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Wednesday, 29 August 18
MID-YEAR FY19 POWER OUTLOOK: IMPORTED COAL REQUIREMENT TO INCREASE DURING REMAINING FY19: IND-RA
 India Ratings and Research (Ind-Ra) has maintained a stable-to-negative outlook on the Indian power sector for the remaining FY19, despite a rise in electricity demand and an increase in short-term prices.
According to a post published on Ind-Ra's website, the stable-to-negative outlook continues to reflect Ind-Ra’s expectation of a continued low plant load factor of 60.0%-62.0% of coal-based thermal power plants over the rest of FY19, because of large capacity additions in the past five years and domestic coal availability challenges. Ind-Ra expects India’s dependence on thermal power generation to remain high in the absence of any substantial improvement in power generation from other sources.
The agency has maintained a Stable Outlook on most of its rated power sector entities for the rest of FY19, as the agency expects the entities to continue to manage fuel and counterparty risks on account of a favourable tariff mechanism, a comfortable liquidity position and support from central and state governments.
Ind-Ra expects the dependence on coal-based power generation to continue despite a likely increase in capacity addition in the renewable segment, as capacity addition is low on an equivalent thermal basis owing to the low plant load factor in the renewable segment.
Given Ind-Ra’s expectation of healthy power demand growth in the rest of FY19 and thermal power capacity contributing to the required growth, coal availability becomes a key determinant for required power demand growth. Considering the historical growth rate of domestic non-coking coal production and offtake, Ind-Ra estimates imported coal requirement to increase to 62.0 million tonnes in FY19 from 56.0 million tonnes in FY18 to meet incremental power generation. Hence, there could be higher imported coal usage in FY19 than that in FY16-FY18, when imported coal usage declined. According to Ind-Ra, in a scenario of lower-than-required growth in domestic coal output, short-term power prices would remain firm and are likely to be determined by the marginal cost of energy production undertaken using imported coal.
Ind-Ra estimates project internal rate of returns to decline to a single-digit level in view of the recent aggressive bidding for wind power projects. Ind-Ra believes a high un-hedged forex exposure from the depreciating Indian rupee further lowers projects’ internal rate of returns. Moreover, access to the banking system may tighten, in case bidding continues to remain aggressive.
Solicitation Disclosures
Ratings are not a recommendation or suggestion, directly or indirectly, to you or any other person, to buy, sell, make or hold any investment, loan or security or to undertake any investment strategy with respect to any investment, loan or security or any issuer. Please also refer Ind-Ra’s Disclaimer
If you believe an article violates your rights or the rights of others, please contact us.
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Tuesday, 26 June 18
A SHARP RISE IN THE PRICE OF CRUDE OIL WAS TO BE SEEN ON FRIDAY, ITS BIGGEST DAILY GAIN IN TWO YEARS - GEORGE LAZARIDIS
A sharp rise in the price of crude oil was to be seen on Friday, its biggest daily gain in two years, as OPEC reached a deal to raise output. Despi ...
Monday, 25 June 18
AUSTRALIA'S NEWCASTLE PORT SHIPPED 12.179 MT OF COAL IN MAY; DOWN 14.77% M/M
COALspot.com: The Port of Newcastle, Australia’s major trading ports and the world’s largest coal export port has shipped $AU1,453.6 Mi ...
Monday, 25 June 18
COAL IN THE CROSSFIRE: CHINESE TRADERS WARY OF BEING BURNT BY TRADE WAR - REUTERS
At least three U.S. coal shipments on their way to China may end up casualties of the escalating trade dispute after Beijing said it would impose s ...
Saturday, 23 June 18
COAL GROUP TARGETS 9 PER CENT REVENUE SPIKE - VIET NAM NEWS
Viet Nam News reported, the Viet Nam National Coal and Mineral Industries Group (Vinacomin or TKV) is targeting VNĐ116.9 trillion (US$5.1 billion) ...
Thursday, 21 June 18
ROBUST ASIAN THERMAL COAL DEMAND CREATES OPPORTUNITIES FOR AUSTRALIA - MINERALS COUNCIL OF AUSTRALIA
Minerals Council of Australia reported, Australia’s world-class coal mining industry can create more jobs in Australia and strengthen t ...
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- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Planning Commission, India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Australian Coal Association
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
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