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Wednesday, 29 August 18
MID-YEAR FY19 POWER OUTLOOK: IMPORTED COAL REQUIREMENT TO INCREASE DURING REMAINING FY19: IND-RA
 India Ratings and Research (Ind-Ra) has maintained a stable-to-negative outlook on the Indian power sector for the remaining FY19, despite a rise in electricity demand and an increase in short-term prices.
According to a post published on Ind-Ra's website, the stable-to-negative outlook continues to reflect Ind-Ra’s expectation of a continued low plant load factor of 60.0%-62.0% of coal-based thermal power plants over the rest of FY19, because of large capacity additions in the past five years and domestic coal availability challenges. Ind-Ra expects India’s dependence on thermal power generation to remain high in the absence of any substantial improvement in power generation from other sources.
The agency has maintained a Stable Outlook on most of its rated power sector entities for the rest of FY19, as the agency expects the entities to continue to manage fuel and counterparty risks on account of a favourable tariff mechanism, a comfortable liquidity position and support from central and state governments.
Ind-Ra expects the dependence on coal-based power generation to continue despite a likely increase in capacity addition in the renewable segment, as capacity addition is low on an equivalent thermal basis owing to the low plant load factor in the renewable segment.
Given Ind-Ra’s expectation of healthy power demand growth in the rest of FY19 and thermal power capacity contributing to the required growth, coal availability becomes a key determinant for required power demand growth. Considering the historical growth rate of domestic non-coking coal production and offtake, Ind-Ra estimates imported coal requirement to increase to 62.0 million tonnes in FY19 from 56.0 million tonnes in FY18 to meet incremental power generation. Hence, there could be higher imported coal usage in FY19 than that in FY16-FY18, when imported coal usage declined. According to Ind-Ra, in a scenario of lower-than-required growth in domestic coal output, short-term power prices would remain firm and are likely to be determined by the marginal cost of energy production undertaken using imported coal.
Ind-Ra estimates project internal rate of returns to decline to a single-digit level in view of the recent aggressive bidding for wind power projects. Ind-Ra believes a high un-hedged forex exposure from the depreciating Indian rupee further lowers projects’ internal rate of returns. Moreover, access to the banking system may tighten, in case bidding continues to remain aggressive.
Solicitation Disclosures
Ratings are not a recommendation or suggestion, directly or indirectly, to you or any other person, to buy, sell, make or hold any investment, loan or security or to undertake any investment strategy with respect to any investment, loan or security or any issuer. Please also refer Ind-Ra’s Disclaimer
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Monday, 29 October 18
IMPLEMENTATION OF SULPHUR 2020 LIMIT - CARRIAGE BAN ADOPTED - IMO
An amendment to support consistent implementation of the forthcoming 0.50% limit on sulphur in ships fuel oil was adopted by the International Mari ...
Monday, 29 October 18
SUPRAMAX: THE ASIAN AREA SAW FALLING RATES, WITH A 61,000DWT FIXING DELIVERY KOHSICHANG TRIP VIA INDONESIA, REDELIVERY INDIA, AT $10,500 - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
A market of two halves for most of the week with rates in the Atlantic firming and easing in the East for most of the week, but then, ...
Friday, 26 October 18
SHIP OPERATING COSTS EXPECTED TO RISE IN 2018 AND 2019 - MOORE STEPHENS
Total vessel operating costs in the shipping industry are expected to rise by 2.7% in 2018 and by 3.1% in 2019, according to our latest survey.
...
Friday, 26 October 18
SEVERAL CONTRACTIONS IN GLOBAL STEEL PRODUCTION - JEFFREY LANDSBERG
World Steel Association data released today shows that global crude steel production totaled approximately 151.7 million tons in September. T ...
Thursday, 25 October 18
WHAT DOES THE "IMO 2020" REGULATION REALLY SAY? A QUICK GUIDE - BIMCO
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
The shipping industry has all eyes firmly fixed on the topic, but what exactly do the “IMO 2020” global sulph ...
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- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- White Energy Company Limited
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- MS Steel International - UAE
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Australian Coal Association
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
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