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Wednesday, 29 August 18
MID-YEAR FY19 POWER OUTLOOK: IMPORTED COAL REQUIREMENT TO INCREASE DURING REMAINING FY19: IND-RA
 India Ratings and Research (Ind-Ra) has maintained a stable-to-negative outlook on the Indian power sector for the remaining FY19, despite a rise in electricity demand and an increase in short-term prices.
According to a post published on Ind-Ra's website, the stable-to-negative outlook continues to reflect Ind-Ra’s expectation of a continued low plant load factor of 60.0%-62.0% of coal-based thermal power plants over the rest of FY19, because of large capacity additions in the past five years and domestic coal availability challenges. Ind-Ra expects India’s dependence on thermal power generation to remain high in the absence of any substantial improvement in power generation from other sources.
The agency has maintained a Stable Outlook on most of its rated power sector entities for the rest of FY19, as the agency expects the entities to continue to manage fuel and counterparty risks on account of a favourable tariff mechanism, a comfortable liquidity position and support from central and state governments.
Ind-Ra expects the dependence on coal-based power generation to continue despite a likely increase in capacity addition in the renewable segment, as capacity addition is low on an equivalent thermal basis owing to the low plant load factor in the renewable segment.
Given Ind-Ra’s expectation of healthy power demand growth in the rest of FY19 and thermal power capacity contributing to the required growth, coal availability becomes a key determinant for required power demand growth. Considering the historical growth rate of domestic non-coking coal production and offtake, Ind-Ra estimates imported coal requirement to increase to 62.0 million tonnes in FY19 from 56.0 million tonnes in FY18 to meet incremental power generation. Hence, there could be higher imported coal usage in FY19 than that in FY16-FY18, when imported coal usage declined. According to Ind-Ra, in a scenario of lower-than-required growth in domestic coal output, short-term power prices would remain firm and are likely to be determined by the marginal cost of energy production undertaken using imported coal.
Ind-Ra estimates project internal rate of returns to decline to a single-digit level in view of the recent aggressive bidding for wind power projects. Ind-Ra believes a high un-hedged forex exposure from the depreciating Indian rupee further lowers projects’ internal rate of returns. Moreover, access to the banking system may tighten, in case bidding continues to remain aggressive.
Solicitation Disclosures
Ratings are not a recommendation or suggestion, directly or indirectly, to you or any other person, to buy, sell, make or hold any investment, loan or security or to undertake any investment strategy with respect to any investment, loan or security or any issuer. Please also refer Ind-Ra’s Disclaimer
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Thursday, 09 August 18
RIO TINTO COMPLETES SALE OF REMAINING COAL ASSETS
Rio Tinto has completed the sale of its remaining coal assets in Queensland, Australia, for $3.95 billion.
According to a noted post ...
Wednesday, 08 August 18
CHINA DEMANDS PREMIUM IRON ORE, COAL; MINERS MIXED IMPACT - FITCH RATINGS
China’s stricter environmental regulations and structural changes in its steelmaking industry boosts ongoing demand for high-quality iron ore ...
Wednesday, 08 August 18
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - CHRISTOPHER WHITTY
Singapore's shipyard business has evolved over the decades, from shipbuilding and repairs to rig building. It's now evolving again, to cate ...
Friday, 03 August 18
PHEW! ASIA, EUROPE HEATWAVE PUSHES AUSTRALIA COAL PRICES TO 6-YEAR HIGH: REUTERS
Australian thermal coal prices have hit fresh six-year highs as a heatwave across the northern hemisphere has triggered a spike in demand for coal- ...
Friday, 03 August 18
HBA HAS RISEN 28.41 PER CENT IN A YEAR TO BE AT THEIR HIGHEST LEVELS SINCE JANUARY 2012
COALspot.com: The benchmark price of Indonesian thermal coal has risen 28.41 per cent in a year to be at their highest levels since January 2012.&n ...
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- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Minerals Council of Australia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- PTC India Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Planning Commission, India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- White Energy Company Limited
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
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