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Wednesday, 29 August 18
MID-YEAR FY19 POWER OUTLOOK: IMPORTED COAL REQUIREMENT TO INCREASE DURING REMAINING FY19: IND-RA
 India Ratings and Research (Ind-Ra) has maintained a stable-to-negative outlook on the Indian power sector for the remaining FY19, despite a rise in electricity demand and an increase in short-term prices.
According to a post published on Ind-Ra's website, the stable-to-negative outlook continues to reflect Ind-Ra’s expectation of a continued low plant load factor of 60.0%-62.0% of coal-based thermal power plants over the rest of FY19, because of large capacity additions in the past five years and domestic coal availability challenges. Ind-Ra expects India’s dependence on thermal power generation to remain high in the absence of any substantial improvement in power generation from other sources.
The agency has maintained a Stable Outlook on most of its rated power sector entities for the rest of FY19, as the agency expects the entities to continue to manage fuel and counterparty risks on account of a favourable tariff mechanism, a comfortable liquidity position and support from central and state governments.
Ind-Ra expects the dependence on coal-based power generation to continue despite a likely increase in capacity addition in the renewable segment, as capacity addition is low on an equivalent thermal basis owing to the low plant load factor in the renewable segment.
Given Ind-Ra’s expectation of healthy power demand growth in the rest of FY19 and thermal power capacity contributing to the required growth, coal availability becomes a key determinant for required power demand growth. Considering the historical growth rate of domestic non-coking coal production and offtake, Ind-Ra estimates imported coal requirement to increase to 62.0 million tonnes in FY19 from 56.0 million tonnes in FY18 to meet incremental power generation. Hence, there could be higher imported coal usage in FY19 than that in FY16-FY18, when imported coal usage declined. According to Ind-Ra, in a scenario of lower-than-required growth in domestic coal output, short-term power prices would remain firm and are likely to be determined by the marginal cost of energy production undertaken using imported coal.
Ind-Ra estimates project internal rate of returns to decline to a single-digit level in view of the recent aggressive bidding for wind power projects. Ind-Ra believes a high un-hedged forex exposure from the depreciating Indian rupee further lowers projects’ internal rate of returns. Moreover, access to the banking system may tighten, in case bidding continues to remain aggressive.
Solicitation Disclosures
Ratings are not a recommendation or suggestion, directly or indirectly, to you or any other person, to buy, sell, make or hold any investment, loan or security or to undertake any investment strategy with respect to any investment, loan or security or any issuer. Please also refer Ind-Ra’s Disclaimer
If you believe an article violates your rights or the rights of others, please contact us.
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Friday, 02 November 18
COAL FETCHES 102% PREMIUM IN E-AUCTION, SURPASSING THE EARLIER HIGHEST OF 95% - FINANCIAL EXPRESS
Coal prices have received a premium of 102% in spot e-auction during September 2018, surpassing the earlier highest of 95% premium during the spot ...
Friday, 02 November 18
CHINA: COAL CONSUMPTION POSTS STRONG GROWTH ON BACK OF POWER GENERATION DEMAND - CHINA DAILY
China’s energy consumption experienced continuous rebound during the first three quarters in 2018, National Energy Administration announced o ...
Thursday, 01 November 18
IMO 2020 - EXPLORING THE OPTION OF SOX SCRUBBERS - SIDDHARTH MAHAJAN, GARD
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
There are four possible methods of compliance:
1.use VLSFO (very low Sulphur oil) or blends;
2,use dis ...
Wednesday, 31 October 18
INDIA: COAL IMPORTS SURGE ON DOMESTIC SHORT SUPPLY - HINDU
Shortage of thermal coal supply in India has pushed imports up to 85 million tonnes (mt) in the first half of the current fiscal compared to 75 mt ...
Wednesday, 31 October 18
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - APOSTOLOS ROMPOPOULOS
Since the IMO’s 2020 global cap on sulphur in marine fuels is coming into force, ship-owners have to decide whether they will operate using e ...
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- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Planning Commission, India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- PTC India Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
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