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Wednesday, 29 August 18
MID-YEAR FY19 POWER OUTLOOK: IMPORTED COAL REQUIREMENT TO INCREASE DURING REMAINING FY19: IND-RA
 India Ratings and Research (Ind-Ra) has maintained a stable-to-negative outlook on the Indian power sector for the remaining FY19, despite a rise in electricity demand and an increase in short-term prices.
According to a post published on Ind-Ra's website, the stable-to-negative outlook continues to reflect Ind-Ra’s expectation of a continued low plant load factor of 60.0%-62.0% of coal-based thermal power plants over the rest of FY19, because of large capacity additions in the past five years and domestic coal availability challenges. Ind-Ra expects India’s dependence on thermal power generation to remain high in the absence of any substantial improvement in power generation from other sources.
The agency has maintained a Stable Outlook on most of its rated power sector entities for the rest of FY19, as the agency expects the entities to continue to manage fuel and counterparty risks on account of a favourable tariff mechanism, a comfortable liquidity position and support from central and state governments.
Ind-Ra expects the dependence on coal-based power generation to continue despite a likely increase in capacity addition in the renewable segment, as capacity addition is low on an equivalent thermal basis owing to the low plant load factor in the renewable segment.
Given Ind-Ra’s expectation of healthy power demand growth in the rest of FY19 and thermal power capacity contributing to the required growth, coal availability becomes a key determinant for required power demand growth. Considering the historical growth rate of domestic non-coking coal production and offtake, Ind-Ra estimates imported coal requirement to increase to 62.0 million tonnes in FY19 from 56.0 million tonnes in FY18 to meet incremental power generation. Hence, there could be higher imported coal usage in FY19 than that in FY16-FY18, when imported coal usage declined. According to Ind-Ra, in a scenario of lower-than-required growth in domestic coal output, short-term power prices would remain firm and are likely to be determined by the marginal cost of energy production undertaken using imported coal.
Ind-Ra estimates project internal rate of returns to decline to a single-digit level in view of the recent aggressive bidding for wind power projects. Ind-Ra believes a high un-hedged forex exposure from the depreciating Indian rupee further lowers projects’ internal rate of returns. Moreover, access to the banking system may tighten, in case bidding continues to remain aggressive.
Solicitation Disclosures
Ratings are not a recommendation or suggestion, directly or indirectly, to you or any other person, to buy, sell, make or hold any investment, loan or security or to undertake any investment strategy with respect to any investment, loan or security or any issuer. Please also refer Ind-Ra’s Disclaimer
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Friday, 06 July 18
HOW FLEET SIZE, CORPORATE PROFILE AND STRATEGY ARE DECIDING FACTORS IN SELECTING AN APPROPRIATE FINANCING STRATEGY - PWC
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
The challenges that shipping companies are facing when selecting an appropriate financing strategy during the current per ...
Friday, 06 July 18
INDIA: GOVT TO RELAX CURBS ON INDIAN FIRMS CHARTERING FOREIGN SHIPS - HINDU BUSINESS LINE
The Ministry of Shipping is clearly in reform mode. On the heels of the recent relaxation of the cabotage law, which allows foreign flag vessels to ...
Friday, 06 July 18
AUSTRALIAN NEWCASTLE SPOT COAL PRICES HIT $120 FOR 1ST TIME SINCE 2012 - REUTERS
Australian thermal coal prices have broken through $120 per tonne for the first time since 2012, driven up by strong consumption in Asia and spot m ...
Thursday, 05 July 18
WHAT THE FAILED GLENCORE-TOHOKU COAL TALKS MEAN FOR THE MARKET - REUTERS
Electric utilities in Japan and other Asian countries are driving blind when it comes to coal prices after the failure of Japan’s Tohoku Elec ...
Thursday, 05 July 18
INDONESIAN COAL PRICE REFERENCE HITS 74 MONTHS HIGH OF $104.65 A TON
COALspot.com: HBA keeps rising. According to latest ministerial decree No.1892 K/30/MEM/2018 dated 2 July 2018, the Indonesian Coal Price Reference ...
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- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- PTC India Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- The University of Queensland
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
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