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Wednesday, 29 August 18
MID-YEAR FY19 POWER OUTLOOK: IMPORTED COAL REQUIREMENT TO INCREASE DURING REMAINING FY19: IND-RA
 India Ratings and Research (Ind-Ra) has maintained a stable-to-negative outlook on the Indian power sector for the remaining FY19, despite a rise in electricity demand and an increase in short-term prices.
According to a post published on Ind-Ra's website, the stable-to-negative outlook continues to reflect Ind-Ra’s expectation of a continued low plant load factor of 60.0%-62.0% of coal-based thermal power plants over the rest of FY19, because of large capacity additions in the past five years and domestic coal availability challenges. Ind-Ra expects India’s dependence on thermal power generation to remain high in the absence of any substantial improvement in power generation from other sources.
The agency has maintained a Stable Outlook on most of its rated power sector entities for the rest of FY19, as the agency expects the entities to continue to manage fuel and counterparty risks on account of a favourable tariff mechanism, a comfortable liquidity position and support from central and state governments.
Ind-Ra expects the dependence on coal-based power generation to continue despite a likely increase in capacity addition in the renewable segment, as capacity addition is low on an equivalent thermal basis owing to the low plant load factor in the renewable segment.
Given Ind-Ra’s expectation of healthy power demand growth in the rest of FY19 and thermal power capacity contributing to the required growth, coal availability becomes a key determinant for required power demand growth. Considering the historical growth rate of domestic non-coking coal production and offtake, Ind-Ra estimates imported coal requirement to increase to 62.0 million tonnes in FY19 from 56.0 million tonnes in FY18 to meet incremental power generation. Hence, there could be higher imported coal usage in FY19 than that in FY16-FY18, when imported coal usage declined. According to Ind-Ra, in a scenario of lower-than-required growth in domestic coal output, short-term power prices would remain firm and are likely to be determined by the marginal cost of energy production undertaken using imported coal.
Ind-Ra estimates project internal rate of returns to decline to a single-digit level in view of the recent aggressive bidding for wind power projects. Ind-Ra believes a high un-hedged forex exposure from the depreciating Indian rupee further lowers projects’ internal rate of returns. Moreover, access to the banking system may tighten, in case bidding continues to remain aggressive.
Solicitation Disclosures
Ratings are not a recommendation or suggestion, directly or indirectly, to you or any other person, to buy, sell, make or hold any investment, loan or security or to undertake any investment strategy with respect to any investment, loan or security or any issuer. Please also refer Ind-Ra’s Disclaimer
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Thursday, 22 November 18
SHUT OUT OF CHINA, U.S. COAL EXPORTERS FIND FAVOUR IN INDIA, FOR NOW - REUTERS
U.S. coal exporters have effectively lost a promising market in China since the imposition of tariffs as part of the ongoing trade dispute, but so ...
Wednesday, 21 November 18
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - DIMITRIS KOURTESIS
Halfway through the fourth and last quarter of the year, we spot a significant change in freight rates for tankers trading dirty, as well as on the ...
Tuesday, 20 November 18
FREIGHT RATES IN THE CRUDE OIL MARKET HAVE ALREADY PICKED UP OVER THE PAST COUPLE OF WEEKS - YIANNIS VAMVAKAS
Current geopolitical developments between Iran and the US, which have led the latter to re-impose its sanctions, have significantly affected oil pr ...
Tuesday, 20 November 18
GOLDEN ENERGY AND RESOURCES LEADS A$249M BID FOR AUSTRALIA-LISTED STANMORE COAL - THE STRAITS TIMES
Singapore-listed Golden Energy and Resources (GEAR) is leading deals worth up to A$249 million (S$250 million) to acquire Australia-listed Stanmore ...
Monday, 19 November 18
INDONESIA'S LEADING EIGHT COAL MINER'S COAL MINING CONTRACTS ARE EXPECTED TO EXPIRE BETWEEN YEAR 2019 - 2025
The Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources (ESDM) said, eight Coal Contract of Works (CCoW) will expected to expire between 2019 to 2026, Liputan ...
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- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Planning Commission, India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Australian Coal Association
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- White Energy Company Limited
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- The University of Queensland
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- PTC India Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
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