.
Th ...
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- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- The University of Queensland
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- White Energy Company Limited
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Australian Coal Association
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Posco Energy - South Korea
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