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Wednesday, 29 August 18
MID-YEAR FY19 POWER OUTLOOK: IMPORTED COAL REQUIREMENT TO INCREASE DURING REMAINING FY19: IND-RA
 India Ratings and Research (Ind-Ra) has maintained a stable-to-negative outlook on the Indian power sector for the remaining FY19, despite a rise in electricity demand and an increase in short-term prices.
According to a post published on Ind-Ra's website, the stable-to-negative outlook continues to reflect Ind-Ra’s expectation of a continued low plant load factor of 60.0%-62.0% of coal-based thermal power plants over the rest of FY19, because of large capacity additions in the past five years and domestic coal availability challenges. Ind-Ra expects India’s dependence on thermal power generation to remain high in the absence of any substantial improvement in power generation from other sources.
The agency has maintained a Stable Outlook on most of its rated power sector entities for the rest of FY19, as the agency expects the entities to continue to manage fuel and counterparty risks on account of a favourable tariff mechanism, a comfortable liquidity position and support from central and state governments.
Ind-Ra expects the dependence on coal-based power generation to continue despite a likely increase in capacity addition in the renewable segment, as capacity addition is low on an equivalent thermal basis owing to the low plant load factor in the renewable segment.
Given Ind-Ra’s expectation of healthy power demand growth in the rest of FY19 and thermal power capacity contributing to the required growth, coal availability becomes a key determinant for required power demand growth. Considering the historical growth rate of domestic non-coking coal production and offtake, Ind-Ra estimates imported coal requirement to increase to 62.0 million tonnes in FY19 from 56.0 million tonnes in FY18 to meet incremental power generation. Hence, there could be higher imported coal usage in FY19 than that in FY16-FY18, when imported coal usage declined. According to Ind-Ra, in a scenario of lower-than-required growth in domestic coal output, short-term power prices would remain firm and are likely to be determined by the marginal cost of energy production undertaken using imported coal.
Ind-Ra estimates project internal rate of returns to decline to a single-digit level in view of the recent aggressive bidding for wind power projects. Ind-Ra believes a high un-hedged forex exposure from the depreciating Indian rupee further lowers projects’ internal rate of returns. Moreover, access to the banking system may tighten, in case bidding continues to remain aggressive.
Solicitation Disclosures
Ratings are not a recommendation or suggestion, directly or indirectly, to you or any other person, to buy, sell, make or hold any investment, loan or security or to undertake any investment strategy with respect to any investment, loan or security or any issuer. Please also refer Ind-Ra’s Disclaimer
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Tuesday, 24 July 18
TANKER MARKET : IN TERMS OF TRADE, THE STEPS THAT WERE SLOWLY BEING TAKEN BY OPEC AND RUSSIA - GEORGE LAZARIDIS
Despite the fact that the tanker market still seems to be in the midst of a perfect storm, there are still strong indicators that better sailing da ...
Thursday, 19 July 18
VINACOMIN PRODUCES OVER 20 MLN TONNES OF RAW COAL FROM YEAR'S START - VNA
The Vietnam National Coal and Mineral Industries Group (Vinacomin) has produced over 20 million tonnes of raw coal and 19.3 million of clean coal f ...
Wednesday, 18 July 18
INDONESIA TO AUCTION 16 MINING SITES - JP
Indonesia will soon auction 16 mining sites as no proposal submissions have been submitted by state-owned enterprises (BUMN) and regional administr ...
Wednesday, 18 July 18
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - VASILIS MOIRIS
The new regulations for Chinese flag restricting import of Tier I ships have dominated market sentiment during the past days as buyers have been tr ...
Thursday, 12 July 18
SUPRAMAX: INDO/CHINA COAL RV IS BEING FIXED AROUND USD 10500 BSS SINGAPORE - FEARNLEYS
Capesize
Cape market continue to be extremely volatile says Fearnleys in its latst weekly report.
The further noted that, last week ended wi ...
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- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Economic Council, Georgia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
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