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Wednesday, 29 August 18
MID-YEAR FY19 POWER OUTLOOK: IMPORTED COAL REQUIREMENT TO INCREASE DURING REMAINING FY19: IND-RA
 India Ratings and Research (Ind-Ra) has maintained a stable-to-negative outlook on the Indian power sector for the remaining FY19, despite a rise in electricity demand and an increase in short-term prices.
According to a post published on Ind-Ra's website, the stable-to-negative outlook continues to reflect Ind-Ra’s expectation of a continued low plant load factor of 60.0%-62.0% of coal-based thermal power plants over the rest of FY19, because of large capacity additions in the past five years and domestic coal availability challenges. Ind-Ra expects India’s dependence on thermal power generation to remain high in the absence of any substantial improvement in power generation from other sources.
The agency has maintained a Stable Outlook on most of its rated power sector entities for the rest of FY19, as the agency expects the entities to continue to manage fuel and counterparty risks on account of a favourable tariff mechanism, a comfortable liquidity position and support from central and state governments.
Ind-Ra expects the dependence on coal-based power generation to continue despite a likely increase in capacity addition in the renewable segment, as capacity addition is low on an equivalent thermal basis owing to the low plant load factor in the renewable segment.
Given Ind-Ra’s expectation of healthy power demand growth in the rest of FY19 and thermal power capacity contributing to the required growth, coal availability becomes a key determinant for required power demand growth. Considering the historical growth rate of domestic non-coking coal production and offtake, Ind-Ra estimates imported coal requirement to increase to 62.0 million tonnes in FY19 from 56.0 million tonnes in FY18 to meet incremental power generation. Hence, there could be higher imported coal usage in FY19 than that in FY16-FY18, when imported coal usage declined. According to Ind-Ra, in a scenario of lower-than-required growth in domestic coal output, short-term power prices would remain firm and are likely to be determined by the marginal cost of energy production undertaken using imported coal.
Ind-Ra estimates project internal rate of returns to decline to a single-digit level in view of the recent aggressive bidding for wind power projects. Ind-Ra believes a high un-hedged forex exposure from the depreciating Indian rupee further lowers projects’ internal rate of returns. Moreover, access to the banking system may tighten, in case bidding continues to remain aggressive.
Solicitation Disclosures
Ratings are not a recommendation or suggestion, directly or indirectly, to you or any other person, to buy, sell, make or hold any investment, loan or security or to undertake any investment strategy with respect to any investment, loan or security or any issuer. Please also refer Ind-Ra’s Disclaimer
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Thursday, 09 August 18
RIO TINTO COMPLETES SALE OF REMAINING COAL ASSETS
Rio Tinto has completed the sale of its remaining coal assets in Queensland, Australia, for $3.95 billion.
According to a noted post ...
Wednesday, 08 August 18
CHINA DEMANDS PREMIUM IRON ORE, COAL; MINERS MIXED IMPACT - FITCH RATINGS
China’s stricter environmental regulations and structural changes in its steelmaking industry boosts ongoing demand for high-quality iron ore ...
Wednesday, 08 August 18
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - CHRISTOPHER WHITTY
Singapore's shipyard business has evolved over the decades, from shipbuilding and repairs to rig building. It's now evolving again, to cate ...
Friday, 03 August 18
PHEW! ASIA, EUROPE HEATWAVE PUSHES AUSTRALIA COAL PRICES TO 6-YEAR HIGH: REUTERS
Australian thermal coal prices have hit fresh six-year highs as a heatwave across the northern hemisphere has triggered a spike in demand for coal- ...
Friday, 03 August 18
HBA HAS RISEN 28.41 PER CENT IN A YEAR TO BE AT THEIR HIGHEST LEVELS SINCE JANUARY 2012
COALspot.com: The benchmark price of Indonesian thermal coal has risen 28.41 per cent in a year to be at their highest levels since January 2012.&n ...
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- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Planning Commission, India
- The University of Queensland
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Australian Coal Association
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
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