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Wednesday, 29 August 18
MID-YEAR FY19 POWER OUTLOOK: IMPORTED COAL REQUIREMENT TO INCREASE DURING REMAINING FY19: IND-RA
 India Ratings and Research (Ind-Ra) has maintained a stable-to-negative outlook on the Indian power sector for the remaining FY19, despite a rise in electricity demand and an increase in short-term prices.
According to a post published on Ind-Ra's website, the stable-to-negative outlook continues to reflect Ind-Ra’s expectation of a continued low plant load factor of 60.0%-62.0% of coal-based thermal power plants over the rest of FY19, because of large capacity additions in the past five years and domestic coal availability challenges. Ind-Ra expects India’s dependence on thermal power generation to remain high in the absence of any substantial improvement in power generation from other sources.
The agency has maintained a Stable Outlook on most of its rated power sector entities for the rest of FY19, as the agency expects the entities to continue to manage fuel and counterparty risks on account of a favourable tariff mechanism, a comfortable liquidity position and support from central and state governments.
Ind-Ra expects the dependence on coal-based power generation to continue despite a likely increase in capacity addition in the renewable segment, as capacity addition is low on an equivalent thermal basis owing to the low plant load factor in the renewable segment.
Given Ind-Ra’s expectation of healthy power demand growth in the rest of FY19 and thermal power capacity contributing to the required growth, coal availability becomes a key determinant for required power demand growth. Considering the historical growth rate of domestic non-coking coal production and offtake, Ind-Ra estimates imported coal requirement to increase to 62.0 million tonnes in FY19 from 56.0 million tonnes in FY18 to meet incremental power generation. Hence, there could be higher imported coal usage in FY19 than that in FY16-FY18, when imported coal usage declined. According to Ind-Ra, in a scenario of lower-than-required growth in domestic coal output, short-term power prices would remain firm and are likely to be determined by the marginal cost of energy production undertaken using imported coal.
Ind-Ra estimates project internal rate of returns to decline to a single-digit level in view of the recent aggressive bidding for wind power projects. Ind-Ra believes a high un-hedged forex exposure from the depreciating Indian rupee further lowers projects’ internal rate of returns. Moreover, access to the banking system may tighten, in case bidding continues to remain aggressive.
Solicitation Disclosures
Ratings are not a recommendation or suggestion, directly or indirectly, to you or any other person, to buy, sell, make or hold any investment, loan or security or to undertake any investment strategy with respect to any investment, loan or security or any issuer. Please also refer Ind-Ra’s Disclaimer
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Tuesday, 26 June 18
A SHARP RISE IN THE PRICE OF CRUDE OIL WAS TO BE SEEN ON FRIDAY, ITS BIGGEST DAILY GAIN IN TWO YEARS - GEORGE LAZARIDIS
A sharp rise in the price of crude oil was to be seen on Friday, its biggest daily gain in two years, as OPEC reached a deal to raise output. Despi ...
Monday, 25 June 18
AUSTRALIA'S NEWCASTLE PORT SHIPPED 12.179 MT OF COAL IN MAY; DOWN 14.77% M/M
COALspot.com: The Port of Newcastle, Australia’s major trading ports and the world’s largest coal export port has shipped $AU1,453.6 Mi ...
Monday, 25 June 18
COAL IN THE CROSSFIRE: CHINESE TRADERS WARY OF BEING BURNT BY TRADE WAR - REUTERS
At least three U.S. coal shipments on their way to China may end up casualties of the escalating trade dispute after Beijing said it would impose s ...
Saturday, 23 June 18
COAL GROUP TARGETS 9 PER CENT REVENUE SPIKE - VIET NAM NEWS
Viet Nam News reported, the Viet Nam National Coal and Mineral Industries Group (Vinacomin or TKV) is targeting VNĐ116.9 trillion (US$5.1 billion) ...
Thursday, 21 June 18
ROBUST ASIAN THERMAL COAL DEMAND CREATES OPPORTUNITIES FOR AUSTRALIA - MINERALS COUNCIL OF AUSTRALIA
Minerals Council of Australia reported, Australia’s world-class coal mining industry can create more jobs in Australia and strengthen t ...
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- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- PTC India Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Australian Coal Association
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
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