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Wednesday, 29 August 18
MID-YEAR FY19 POWER OUTLOOK: IMPORTED COAL REQUIREMENT TO INCREASE DURING REMAINING FY19: IND-RA
 India Ratings and Research (Ind-Ra) has maintained a stable-to-negative outlook on the Indian power sector for the remaining FY19, despite a rise in electricity demand and an increase in short-term prices.
According to a post published on Ind-Ra's website, the stable-to-negative outlook continues to reflect Ind-Ra’s expectation of a continued low plant load factor of 60.0%-62.0% of coal-based thermal power plants over the rest of FY19, because of large capacity additions in the past five years and domestic coal availability challenges. Ind-Ra expects India’s dependence on thermal power generation to remain high in the absence of any substantial improvement in power generation from other sources.
The agency has maintained a Stable Outlook on most of its rated power sector entities for the rest of FY19, as the agency expects the entities to continue to manage fuel and counterparty risks on account of a favourable tariff mechanism, a comfortable liquidity position and support from central and state governments.
Ind-Ra expects the dependence on coal-based power generation to continue despite a likely increase in capacity addition in the renewable segment, as capacity addition is low on an equivalent thermal basis owing to the low plant load factor in the renewable segment.
Given Ind-Ra’s expectation of healthy power demand growth in the rest of FY19 and thermal power capacity contributing to the required growth, coal availability becomes a key determinant for required power demand growth. Considering the historical growth rate of domestic non-coking coal production and offtake, Ind-Ra estimates imported coal requirement to increase to 62.0 million tonnes in FY19 from 56.0 million tonnes in FY18 to meet incremental power generation. Hence, there could be higher imported coal usage in FY19 than that in FY16-FY18, when imported coal usage declined. According to Ind-Ra, in a scenario of lower-than-required growth in domestic coal output, short-term power prices would remain firm and are likely to be determined by the marginal cost of energy production undertaken using imported coal.
Ind-Ra estimates project internal rate of returns to decline to a single-digit level in view of the recent aggressive bidding for wind power projects. Ind-Ra believes a high un-hedged forex exposure from the depreciating Indian rupee further lowers projects’ internal rate of returns. Moreover, access to the banking system may tighten, in case bidding continues to remain aggressive.
Solicitation Disclosures
Ratings are not a recommendation or suggestion, directly or indirectly, to you or any other person, to buy, sell, make or hold any investment, loan or security or to undertake any investment strategy with respect to any investment, loan or security or any issuer. Please also refer Ind-Ra’s Disclaimer
If you believe an article violates your rights or the rights of others, please contact us.
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Tuesday, 13 November 18
INDIA: POWER DEMAND UP; COAL STOCKS AT MINES AT A 5-YEAR LOW - FINANCIAL EXPRESS
Stocks at Coal India mines plunged to a five-year low of 21 million tonne (mt) in October, as a sudden surge in demand for the fuel from the power ...
Monday, 12 November 18
COAL BUSINESS REMAINS PROSPECTIVE - ANTARA
Coal business happened to be sluggish in the 2012-2015 period because coal prices in the world market fell sharply, but it has begun to crawl up si ...
Monday, 12 November 18
INDONESIA'S HBA ENDS DECLINE IN NOVEMBER
COALspot.com: The Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources of the Republic of Indonesia has revised down the benchmark price of Indonesian thermal ...
Wednesday, 07 November 18
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - VASILIS MOIRIS
This has been another active week in the second-hand market for both the dry bulk and tanker sectors. Buying interest has recently increased, which ...
Monday, 05 November 18
TIGHTER FUEL RULES COULD RAISE SHIPOWNERS' COSTS AND CAPEX - FITCH RATINGS
More stringent fuel regulations regarding sulphur content could significantly increase global shipping companies’ operating costs and capex n ...
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- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- MS Steel International - UAE
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Planning Commission, India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
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