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Wednesday, 29 August 18
MID-YEAR FY19 POWER OUTLOOK: IMPORTED COAL REQUIREMENT TO INCREASE DURING REMAINING FY19: IND-RA
 India Ratings and Research (Ind-Ra) has maintained a stable-to-negative outlook on the Indian power sector for the remaining FY19, despite a rise in electricity demand and an increase in short-term prices.
According to a post published on Ind-Ra's website, the stable-to-negative outlook continues to reflect Ind-Ra’s expectation of a continued low plant load factor of 60.0%-62.0% of coal-based thermal power plants over the rest of FY19, because of large capacity additions in the past five years and domestic coal availability challenges. Ind-Ra expects India’s dependence on thermal power generation to remain high in the absence of any substantial improvement in power generation from other sources.
The agency has maintained a Stable Outlook on most of its rated power sector entities for the rest of FY19, as the agency expects the entities to continue to manage fuel and counterparty risks on account of a favourable tariff mechanism, a comfortable liquidity position and support from central and state governments.
Ind-Ra expects the dependence on coal-based power generation to continue despite a likely increase in capacity addition in the renewable segment, as capacity addition is low on an equivalent thermal basis owing to the low plant load factor in the renewable segment.
Given Ind-Ra’s expectation of healthy power demand growth in the rest of FY19 and thermal power capacity contributing to the required growth, coal availability becomes a key determinant for required power demand growth. Considering the historical growth rate of domestic non-coking coal production and offtake, Ind-Ra estimates imported coal requirement to increase to 62.0 million tonnes in FY19 from 56.0 million tonnes in FY18 to meet incremental power generation. Hence, there could be higher imported coal usage in FY19 than that in FY16-FY18, when imported coal usage declined. According to Ind-Ra, in a scenario of lower-than-required growth in domestic coal output, short-term power prices would remain firm and are likely to be determined by the marginal cost of energy production undertaken using imported coal.
Ind-Ra estimates project internal rate of returns to decline to a single-digit level in view of the recent aggressive bidding for wind power projects. Ind-Ra believes a high un-hedged forex exposure from the depreciating Indian rupee further lowers projects’ internal rate of returns. Moreover, access to the banking system may tighten, in case bidding continues to remain aggressive.
Solicitation Disclosures
Ratings are not a recommendation or suggestion, directly or indirectly, to you or any other person, to buy, sell, make or hold any investment, loan or security or to undertake any investment strategy with respect to any investment, loan or security or any issuer. Please also refer Ind-Ra’s Disclaimer
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Tuesday, 26 June 18
A SHARP RISE IN THE PRICE OF CRUDE OIL WAS TO BE SEEN ON FRIDAY, ITS BIGGEST DAILY GAIN IN TWO YEARS - GEORGE LAZARIDIS
A sharp rise in the price of crude oil was to be seen on Friday, its biggest daily gain in two years, as OPEC reached a deal to raise output. Despi ...
Monday, 25 June 18
AUSTRALIA'S NEWCASTLE PORT SHIPPED 12.179 MT OF COAL IN MAY; DOWN 14.77% M/M
COALspot.com: The Port of Newcastle, Australia’s major trading ports and the world’s largest coal export port has shipped $AU1,453.6 Mi ...
Monday, 25 June 18
COAL IN THE CROSSFIRE: CHINESE TRADERS WARY OF BEING BURNT BY TRADE WAR - REUTERS
At least three U.S. coal shipments on their way to China may end up casualties of the escalating trade dispute after Beijing said it would impose s ...
Saturday, 23 June 18
COAL GROUP TARGETS 9 PER CENT REVENUE SPIKE - VIET NAM NEWS
Viet Nam News reported, the Viet Nam National Coal and Mineral Industries Group (Vinacomin or TKV) is targeting VNĐ116.9 trillion (US$5.1 billion) ...
Thursday, 21 June 18
ROBUST ASIAN THERMAL COAL DEMAND CREATES OPPORTUNITIES FOR AUSTRALIA - MINERALS COUNCIL OF AUSTRALIA
Minerals Council of Australia reported, Australia’s world-class coal mining industry can create more jobs in Australia and strengthen t ...
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- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Planning Commission, India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
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