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Wednesday, 29 August 18
MID-YEAR FY19 POWER OUTLOOK: IMPORTED COAL REQUIREMENT TO INCREASE DURING REMAINING FY19: IND-RA
 India Ratings and Research (Ind-Ra) has maintained a stable-to-negative outlook on the Indian power sector for the remaining FY19, despite a rise in electricity demand and an increase in short-term prices.
According to a post published on Ind-Ra's website, the stable-to-negative outlook continues to reflect Ind-Ra’s expectation of a continued low plant load factor of 60.0%-62.0% of coal-based thermal power plants over the rest of FY19, because of large capacity additions in the past five years and domestic coal availability challenges. Ind-Ra expects India’s dependence on thermal power generation to remain high in the absence of any substantial improvement in power generation from other sources.
The agency has maintained a Stable Outlook on most of its rated power sector entities for the rest of FY19, as the agency expects the entities to continue to manage fuel and counterparty risks on account of a favourable tariff mechanism, a comfortable liquidity position and support from central and state governments.
Ind-Ra expects the dependence on coal-based power generation to continue despite a likely increase in capacity addition in the renewable segment, as capacity addition is low on an equivalent thermal basis owing to the low plant load factor in the renewable segment.
Given Ind-Ra’s expectation of healthy power demand growth in the rest of FY19 and thermal power capacity contributing to the required growth, coal availability becomes a key determinant for required power demand growth. Considering the historical growth rate of domestic non-coking coal production and offtake, Ind-Ra estimates imported coal requirement to increase to 62.0 million tonnes in FY19 from 56.0 million tonnes in FY18 to meet incremental power generation. Hence, there could be higher imported coal usage in FY19 than that in FY16-FY18, when imported coal usage declined. According to Ind-Ra, in a scenario of lower-than-required growth in domestic coal output, short-term power prices would remain firm and are likely to be determined by the marginal cost of energy production undertaken using imported coal.
Ind-Ra estimates project internal rate of returns to decline to a single-digit level in view of the recent aggressive bidding for wind power projects. Ind-Ra believes a high un-hedged forex exposure from the depreciating Indian rupee further lowers projects’ internal rate of returns. Moreover, access to the banking system may tighten, in case bidding continues to remain aggressive.
Solicitation Disclosures
Ratings are not a recommendation or suggestion, directly or indirectly, to you or any other person, to buy, sell, make or hold any investment, loan or security or to undertake any investment strategy with respect to any investment, loan or security or any issuer. Please also refer Ind-Ra’s Disclaimer
If you believe an article violates your rights or the rights of others, please contact us.
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Saturday, 28 July 18
GOVERNMENT TO REVOKE COAL PRICE CAP POLICY - JP
The government plans to revise its domestic market obligation (DMO) on coal price next week during a high-level meeting with President Joko “ ...
Thursday, 26 July 18
A SUPRAMAX IS NOW PAID AROUND USD 21,500 FOR LOADING IN THE US GULF WITH DISCHARGE IN THE FAR EAST - FEARNLEYS
Cape
There has been a relatively strong summer period so far, and there is a strong week we have left behind us.
In the Pa ...
Thursday, 26 July 18
ASEAN COAL IMPORTS INCREASED IN 2Q' 18 COMPARED TO THE PRIOR YEAR; THIS TREND TO CONTINUE AS 56 GIGAWATTS OF NEW COAL PLANTS IN 24 COUNTRIES WORLDWIDE ARE EXPECTED TO COME ONLINE IN 2018 - PEABODY
Peabody announced its second quarter 2018 operating results, including revenues of $1.31 billion, income from continuing operations, net of income ...
Wednesday, 25 July 18
COAL MINER BUKIT ASAM'S PROFIT GROWS 50% IN FIRST HALF - JP
Coal miner Bukit Asam announced 50 percent profit growth to Rp 2.58 trillion (US$177.33 million) in the first half of 2018, on the back of a coal-p ...
Wednesday, 25 July 18
TANKER MARKET INSIGHT - DIMITRIS KOURTESIS
We are now into the second half of 2018, which so far has not been a fruitful year for tankers. With 2020 quickly approaching we need to consider t ...
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- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- The University of Queensland
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
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