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Wednesday, 29 August 18
MID-YEAR FY19 POWER OUTLOOK: IMPORTED COAL REQUIREMENT TO INCREASE DURING REMAINING FY19: IND-RA
 India Ratings and Research (Ind-Ra) has maintained a stable-to-negative outlook on the Indian power sector for the remaining FY19, despite a rise in electricity demand and an increase in short-term prices.
According to a post published on Ind-Ra's website, the stable-to-negative outlook continues to reflect Ind-Ra’s expectation of a continued low plant load factor of 60.0%-62.0% of coal-based thermal power plants over the rest of FY19, because of large capacity additions in the past five years and domestic coal availability challenges. Ind-Ra expects India’s dependence on thermal power generation to remain high in the absence of any substantial improvement in power generation from other sources.
The agency has maintained a Stable Outlook on most of its rated power sector entities for the rest of FY19, as the agency expects the entities to continue to manage fuel and counterparty risks on account of a favourable tariff mechanism, a comfortable liquidity position and support from central and state governments.
Ind-Ra expects the dependence on coal-based power generation to continue despite a likely increase in capacity addition in the renewable segment, as capacity addition is low on an equivalent thermal basis owing to the low plant load factor in the renewable segment.
Given Ind-Ra’s expectation of healthy power demand growth in the rest of FY19 and thermal power capacity contributing to the required growth, coal availability becomes a key determinant for required power demand growth. Considering the historical growth rate of domestic non-coking coal production and offtake, Ind-Ra estimates imported coal requirement to increase to 62.0 million tonnes in FY19 from 56.0 million tonnes in FY18 to meet incremental power generation. Hence, there could be higher imported coal usage in FY19 than that in FY16-FY18, when imported coal usage declined. According to Ind-Ra, in a scenario of lower-than-required growth in domestic coal output, short-term power prices would remain firm and are likely to be determined by the marginal cost of energy production undertaken using imported coal.
Ind-Ra estimates project internal rate of returns to decline to a single-digit level in view of the recent aggressive bidding for wind power projects. Ind-Ra believes a high un-hedged forex exposure from the depreciating Indian rupee further lowers projects’ internal rate of returns. Moreover, access to the banking system may tighten, in case bidding continues to remain aggressive.
Solicitation Disclosures
Ratings are not a recommendation or suggestion, directly or indirectly, to you or any other person, to buy, sell, make or hold any investment, loan or security or to undertake any investment strategy with respect to any investment, loan or security or any issuer. Please also refer Ind-Ra’s Disclaimer
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Friday, 29 June 18
THE LBH GROUP AND RHENUS PLAN TO ESTABLISH A JOINT COMPANY
Press Release: The port services provider, the LBH Group, and the logistics specialist Rhenus, are planning to cooperate closely in the European in ...
Friday, 29 June 18
SUPRAMAX: INDO / CHINA COAL ROUNDS PAYING AROUND USD HIGH 11000 - FEARNLYS
Capesize
Its been an interesting week with a strong demand for ships out of Brazil, making C3 rates remain around USD 19 pmt said Fearnlys in i ...
Friday, 29 June 18
JAPAN'S TOHOKU ELEC, GLENCORE ABANDON APRIL-MARCH COAL CONTRACT TALKS - REUTERS
Japan’s Tohoku Electric Power Co Inc and Glencore Plc have abandoned talks on annual thermal coal supplies after failing to reach an agreemen ...
Wednesday, 27 June 18
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - APOSTOLOS ROMPOPOULOS
After the abolishment of the trade embargo against Iran, there was a lot of optimism from the country’s side, as after quite some time a numb ...
Tuesday, 26 June 18
"ALWAYS ACCESSIBLE": ARRIVAL, DEPARTURE OR BOTH? - INCE & CO
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
An “always accessible” berth warranty is often used by an owner to transfer the risk of delays in berthing to ...
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- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Planning Commission, India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Australian Coal Association
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- PTC India Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
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